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Ukraine Invasion: Part 57

1000 replies

MagicFox · 20/05/2025 10:49

Welcome to 57. Slava Ukraini 🇺🇦

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A. The agreed purpose of the thread is for the sharing of information and commentary on current events
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MissConductUS · 02/07/2025 16:59

The WSJ is covering the situation, which confirms that it's supply related.

What the Halt in U.S. Weapon Supplies Means for Ukraine - Even before the decision to halt supplies of Patriot missiles, Kyiv was struggling to counter Russian aerial attacks

The U.S. said Tuesday it had stopped deliveries of lethal aid to Ukraine to beef up Pentagon stocks. The Patriot missile is one of the most sought-after pieces of military tech, as wars in Ukraine and the Middle East sap supplies and its makers struggle to manufacture enough of them to fully replenish stockpiles. Lockheed Martin makes around 550 interceptors a year, which it could sell to the U.S. and the 18 other countries that use Patriot systems.

The Pentagon didn’t shut the door to future aid to Ukraine, saying that it would provide President Trump with options to continue military aid to Ukraine that are consistent with his goal of ending the war.

For Ukraine, there are few alternatives. European allies are also struggling to increase missile production, underscoring how the West’s defense industry is struggling to increase production to the levels that would be required by attritional, high-intensity warfare.

MissConductUS · 02/07/2025 17:45

notimagain · 02/07/2025 12:45

"They (Ukraine) do want to have the anti missiles. As they call them, the Patriots, ....

You know, I've seen that statement a few times now and I have never really understood the "as they call them" in that Trump quote.

They've been Patriot to pretty much everybody worldwide, ever since or even before Raytheon started producing the thing well over forty years ago..even Raytheon use Patriot in their on line documentation..

Do the US Armed Forces stick with MIM-104 in house??? @MissConductUS will know.

I've just listened to Trump's exchange with the BBC reporter. Here's the relevant part:

"Wow. That's rough stuff, right? That's tough," Trump said. "Let me just tell you, they do want to have the anti-missile missiles, as they call them, the Patriots. And we're going to see if we can make some available."

It seems to me that "as they call them" was a reference to "the anti-missile missiles", not "the Patriots".

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 03/07/2025 09:34

Kyiv Independent Telegram

⚡️ Over 210,000 Russians sign contracts (kyivindependent.com/over-210-000-russians-sign-contracts-for-war-in-ukraine-in-first-half-of-2025-moscow-says/) for war in Ukraine in first half of 2025, Moscow says.

⚡️Pentagon confirms pause (kyivindependent.com/pentagon-confirms-capability-review-amid-pause-in-aid-deliveries-to-ukraine/) in aid deliveries to Ukraine amid 'capability review.'

⚡️US halts (kyivindependent.com/us-halts-ukraine-bound-weapons-already-staged-in-poland-wsj-reports-06-2025/) Ukraine-bound weapons already staged in Poland, WSJ reports.
The shipment includes over two dozen PAC-3 Patriot missiles, more than two dozen Stinger air-defense systems, Hellfire air-to-ground missiles, and over 90 AIM air-to-air missiles intended for use with Ukraine's F-16 fighter jets, according to U.S. administration and congressional officials cited by the Wall Street Journal.

⚡️ North Korea to send up to 30,000 more troops (kyivindependent.com/north-korea-to-send-up-to-30-000-troops-to-aid-russias-war-against-ukraine-cnn-reports/) to aid Russia's war against Ukraine, CNN reports.
Fresh units may arrive in the coming months and are likely to be engaged in combat in Russian-occupied Ukrainian territories, including during "large-scale offensive operations," according to a Ukrainian military intelligence (HUR) assessment reviewed by CNN.

⚡️ NATO chief urges continued (kyivindependent.com/nato-chief-urges-continued-us-support-for-ukraine-as-pentagon-halts-arms-shipments/) US support for Ukraine as Pentagon halts arms shipments.
"When it comes to Ukraine, in the short term, Ukraine cannot do without all the support it can get," NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte said.

⚡️ European partners reportedly caught off guard (kyivindependent.com/european-partners-caught-off-guard-as-us-halts-arms-shipments-to-ukraine/) as US halts arms shipments to Ukraine.

⚡️ Iran reportedly preparing to mine Strait of Hormuz, a possible boon (kyivindependent.com/iran-reportedly-preparing-to-mine-strait-of-hormuz-a-possible-boon-for-russias-ukraine-war-coffers/) for Russia's Ukraine war coffers.
If the Strait were mined, Iran could block one-fifth of global oil demand and spike world energy prices — a boon for Russia's oil-dependent economy.

⚡️ Ukraine denies another Russian claim (kyivindependent.com/ukraine-denies-russian-claims-of-breakthrough-into-dnipropetrovsk-oblast-says-small-incursion-repelled/) of Dnipropetrovsk Oblast breakthrough, says small incursion repelled.

⚡️ Russia's Kupol military plant (kyivindependent.com/russias-kupol-military-plant-reportedly-halts-operations-after-ukrainian-drone-strike/) reportedly halts operations after Ukrainian drone strike.
The plant produces Tor and Osa air defense systems, as well as Harpy-type attack drones.

'Ukraine is biggest landmine challenge since World War II,' says head of world’s largest demining organization
(kyivindependent.com/ukraine-is-biggest-landmine-challenge-since-world-war-ii-says-head-of-worlds-largest-demining-organization/)
As of March 2025, Ukraine’s mine-affected land spans an estimated 139,000 square kilometers — or 23% of its territory — covering more ground than all of Greece and posing an immense threat to civilian life and recovery efforts.

⚡️ Russia's Rosatom seeks to sell (kyivindependent.com/russian-nuclear-giant-rosatom-seeks-to-sell-49-stake-in-25-billion-turkeys-first-nuclear-plant/) 49% stake in Turkey's first nuclear plant.
The project remains a cornerstone of Russian-Turkish energy cooperation.

