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Where has the money for the NHS and schools gone?

151 replies

EmmaGrundyForPM · 11/06/2024 09:27

I'm not an economist so please cam someone explain this in lay terms to me?

The NHS and schools need far more funding. Along with other public services. But why is this? Taxes have risen, some costs have gone down, and yet there's not as much funding as,say, 20 years ago.

I work in local government. We've had wage stagnation for at least 10 years. In real terms, my pay is about 20% less. That's the same in a lot of other public services. I appreciate that other costs, especially building ones, have gone up.

Given that, as far as I can see, taxes haven't gone down, why is there now far less money to pay for public services?

OP posts:
TizerorFizz · 13/06/2024 17:33

Our pension funds invest in global shares. It’s just how the global economy works. We needed significant investment when the water companies were sold, but the aging system and significant population growth has caused issues. So has the changing climate. Again we almost certainly need to pay more. The CEO salary dwarfs when you look at the investment needed. No political party can tackle all of this.

Pinkfluffypencilcase · 13/06/2024 17:43

Imo water shouldn’t be a private business. It’s too precious. Some things shouldn’t be commodified.

Xyz1234567 · 13/06/2024 17:54

lemonstolemonade · 13/06/2024 08:56

(And yes, Michelle Mone and her husband are wrong'uns, but honestly this is a drop in the ocean overall)

£200 million is not a drop in the ocean by anyone's measure. Try telling that to some poor soul languishing in agony on an NHS waiting list.

Interested in this thread?

Then you might like threads about this subject:

TizerorFizz · 13/06/2024 18:02

Water is a commodity when we pay for it! And for sewage! Of course it’s got money attached to it. How do you think we should build sewers? Lottery funding? The water companies were supposed to raise money to build the infrastructure. This is now impossible so we will have to think of another solution but it will cost £million.

£200m goes some small way to paying nhs negligence payments.

TizerorFizz · 13/06/2024 18:04

By the way, even if her payments were inflated, it may well have been a similar sum would have been paid to someone else. Or not much less. Failure to plan was the biggest issue.

Pinkfluffypencilcase · 13/06/2024 18:05

But private ownership changes the priority to profit/ shareholders.

Pinkfluffypencilcase · 13/06/2024 18:07

TizerorFizz · 13/06/2024 18:04

By the way, even if her payments were inflated, it may well have been a similar sum would have been paid to someone else. Or not much less. Failure to plan was the biggest issue.

Lack of honesty integrity and transparency.

Maybe another company would’ve delivered for that money.

lemonstolemonade · 13/06/2024 18:22

@Xyz1234567 @Zonder

The NHS budget is £167 billion a year. Yes that money would make a difference to some people, of course. But it wouldn't change the fact that as a country we either need to accept lesser public services or pay more tax - there simply isn't enough waste and corruption to cut to change that hard fact.

TooBigForMyBoots · 13/06/2024 20:01

Pinkfluffypencilcase · 13/06/2024 18:05

But private ownership changes the priority to profit/ shareholders.

And that has been to the detriment of our country.

EilonwyWithRedGoldHair · 13/06/2024 20:29

TizerorFizz · 13/06/2024 14:32

All assessments involve multiple services though. For some DC we need to assess much earlier. At nursery in my view. Then do a lot more much more quickly. We have far more Sen dc than we ever thought possible 30 years ago. Why? What’s happening? Why has there been such an uptick? We had many services dealing with sen 30 years ago and just about kept going but now there’s so many more dc. I worked in a leafy lane area so parents really did push for dc. The numbers now are through the roof but why has this happened?

Every area of public service you look at struggles with volume and with fewer people working and paying tax, we won’t get out of it. Thames Water is virtually bankrupt. The bigger issue is with the regulator. Waste of space.

Of course a lot of people, services and teams may be involved but a lot of this was purely firefighting while waiting to get a diagnosis.

Prompter diagnosis and support could have prevented some of those costs and potentially reduced some of the stress DH and I faced - easy example, DS being prescribed melatonin has been life changing for all of us - couldn't be prescribed until he'd seen the paediatrician for assessment. Things are still difficult, but no longer being up with DS until 1am has saved my sanity. Unfortunately he often does still wake around 3 or 4ish but that's a lot more manageable if he's asleep before 11, usually before 10.30.

TizerorFizz · 13/06/2024 20:34

Not necessarily. We don’t seem to mind Specsavers. We quite like non nhs glasses. And other suppliers. What we don’t seem to like is no choice. We are Thames Water and that’s it. We have trains operated by one company. No choice. Prior to privatizing services many people didn’t like the state offering. We, as usual, are just short of money and the state starved utilities of investment.