⚡️ US envoy Kellogg denies agreeing (kyivindependent.com/us-envoy-kellogg-denies-lukashenkos-claim-on-limiting-ukraines-drone-strikes/) to help halt Ukraine's drone strikes on Russia.

⚡️Update: Drones hit Russian weapons factory (kyivindependent.com/drone-wreckage-kills-1-injures-2-in-russias-lipetsk-authorities-say/) in Lipetsk Oblast, governor says.
Drones reportedly struck a factory in Russia's Lipetsk Oblast that produces parts for drones and missiles, Governor Igor Artamonov alleged early on July 3.

⚡️Ukraine reportedly strikes (kyivindependent.com/ukraine-reportedly-strikes-ammunition-depot-in-occupied-donetsk-oblast/) ammunition depot in occupied Donetsk Oblast.
Ukraine reportedly struck a Russian ammunition depot in the town of Khartsyzk in occupied Donetsk Oblast on July 2, Russian Telegram channels reported.

⚡️Poland establishes (kyivindependent.com/poland-establishes-july-11-as-national-day-of-remembrance-for-volyn-massacre-victims/) July 11 as National Day of Remembrance for Volyn massacre victims.

⚡️ Ukrainian-founded Grammarly (kyivindependent.com/ukrainian-rooted-grammarly-to-acquire-ai-email-app-superhuman/) to acquire AI email app Superhuman.

⚡️ Porn decriminalization petition (kyivindependent.com/zelensky-has-to-respond-to-porn-decriminalization-petition/) in Ukraine reaches 25,000 signatures, forcing Zelensky response.
Pornography production and distribution are illegal in Ukraine, with broad interpretations meaning even sharing nude photos can result in jail time.

⚡️Ukraine suspends (kyivindependent.com/ukraine-suspends-citizenship-of-moscow-linked-church-head/) citizenship of Moscow-linked church head.

Failed US peace effort left Ukraine worse off, expert argues
()
The Kyiv Independent’s Chris York sat down with Michael McFaul, an academic and former U.S. ambassador to Russia (2012–2014), to discuss the state of the Ukraine-Russia peace process following U.S. President Donald Trump’s failed effort, the threat of U.S. disengagement, and a congressional bill introducing new sanctions against Russia and its trading partners supporting its war machine. [surprise!]

Ukraine's Constitutional Court appointments: A test of EU commitment
(https://kyivindependent.com/ukraines-constitutional-court-appointments-a-test-of-eu-commitment/)

⚡️2 people killed (kyivindependent.com/2-people-killed-15-injured-in-zhytomyr-amid-explosions/), 15 injured in Zhytomyr amid explosions.

⚡️Drone wreckage kills 1 (kyivindependent.com/drone-wreckage-kills-1-injures-2-in-russias-lipetsk-authorities-say/), injures 2 in Russia's Lipetsk, authorities say.

⚡️Russian strike (kyivindependent.com/russian-strike-hits-military-and-residential-sites-in-poltava-ukraines-land-forces-say-06-2025/) on Poltava kills 2, injures 11, Ukrainian officials say, conscription office set on fire.

‪Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦‬ ‪@ragnarbjartur.bsky.social‬
· 1h
⚡️ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA — JUL 3, 2025
■ Combat engagements increase; 1k casualties
■ Equipment losses mostly unarmored vehicles
■ Visually confirmed batch: 26 🇷🇺 : 31 🇺🇦 (1.1× over the past 30 days ↓)
■ Strike ratio remains in the double digits

Ukraine Invasion: Part 57
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 03/07/2025 09:40

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

Zelenskyy: Ukraine and the U.S. are clarifying details of defense support
“Now at the working levels between Ukraine and the United States they are clarifying all the details regarding the supply of defense support, in particular the air defense component.[...]

🇺🇸 U.S. State Department spokeswoman Tammy Bruce stated that the United States has not suspended all arms deliveries to Ukraine. She clarified that the Pentagon’s decision the day before was “just one situation.”
Bruce also noted that President Trump has “reaffirmed his continued commitment to Patriot missiles.”

🇩🇪 German Chancellor Friedrich Merz said that negotiations with Slovakia on new EU sanctions against Russia are in the final stages and that a compromise will be found.
“Yesterday I spoke with the Prime Minister of Slovakia. He has an objective problem. The entire Slovak industry, including many German companies, depends on Russian energy supplies, as there are currently no alternatives. We are working to solve this problem, and I am involved in these efforts,” Merz said on the Sandra Meischberger show.
He confirmed that a solution is being developed at the working level and once reached, the 18th package of EU sanctions — “the toughest in the last three and a half years” — will come into force.
Merz also expressed confidence that the U.S. Congress will soon approve new sanctions against Russia, noting, however, that the final decision lies with President Trump.

🇩🇪 Germany will begin mass inspections of suspicious Russian tankers in the Baltic Sea starting July 1, Reuters reports.
According to the German Foreign Ministry, tankers will be required to present valid insurance documents to cover potential oil pollution damage. Many of these vessels typically avoid reliable insurers and European ports, operating under opaque ownership structures.
The move comes after Germany seized the Eventin tanker in March. The Panama-flagged ship, built in 2006, was transporting 100,000 tons of Russian crude worth €40 million from Ust-Luga. After losing power near the German coast, it was towed to Sassnitz, where authorities discovered technical faults and environmental risks.
Berlin’s inspections aim to curb sanctions evasion and minimize environmental threats in the region.

🇩🇰🇺🇦 Ukrainian defense production may start in Denmark this fall — Danish Defense Minister
Denmark’s Defense Minister Troels Lund Poulsen announced that Ukrainian defense companies may begin production on Danish territory as early as September or October.
“I expect that the results will be noticeable in September or October. So some Ukrainian defense enterprises will be ready to receive an invitation,” he said.
Poulsen noted that Denmark will provide selected Ukrainian companies the opportunity to launch operations locally.

🇬🇧🇺🇦 British Prevail Partners and Ukrainian drone manufacturer Skyeton have announced the creation of a joint venture.
The initiative will enable serial production of the Raybird UAV in the United Kingdom. This drone is capable of conducting reconnaissance missions and can also be equipped with synthetic aperture radar or electronic warfare systems.

In Odesa, rescuers freed five people trapped on the upper floors after a Russian strike on a residential building, Mayor Hennadiy Trukhanov reported. Among those rescued were two children. All are receiving necessary assistance

The short-range air defense system “Raven,” received from Britain, has been spotted with markings indicating destroyed enemy air targets.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 57
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 03/07/2025 09:43

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlight

Trump lifted Syria sanctions on Russian oligarch Kirsan Ilyumzhinov and related businesses effective July 1, but Moscow state arms exporter Rosoboronexport remains sanctioned under Ukraine-related rules.

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 03/07/2025 09:45

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

North Korea plans to send up to 30,000 troops to fight in Ukraine, CNN reports, citing an assessment by Ukrainian intelligence.
Ukrainian intelligence believes there is a “high probability” that North Korean forces will be deployed to combat operations on Russian-occupied Ukrainian territory to reinforce Russian troops, particularly during large-scale offensive operations.
There are also indications that Russia is retrofitting military aircraft for personnel transport — a sign the military is preparing to move tens of thousands of foreign soldiers across Russian Siberia, which borders North Korea in the far southwest.

❗️❗️Two powerful explosions occurred at a gas station on the outskirts of Zhytomyr, resulting in at least two deaths and 15 injuries. Nearby residential buildings were also damaged in the blast.
Emergency services and an operational headquarters are currently working at the scene.

minsmum · 03/07/2025 19:46

https://x.com/aborealis940/status/1940804036128805345 President Zelensky honours an 11 year old from Denmark who has been raising money to buy back packs for Ukrainian children

https://x.com/aborealis940/status/1940804036128805345

DuncinToffee · 04/07/2025 11:12

Kyiv hit by barrage of drone strikes as Putin rejects Trump's truce bid

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/articles/cx2g3qvz0pvo

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 04/07/2025 12:13

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

⚡️China's foreign minister tells EU that Beijing cannot afford (kyivindependent.com/chinas-foreign-minister-tells-eu-that-beijing-cannot-afford-russian-loss-in-ukraine-media-reports-6-2025/) Russia to lose in Ukraine, media reports.
China's Foreign Minister Wang Yi reportedly told the EU's top diplomat Kaja Kallas on July 3 that the country cannot afford for Russia to lose the war in Ukraine amid fears the U.S. would shift focus towards Beijing, the South China Morning Post (SCMP) reported, citing sources familiar with the conversation.

⚡️Trump says he "didn't make any progress" with Putin following phone call (kyivindependent.com/i-didnt-make-any-progress-at-all-trump-says-following-call-with-putin-06-2025/).

Ukraine war latest: Putin tells Trump Russia won't back down from its war aims in Ukraine

⚡️'I'm very disappointed' — Trump says (kyivindependent.com/im-very-disappointed-trump-says-after-phone-call-with-putin-06-2025/) after phone call with Putin.
"I'm speaking to President Zelensky tomorrow in the morning, and I'm very disappointed with the conversation I had today with President Putin," U.S. President Donald Trump told journalists.

⚡️'We haven't' — Trump denies US pausing weapons (kyivindependent.com/we-havent-trump-denies-us-pausing-weapons-to-ukraine-despite-pentagon-decision-to-halt-shipments-06-2025/) to Ukraine, despite Pentagon decision to halt shipments.
"You know, Biden emptied out our whole country giving them weapons and we have to make sure that we have enough for ourselves," Trump added after his initial denial.

⚡️Trump's pause on Russia sanctions under investigation (kyivindependent.com/trumps-pause-on-russia-sanctions-under-investigation-by-senate-democrats-06-2025/) by Senate Democrats.
"Americans should be asking why a president who says he wants to end a major war is instead letting the aggressor run rampant," the senators said in a joint statement issued July 3.

⚡️Trump envoy Steve Witkoff pushing (kyivindependent.com/trump-envoy-steve-witkoff-pushing-to-lift-energy-sanctions-on-russia-politico-reports-06-2025/) to lift energy sanctions on Russia, Politico reports.
While Special Envoy Steve Witkoff is reportedly advocating for the easing of energy sanctions, others in the administration disagree. Interior Secretary Doug Burgum favors reducing U.S. reliance on Russian imports rather than expanding trade, according to Politico.

⚡️'There is also good news' — Ukrainian drones reportedly hit (kyivindependent.com/drones-strike-moscow-oblast-and-southern-russia-local-officials-say-06-2025/) key military optics plant in Russia.
Andrii Kovalenko, head of Ukraine's counter-disinformation center, said a drone hit the Azov Optical and Mechanical Plant in the town of Azov, Rostov Oblast. The facility reportedly manufactures critical components for the Russian military, including sights, rangefinders, thermal imaging systems, and fire control equipment for tanks, infantry fighting vehicles, ships, and aircraft.

⚡️Russia becomes first country to recognize (kyivindependent.com/russia-becomes-first-country-to-recognize-afghanistans-taliban-government-06-2025/) Afghanistan's Taliban government.