MaryMaryVeryContrary · 13/06/2024 23:35

Xyz1234567 · 13/06/2024 17:54

£200 million is not a drop in the ocean by anyone's measure. Try telling that to some poor soul languishing in agony on an NHS waiting list.

Not if you spend it on just a few things perhaps but it’s minuscule in terms of government budgets.

Yalta · 14/06/2024 00:56

DramaLlamaBangBang · 12/06/2024 19:58

I agree with this. Why not remind people of appointments by text? Why are they sending letters to people that often don't arrive until after the appointment? Why do you have to see about 5 people on a conveyor belt when you go to hospital?
There is an underclass that takes up huge amounts of resources, but unfortunately they will always be here. What do we do with drug addicts? You cant just leave them to die. What about poor parents?Maybe they should have their children removed far more quickly, but often they just go on to have more and more children, and it costs a fortune to remove them and put them into care, where they have terrible outcomes. All societies have these people. Its not unique to us.

We too waited for an appointment for months only for the letter to arrive after the appointment time and daye

What was so ridiculous was that on the letter it said

4th February appointment requested

5th May appointment made

14th June appointment request sent for typing

21st June appointment letter typed

28th June appointment (for 31st May) letter sent out

This particular department advertised their missed appointment numbers in tens of thousands and the drs and nurses when you mentioned the system didn’t seem to realise the problem

Yalta · 14/06/2024 00:59

With the nhs it only takes £1 or £2 here and there to be spent on things that happen multiple times per day that are not vital and the money can soon be lost

EmmaGrundyForPM · 14/06/2024 04:17

Pinkfluffypencilcase · 13/06/2024 17:43

Imo water shouldn’t be a private business. It’s too precious. Some things shouldn’t be commodified.

I totally agree. I would like a lot of services to be (re)nationalised.

OP posts:
GeneralPeter · 14/06/2024 04:56

A few major things:

  • aging population means NHS demand keeps rising and rising. NHS funding grew in real terms even though austerity, but demand rises faster.
  • growth has stagnated since about 2007 and didn't accelerate to make up the gap. That was seen in many countries (except the US), but austerity probably made it worse for us.
  • austerity also directly suppressed NHS and schools funding
  • there were large Covid costs on the NHS but I don't know if they are material on a 'grand scale' or not. Covid put a strain on public finances in other ways eg furlough etc
  • interest rates and inflation post-Covid have eroded budgets directly
  • anti-growth policies including lack of housing/planning, and Brexit, caused by many things but one is the fact that retired people and property owners vote at a disproportionate rate.

What it isn't is MP salaries.

gymgoals2024 · 14/06/2024 05:44

Also covid impact on YP mental health, so more YP are signed on and unable to work. Not pointing at YP but I read this somewhere in some government policy. So economic growth isn't fast enough.

GeneralPeter · 14/06/2024 05:48

marmaladeandpeanutbutter · 11/06/2024 23:08

Liz Truss blasted through a lot of it. Tory MPs mates got a share. They don't tax the rich. There is a public debt of 100% , up from 35% 15 years ago. They (we) are still paying for the financial crisis and the incompetence of the financial sector, and of course we have wars we apparently need to support and gas /energy prices through the roof to subsidise.

www.reuters.com/world/uk/next-uk-government-faces-toughest-challenge-since-1950s-debt-ifs-2024-01-25/

I agree with a lot of your post, but it's simply not true that we don't tax the rich (or, at least, not if you mean the high-earning).

The top 10% of earners pay over 60% of total income tax, and a disproportionate share of most other taxes too.

You can argue over what the right share should be, but any discussion of funding for public services needs to recognise that most people cost the public finances more than they pay in. Also that different generations have got a very different deal from the public purse through their lifetimes.

Where has the money for the NHS and schools gone?
GeneralPeter · 14/06/2024 06:26

Pinkfluffypencilcase · 13/06/2024 18:05

But private ownership changes the priority to profit/ shareholders.

But in the optimistic case, it also gives the owners a big incentive to run efficiently and to innovate.

Do you think the supermarkets would be better run if they were one state-run provider? Because food is also precious.

I think there's a reasonable argument for nationalising water but it's not about the profit incentive or water being precious per se. It's that water is a natural monopoly in many ways (it's the same pipes, you can't get much real competition), it doesn't need much innovation or risk-taking (we don't need private investors to offload risk onto), it needs to be quite highly regulated anyway, and it needs a lot of capital investment.