⚡️ 'A powerful secondary explosion (https://kyivindependent.com/a-powerful-secondary-explosion-ukrainian-drones-destroy-russian-ammunition-depot-in-donetsk-oblast-sbu-says-06-2025/)' — Ukrainian drones destroy Russian ammunition depot in Donetsk Oblast, SBU says.
Unconfirmed videos posted to social media show a fire already burning followed by a large explosion and shockwave

⚡️ Number of Ukrainian children killed (kyivindependent.com/children-killed-and-maimed-in-ukraine-have-jumped-threefold-in-recent-months-06-2025/) and injured amid Russian full-scale invasion jumps threefold in recent months.
The latest U.N. figures show a threefold jump in the number of deaths and injuries for children over the three months ending in May.

⚡️ Russian propaganda media Sputnik shuts down operations (kyivindependent.com/russian-propaganda-media-sputnik-shuts-down-operations-in-azerbaijan-amid-tensions-06-2025/) in Azerbaijan amid tensions.

⚡️'One of Russia's most critical targets' — Ukraine confirms (kyivindependent.com/drone-wreckage-kills-1-injures-2-in-russias-lipetsk-authorities-say/) strike on missile battery plant in Lipetsk.
Ukraine's General Staff stated that explosions were recorded on the Energia factory grounds and that production had been halted.
The facility manufactures batteries for missile guidance and glider modules, including for the Iskander system and cruise missiles.

⚡️Ukrainian Air Force officer acting as 'FSB mole' arrested, (kyivindependent.com/ukrainian-air-force-officer-arrested-as-alleged-fsb-mole-sbu-says-06-2025/) SBU says.
The alleged spy, arrested during a special operation in Lviv Oblast, was reportedly recruited through his ex-wife, a former military officer now cooperating with Russian forces in occupied Melitopol.

⚡️UPDATE: Russia's mass missile and drone strike on Kyiv injures at least 23. (kyivindependent.com/kyiv-under-attack-as-russia-launches-waves-of-drones-on-ukraine-06-2025/)

‪Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦‬ ‪@ragnarbjartur.bsky.social‬
· 1h
⚡️ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA — JUL 4, 2025
■ Casualties above the 7-day average despite a drop in combat engagements
■ Heavy equipment losses — both land-based and drones
■ Increased strikes on both sides; decent strike ratio

Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦 (@ragnarbjartur.bsky.social)

My day job involves making sense of data. In my spare time, I apply these skills to Ukraine's fight for freedom.

https://bsky.app/profile/ragnarbjartur.bsky.social

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 04/07/2025 12:20

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

The Ministry of Environment has reported a significant deterioration in air quality in Kyiv due to fires caused by the night attack. The radiation background remains normal.
Residents are advised to stay indoors, keep windows closed, drink plenty of water, and run air purifiers at full capacity. These precautions are especially important for individuals with respiratory or cardiovascular conditions.

Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha reacted to the massive Russian attack on the night of July 4, calling it “one of the worst of all time.”
“Putin shows Trump his contempt,” Sybiha said, referring to the timing of the strike, which came shortly after news of the U.S. president’s phone call with the Russian leader.

Photographer Kostiantyn Liberov has shared more images capturing the aftermath of the massive overnight attack on Kyiv.

🇵🇱 During the night shelling of Kyiv, the consular section of the Polish Embassy was damaged, Polish Foreign Minister Radosław Sikorski reported.

🇩🇪 Bild: Germany wants to strike a deal with the US on Patriot systems for Ukraine
Berlin is awaiting confirmation from U.S. Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth on the transfer of two Patriot air defense systems, which Germany plans to finance for Ukraine.
According to Bild sources, after Washington suspended certain arms deliveries to Kyiv, Berlin is concerned the U.S. may also refuse to supply the requested Patriots.

🇸🇪 Sweden is providing Ukraine with $130 million in aid.
The new package includes over 10 Archer artillery systems, long-range strike weapons, underwater systems, Volvo and Scania trucks, as well as container complexes for rapid unloading.

✈️ Ukraine has signed an agreement with several American companies to jointly produce drones, including interceptor drones, President Zelenskyy announced during his visit to Denmark.
In a follow-up post on X, he mentioned Swift Beat as one of the key partners.
The cooperation will focus on producing:
• Interceptor drones for shooting down enemy UAVs and missiles
• Quadcopters for reconnaissance and fire correction
• Strike drones capable of hitting targets deep in enemy territory

While Kyiv is under attack, let us tell you more about Sky Sentinel.
Sky Sentinel (u24.gov.ua/sky-sentinel?utm_source=telegram&utm_medium=media&utm_campaign=sky-sentinel) is a Ukrainian solution, designed to protect our cities and people. It is an autonomous, AI-powered air-defense turret, equipped with a heavy machine gun and capable of 360° rotation.
While Russia attacks Ukrainian cities on a daily basis, targeting residential areas and infrastructure, and air raids are heard day and night, Ukraine is constantly improving its capabilities to counter Russian aerial threats.
To protect its people, Ukraine is constantly improving its capabilities to counter Russian aerial threats. Sky Sentinel will join in on the defense. Ukrainians deserve peaceful nights.
Join us in raising $1,500,000 (u24.gov.ua/sky-sentinel?utm_source=telegram&utm_medium=media&utm_campaign=sky-sentinel) towards the purchase of 10 AI-controlled turrets to protect Ukrainians from Russian aerial threats.

As reported by the Air Force, Russia launched a total of 539 drones and 11 missiles across Ukraine, including:
• 1 Kh-47M2 Kinzhal aeroballistic missile
• 6 Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missiles
• 4 Iskander-K cruise missiles
Kyiv was the main target of the attack. According to the Air Force, 9 missiles and 63 UAVs were intercepted in 8 locations, with debris falling in 33 areas.
In total, the Air Defense Forces neutralized 268 drones and 2 Iskander-K cruise missiles.

😣 Five ambulances were damaged by the shelling while responding to calls for the injured in Kyiv, the mayor reported.
Fortunately, no medical personnel were injured.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 57
Ukraine Invasion: Part 57
Ukraine Invasion: Part 57
Ukraine Invasion: Part 57
Ukraine Invasion: Part 57
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 04/07/2025 12:26

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

As Russia pounds Ukraine with its largest drone attack yet, (www.kyivpost.com/post/55684) Russian Foreign Minister Lavrov sends a July 4th congratulatory message to US Secretary of State Rubio.

Putin told Trump that Moscow was prepared to continue the negotiation process with Ukraine, (www.kyivpost.com/post/55658) but said that Moscow “will not back down from its goals to eliminate the causes of the conflict.”

Ukraine’s Defense Forces destroyed 4,750 air targets (www.kyivpost.com/post/55618) including 159 cruise, ballistic and guided missiles in June in the face of an increased Russian aerial assault on the country.

Drones strike Russia’s Sergiyev Posad in the Moscow region, with a power station among the damaged targets.

Ukraine and Russia conducted a new prisoner exchange — Zelensky
Most had been in Russian captivity since 2022. Among those freed are soldiers, guards, transport service members, and civilians.

Helicopters battle a massive blaze in Kyiv after an overnight Russian attack.
Russia unleashes its biggest-ever drone swarm on Ukraine — over 330 Shaheds.

This is what Kyiv looks like now, after a hours-long combined Russian attack. The massive strike came shortly after Putin’s phone call with Trump.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 57
Ukraine Invasion: Part 57
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 04/07/2025 12:29

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

🇺🇸 In a new report, the CIA supports the conclusion that Russia aided Donald Trump’s victory in the 2016 election.
CIA Director John Ratcliffe, appointed by Trump, ordered a focus on the 2016 report’s assertion that Russia sought to help Trump win the presidency. The new assessment found no basis to refute that claim.
The document mentions certain “procedural anomalies,” but overall emphasizes the 2016 report’s analytical rigor and strict adherence to intelligence standards.
These findings place Ratcliffe in an awkward position with Trump. In a post on X, the CIA director omitted the confirmation of the 2016 conclusions, instead accusing Obama-era officials of “manipulating intelligence and silencing professionals — all to go after Trump.”

🇧🇪🇹🇷 Belgium and Turkey have joined the Drone Coalition.
On Wednesday, the leadership committee of the international Drone Coalition approved the two countries’ request to become members, bringing the total number of participants to 20.
▪️The Drone Coalition for Ukraine was launched on February 17, 2024, as part of the Ukraine Defense Contact Group (“Ramstein” format). The initiative is co-led by Latvia and the United Kingdom.
▪️Between 2024 and 2025, total assistance to Ukraine is expected to reach €4.5 billion. In 2025 alone, member states contributed nearly €180 million to a joint procurement fund. These funds are designated for centralized drone technology purchases and support for each member country’s national manufacturers.

🇩🇰🇪🇺 Denmark to push for suspending Hungary’s voting rights in the EU over its obstruction of Ukraine’s accession.
Danish Minister for European Affairs Marie Bjerre announced that Copenhagen will seek to activate Article 7 of the Treaty on European Union — often referred to as the “nuclear option” — which allows the EU to sanction member states that violate the bloc’s values, including by suspending their voting rights in the Council.
This move comes as Hungary continues to block Ukraine’s EU accession. While Brussels has long accused Budapest of rule-of-law violations, Article 7 procedures have never been fully enforced. If activated and carried through, Hungary could lose its say on crucial matters — such as EU enlargement — effectively stripping it of its veto power over Ukraine’s membership.
Bjerre also emphasized that the EU should consider limiting access to European funds for member states that systematically breach EU law.

🇵🇱 Polish President Andrzej Duda has not ruled out the possibility of becoming Prime Minister.
He stated that while he does not plan to run in parliamentary elections, he wouldn’t hesitate to take on new responsibilities to serve the country if there were a need to find a new prime minister. When asked whether he had received such offers, Duda said no.

In Moscow, the Vice President of Transneft, Andrey Badalov, has died — reportedly after falling from a window.
According to Russian law enforcement, Badalov’s body was found beneath a building on Rublyovskoye Highway. The preliminary cause of death is being treated as suicide. However, Russian media note a discrepancy: although Badalov lived on the 10th floor, he is said to have fallen from the balcony of the 17th.
Andrey Badalov had served as Vice President of Transneft since 2021.

Former occupation “mayor” of Luhansk Manolis Pilavov was blown up in the city center.
The explosion occurred near the local history museum during the opening of an exhibition dedicated to Russia’s military operation in the Kursk region. According to Russian Telegram channels, the explosive device was detonated remotely as Pilavov walked past.
Three other people were injured in the blast.
Pilavov served as the so-called mayor of Luhansk from 2014 to 2023.

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 04/07/2025 12:32

^🇺🇸 In a new report, the CIA supports the conclusion that Russia aided Donald Trump’s victory in the 2016 election.
CIA Director John Ratcliffe, appointed by Trump, ordered a focus on the 2016 report’s assertion that Russia sought to help Trump win the presidency. The new assessment found no basis to refute that claim.
The document mentions certain “procedural anomalies,” but overall emphasizes the 2016 report’s analytical rigor and strict adherence to intelligence standards.
These findings place Ratcliffe in an awkward position with Trump. In a post on X, the CIA director omitted the confirmation of the 2016 conclusions, instead accusing Obama-era officials of “manipulating intelligence and silencing professionals — all to go after Trump.”^

@MissConductUS is this report actually accurate? Live: Ukraine is not always 100% trustable, specially on issues that aren't concrete visible events outside Ukraine.

MissConductUS · 04/07/2025 13:11

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 04/07/2025 12:32

^🇺🇸 In a new report, the CIA supports the conclusion that Russia aided Donald Trump’s victory in the 2016 election.
CIA Director John Ratcliffe, appointed by Trump, ordered a focus on the 2016 report’s assertion that Russia sought to help Trump win the presidency. The new assessment found no basis to refute that claim.
The document mentions certain “procedural anomalies,” but overall emphasizes the 2016 report’s analytical rigor and strict adherence to intelligence standards.
These findings place Ratcliffe in an awkward position with Trump. In a post on X, the CIA director omitted the confirmation of the 2016 conclusions, instead accusing Obama-era officials of “manipulating intelligence and silencing professionals — all to go after Trump.”^

@MissConductUS is this report actually accurate? Live: Ukraine is not always 100% trustable, specially on issues that aren't concrete visible events outside Ukraine.

It's a bit backward. Here's a better report:

New CIA report criticizes investigation into Russia’s support for Trump in 2016

A CIA report in 2017 concluded that Russia interfered with the 2016 election to support Trump. The new report has some criticisms of the earlier one.

There's no doubt that Putin wanted Trump over Hilary Clinton. How far the took that is not completely clear. A lengthy investigation that took place after the election found no evidence that Trump had any role in whatever Russia might have done.

CIA Director John Ratcliffe departs a classified briefing for senators at the Capitol on Capitol Hill, Thursday, June 26, 2025, in Washington. (AP Photo/Rod Lamkey, Jr.)

New CIA report criticizes investigation into Russia's support for Trump in 2016

A newly released report from the CIA challenges the work intelligence agencies did to investigate Russia's support for Donald Trump ahead of the 2016 election.

https://apnews.com/article/russia-putin-trump-cia-2016-obama-cbb79bc0e957f1d8178a70e0b40b96c0

blueshoes · 04/07/2025 14:38

Hi @DucklingSwimmingInstructress @DesdamonasHandkerchief @LlttledrummergirI would anyone be able to take over the ISW updates for a week from Sat/tomorrow 5/7 to Sat 12/7. I will be without wifi or internet that week.

I realise I am a little behind on ISW updates. Will get to that now.

blueshoes · 04/07/2025 15:20

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-july-2-2025

Key Takeaways:

  • The United States paused weapons supplies to Ukraine, including critical air defense interceptors, artillery shells, missiles, and rockets.
  • The decision to suspend military aid to Ukraine will likely force Ukrainian forces to continue to husband materiel, although the exact timing of the planned deliveries that the United States paused remains unclear at this time.
  • The suspension of US aid to Ukraine will likely accelerate Russian gains on the battlefield, as previous US aid suspensions have in the past.
  • The suspension of US aid to Ukraine will reinforce Russian President Vladimir Putin's theory of victory that posits that Russia can win the war of attrition by making slow, creeping advances and outlasting Western support for Ukraine.
  • Kremlin officials are responding to the US military aid suspension by publicly flouting Putin's theory of military victory as successful — in direct opposition to US President Donald Trump's stated goal of bringing Russia to the negotiating table and achieving a lasting and just peace.
  • The Kremlin is also using the US aid suspension as a basis to continue rhetorical attacks against European defensive efforts that are in line with Trump's initiative for Europe to shoulder more of the burden for collective defense.
  • The US decision to suspend military aid to Ukraine will particularly degrade Ukraine's ability to defend against Russia's enhanced long-range missile and drone strike capabilities that have inflicted significant civilian casualties — in sharp contrast to President Trump's stated objective of stopping civilian casualties in Ukraine.
  • Ukrainian forces advanced in northern Sumy Oblast. Russian forces advanced in northern Kharkiv Oblast and near Toretsk and Novopavlivka.
blueshoes · 04/07/2025 15:24

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-july-3-2025

Key Takeaways:

  • Russian President Vladimir Putin rejected US President Donald Trump's call for a quick peace in Ukraine during a phone call with Trump on July 3.
  • Putin's stated commitment to his goals in Ukraine, including eliminating the so-called "root causes" of the war directly contradicts his claim that Russia supports meaningful negotiations to end the war.
  • Details about the recent US suspension of aid to Ukraine remain unclear.
  • A Ukrainian strike killed the deputy commander-in-chief of the Russian Navy in Kursk Oblast, and an unknown actor may have assassinated a high-ranking Russian Federal Security Service (FSB) official in Moscow City.
  • Ukraine's Security Service (SBU) reportedly assassinated the former occupation mayor of Luhansk City.
  • Ukraine’s Western allies continue to provide military aid to Ukraine, but the United States remains the only Ukrainian partner that can provide certain critical weapons systems – especially air defenses -- at scale and quickly.
  • Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Borova and Siversk and in western Zaporizhia Oblast. Russian forces recently advanced near Kupyansk, Toretsk, and Velyka Novosilka and in western Zaporizhia Oblast.
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 04/07/2025 17:16

blueshoes · 04/07/2025 14:38

Hi @DucklingSwimmingInstructress @DesdamonasHandkerchief @LlttledrummergirI would anyone be able to take over the ISW updates for a week from Sat/tomorrow 5/7 to Sat 12/7. I will be without wifi or internet that week.

I realise I am a little behind on ISW updates. Will get to that now.

Sure, nps!

If you're off on holiday, have a super time. If not, hope you still have a good time :D

@MissConductUS thanks. Russian interference in Scottish elections was proven; there seems considerable evidence they interfered to push Brexit too, but Johnson refused to publish the report and neither has Starmer. Johnson is no surprise (corrupt) but I had hoped Starmer would.

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 04/07/2025 18:02

@MissConductUS A little belated, but Happy Independence Day!

notimagain · 04/07/2025 18:09

Oh yes, been busy/distracted and missed that...

Happy Independence Day

blueshoes · 04/07/2025 21:55

@DucklingSwimmingInstructress thanks for covering for me on holiday!

@MissConductUS Happy Independence Day! 🇺🇸🇺🇦

DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 05/07/2025 10:41

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-july-4-2025

Key Takeaways:

  • Russian forces conducted the largest combined drone and missile strike against Ukraine since the start of Russia's full-scale invasion on the night of July 3 to 4, primarily targeting Kyiv City. Russian forces have conducted 10 of the largest strikes in the war since January 2025.
  • US Patriot air defense systems remain critical to Ukraine's ability to defend against Russian ballistic missile strikes.
  • US President Donald Trump acknowledged Russian President Vladimir Putin's unwillingness to end the war in Ukraine on July 3 as Kremlin officials continue to demonstrate a critical lack of interest in good-faith negotiations with Ukraine.
  • Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky and US President Donald Trump discussed diplomatic efforts and joint work supporting Ukraine's defense industrial base (DIB) during a phone call on July 4.
  • Ukraine and Russia conducted the eighth prisoner of war (POW) exchange since Ukrainian and Russian officials met in Istanbul and agreed to a series of exchanges on June 2.
  • Ukrainian forces recently advanced near Kupyansk. Russian forces recently advanced in northern Sumy Oblast and near Chasiv Yar and Velyka Novosilka.
Ukraine Invasion: Part 57
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 05/07/2025 10:52

Kyiv Independent Telegram Highlights

Russia launches another horrific attack on Kyiv hours after Trump-Putin call

⚡️New NATO commander (kyivindependent.com/new-nato-commander-takes-helm-as-alliance-lauds-outgoing-chief-for-modernizing-defense-06-2025/) takes helm as alliance lauds outgoing chief for modernizing defense.
NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte presided over the handover, commending outgoing U.S. Army General Christopher G. Cavoli for his contributions to modernizing NATO's collective defense and bolstering support for Ukraine.

⚡️ Zelensky, Trump hold phone call (kyivindependent.com/zelensky-trump-hold-phone-call-after-putins-pledge-to-continue-war-in-ukraine/) after Putin's pledge to continue war in Ukraine.

⚡️ Trump says Putin 'wants to keep killing people (kyivindependent.com/trump-says-putin-wants-to-keep-killing-people-signals-us-may-send-patriots-to-ukraine-06-2025/),' signals US may send Patriots to Ukraine.
"It just seems like he wants to go all the way and just keep killing people. It's not good," U.S. President Donald Trump said.

⚡️'Disingenuous' Hegseth paused Ukraine weapons (kyivindependent.com/hegseth-paused-ukraine-weapons-despite-pentagon-findings-aid-wouldnt-hurt-us-readiness-nbc-reports-06-2025/) despite Pentagon finding aid wouldn't hurt US readiness, NBC reports.
A senior military review had concluded that while some munitions stockpiles, including precision weapons, were low, they had not fallen below critical thresholds, according to NBC. Still, U.S.
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth opted to stop the shipment. This is reportedly his third such move since February.

⚡️US did not halt (kyivindependent.com/us-did-not-halt-weapons-shipments-to-ukraine-meloni-says-06-2025/) weapons shipments to Ukraine, Meloni says.
The U.S. has "reviewed" the components it is supplying Ukraine, but did not halt assistance, Italian Prime Minister Giorgia Meloni said on July 4.

⚡️'Coalition of the willing' for Ukraine to meet (kyivindependent.com/coalition-of-the-willing-for-ukraine-to-meet-in-uk-on-july-10-politico-reports-06-2025/) in UK on July 10, Politico reports.
The British and French-led "coalition of the willing" is set to meet in the U.K. next week, Politico reported on July 4.

⚡️ Update: Ukraine attacks Russian airfield (kyivindependent.com/ukraine-strikes-deep-into-russia-with-drones-after-record-kyiv-barrage-06-2025/) with drones, hits bomb warehouse, aircraft

⚡️Ukraine strikes deep into Russia (kyivindependent.com/ukraine-strikes-deep-into-russia-with-drones-after-record-kyiv-barrage-06-2025/) with drones, targets airfields after record Kyiv barrage.
The Russian Defense Ministry reported a total of 42 drones destroyed, with 37 of them intercepted in three regions bordering Ukraine: Belgorod, Bryansk, and Kursk.

⚡️Moldova's EU future rests on September election (kyivindependent.com/moldovas-eu-future-rests-on-september-election-president-sandu-says-06-2025/), President Sandu says.
Moldovan President Maia Sandu hopes her pro-European Party of Action and Solidarity (PAS) will retain its parliamentary majority in the September 28 elections.

⚡️ Russia damages Chinese consulate (kyivindependent.com/chinese-consulate-in-odesa-damaged-in-russian-attack-as-china-made-drone-parts-found-in-kyiv/) in Odesa as Chinese drone parts found in Kyiv following similar attack.
China has not publicly acknowledged the incident or reported any damage to its diplomatic premises in Odesa.

⚡️ Germany reportedly mulls (kyivindependent.com/germany-reportedly-mulls-29-billion-tank-vehicle-order-to-deter-russia-06-2025/) $29 billion tank, vehicle order to deter Russia.
Berlin is reportedly considering purchasing up to 2,500 GTK Boxer armored vehicles and up to 1,000 Leopard 2 battle tanks.

⚡️'There will be 1,000 units per day' — Ukrainian commander warns (kyivindependent.com/there-will-be-1-000-units-per-day-ukrainian-commander-warns-of-increased-russian-shahed-drone-attacks-06-2025/) of increased Russian Shahed drone attacks.
Robert "Magyar" Brovdi, commander of the Unmanned Systems Forces, warned on July 4 that Russian Shahed drone strikes could increase to 1,000 per day, prompting Ukraine to consider relocating drone production.

⚡️ 4 killed, 37 injured in Russian attacks (kyivindependent.com/4-killed-37-injured-in-russian-attacks-on-ukraine-over-past-day-06-2025/) on Ukraine over past day.
Russia launched 322 drones overnight, including Iranian-designed Shahed-type attack drones, according to Ukraine's Air Force.

Ragnar Bjartur Gudmundsson 🇺🇦‬ ‪@ragnarbjartur.bsky.social‬
· 32m
⚡️ WAR IN UKRAINE & RUSSIA — JUL 5, 2025
■ Engagements well above average; casualties remain close to it
■ Record drone losses (surpassing the previous high on Jun 7); land-based losses also well above average
■ Strike ratio stays in the single digits

Ukraine Invasion: Part 57
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 05/07/2025 11:04

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

❗️Putin is preparing a summer of uninterrupted attacks on Ukraine amid cuts in US military aid — The Wall Street Journal
▪️ Moscow is stepping up ground operations and intensified bombing of Ukrainian cities.
▪️ During his phone call with Trump on Thursday, Putin reportedly showed no intention to heed U.S. calls to end the war.
▪️ His strategy is aimed at breaking Ukraine’s capacity and will to resist by increasing pressure on the military and civilians.
▪️ Recent developments have reinforced the Kremlin’s belief that a prolonged war will exhaust Ukraine and its Western allies.
▪️ As Ukraine is forced to conserve resources, the Russian army may gain ground more rapidly.
▪️ Ukraine has held back the Russian advance in the Sumy region, but at the cost of stretching its already limited forces.
▪️ Seizing territory is not currently Putin’s main objective. His priority is to wear down Ukraine militarily, destroy its arsenal, and erode morale both domestically and internationally.

Slovakia has once again blocked the adoption of the EU’s 18th package of sanctions against Russia at the level of permanent representatives, according to a statement from the Slovak Ministry of Foreign Affairs cited by TASR.
Bratislava continues to insist on firm guarantees from the European Commission regarding the RePowerEU initiative, which envisions ending all Russian gas imports to the EU by January 1, 2028. Prime Minister Robert Fico’s government argues that this would seriously harm Slovakia’s economy.

As a result of Russian shelling, the last power transmission line connecting the occupied Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant to the Ukrainian power system was disabled, Energoatom reported.
The plant has switched to emergency diesel generators due to the complete blackout.

Ukrenergo specialists have restored the operation of the high-voltage line that supplies electricity to the temporarily occupied Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant.

Ukraine has developed a multifunctional UAV called “POP Fly,” which is an analogue of the American Switchblade, Militarnyi reports.
The drone can be used for both reconnaissance and strike missions, with interchangeable cameras and warheads.
• The reconnaissance version has a range of 100–120 km.
• The kamikaze version has a range of 50–100 km, depending on the warhead (2.5–5 kg).
“POP Fly” is already ready for mass production.

German government spokesman Steffen Hebestreit confirmed that Berlin is holding “intensive negotiations” with the United States regarding the supply of Patriot air defense systems to Ukraine.

Three NATO countries — Germany, Sweden, and Denmark — have begun inspecting Russian tankers in the Baltic Sea, Foreign Policy reports.
The move aims to crack down on Russia’s shadow fleet by requiring ships to present valid insurance documents while passing through their territorial waters.
Vessels without proper insurance risk being blacklisted by the US, UK, and EU, tightening enforcement of energy sanctions and limiting Russia’s ability to fund its war in Ukraine.
Russia’s shadow fleet largely consists of older tankers with dubious insurance, often owned via foreign shell companies and sailing under flags of convenience. These ships typically refuse to use local pilots while navigating narrow coastal straits — a growing concern for Denmark and Sweden.
Officials also warn that the shadow fleet poses environmental and security threats, with fears of a major oil spill and suspicions of sabotage, including attacks on undersea cables in the Baltic region.

[reported yesterday, more info]
Another prisoner exchange has taken place.
Many of those who returned had been held in Russian captivity since 2022.
“Our defenders who fought for Ukraine in various regions are coming home today: Donetsk, Mariupol, Luhansk, Kharkiv, Kherson. These include soldiers of the Armed Forces, the National Guard, the State Border Guard Service, the State Special Transport Service — and civilians as well,” President Zelenskyy said.
❗️ A key feature of this exchange is the return of Ukrainian defenders whom Russia had sentenced to long prison terms, Ombudsman Dmytro Lubinets noted.
Some of the released military personnel had previously been listed as missing.
According to the Coordinating Headquarters, the youngest released defender is 20 years old, and the oldest is 59. The group includes wounded and seriously ill soldiers, as well as those under 25.

The head of the American Chamber of Commerce in Ukraine, Andriy Gunder, has called on the U.S. administration, the White House, and President Donald Trump to protect American business by providing Ukraine with the necessary weapons to defend against Russian air attacks.
“While Americans celebrate Independence Day, here in Ukraine we have experienced a night of terror — 500 Russian air targets across the country, in the center of Kyiv.
The losses are staggering. More than half of the 600 members of the ATPU suffered direct losses during the war. American business is being destroyed by Russia,” Gunder emphasized in a statement published on Facebook.

#Kharkiv region: Russian forces launched a massive drone strike on the city of Chuhuiv.
At least 11 people were injured, including 2 children.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 57
Ukraine Invasion: Part 57
Ukraine Invasion: Part 57
DucklingSwimmingInstructress · 05/07/2025 11:10

Kyiv Post Telegram Highlights

Zelensky and Trump discussed Russian airstrikes, the frontline situation, defense industry capabilities, and mutual purchases and investments during their call.

Trump told Zelensky he wants to help Ukraine with air defense — Axios
According to the outlet, during a 40-minute call the presidents discussed Ukraine’s air defense needs. Trump promised to look into possible delivery delays and expressed his willingness to assist.

What do ambassadors talk about when the cameras are off?
Canadian Ambassador Natalka Cmoc and Greek Ambassador Alexandros Dimitrakopoulos sit down in Kyiv for a candid conversation.
www.kyivpost.com/videos/55722

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