The need for big capital investment is of course a reason it was privatized, to keep that off the public books. But actually the cost at which the government can borrow is below what a private company can.

I'm prepared to believe public management might have been a bit stodgier than private, but that doesn't seem to outweigh the advantages.

TizerorFizz · 14/06/2024 14:55

@GeneralPeter A lot of views are based on a very loose notion of what “rich” actually is. I think we do face issues if we overtax because, historically, this has stunted growth. We have 0 growth right now and the UK isn’t a great place to do business due to Brexit and other factors. Not wanting people to earn more is never going to encourage entrepreneurs. They just see working hard and being successful as not worth the effort. There’s a tipping point where we simply don’t get more tax into the coffers.

Growth is the key. The current government doesn’t feel very business friendly in many ways. I agree with you over water because there’s only one provider in the pipes. However there’s the sewerage issue. It may well be we need innovation in this industry. Highly unlikely government can fund all that’s needed. As we now know, for Thames Water, the shareholders won’t so probably it’s a dead duck as far as the market is concerned.

AngryLikeHades · 14/06/2024 15:14

Yalta · 12/06/2024 21:58

I had an issue with my back initially that transferred to excruciating constant pain in my hip

I asked for a MRI and was told that an MRI costs too much. They preferred to guess

The NHS doing guess work cost the NHS probably over £250,000 over 7 years

Cost of this guess work to me meant I couldn’t work for 7 years and it took 7 years of my life

Cost if an MRI £300

Someone in the NHS needs to learn to add up and understand the cost of scrimping on testing

That's appalling!! I'm so sorry that happened.

GeneralPeter · 14/06/2024 15:35

TizerorFizz · 14/06/2024 14:55

@GeneralPeter A lot of views are based on a very loose notion of what “rich” actually is. I think we do face issues if we overtax because, historically, this has stunted growth. We have 0 growth right now and the UK isn’t a great place to do business due to Brexit and other factors. Not wanting people to earn more is never going to encourage entrepreneurs. They just see working hard and being successful as not worth the effort. There’s a tipping point where we simply don’t get more tax into the coffers.

Growth is the key. The current government doesn’t feel very business friendly in many ways. I agree with you over water because there’s only one provider in the pipes. However there’s the sewerage issue. It may well be we need innovation in this industry. Highly unlikely government can fund all that’s needed. As we now know, for Thames Water, the shareholders won’t so probably it’s a dead duck as far as the market is concerned.

I agree growth is key. That was the one thing Truss got right! We have to encourage investment, lower the cost of living (housing being the main one), and simplify the tax system. I'd also incentivise the right kind of immigration to grow the economy and the tax base, and the worker-to-retiree ratios.

I don't mind the tax system being fairly steeply progressive, but I think high earners also need to feel that the system is fair. I think the best way to do that is to have a growing economy and good services: so the people who do well financially feel they're doing well because the country is doing well, and they can see what they are paying for. Not that the country is doing badly so they have to pick up the tab.

I feel there hasn't been any serious economic thinking in the Tory party for many years. I'm hoping Labour is better. Starmer has made some good noises about being pro-growth, but the proof will be in the pudding.

Pinkfluffypencilcase · 14/06/2024 15:37

GeneralPeter · 14/06/2024 06:26

But in the optimistic case, it also gives the owners a big incentive to run efficiently and to innovate.

Do you think the supermarkets would be better run if they were one state-run provider? Because food is also precious.

I think there's a reasonable argument for nationalising water but it's not about the profit incentive or water being precious per se. It's that water is a natural monopoly in many ways (it's the same pipes, you can't get much real competition), it doesn't need much innovation or risk-taking (we don't need private investors to offload risk onto), it needs to be quite highly regulated anyway, and it needs a lot of capital investment.

The need for big capital investment is of course a reason it was privatized, to keep that off the public books. But actually the cost at which the government can borrow is below what a private company can.

I'm prepared to believe public management might have been a bit stodgier than private, but that doesn't seem to outweigh the advantages.

I think in the case of food/ supermarkets there is enough real choice in terms of which supermarket and choices within the supermarket from basics to finest/ extra special.

Water being owned by remote shareholders hasn’t resulted in innovation. Maybe there should be govt incentives built in.

Pouring untreated sewage into our waterways is scandalous.

MaryMaryVeryContrary · 14/06/2024 15:45

TizerorFizz · 12/06/2024 23:02

@lemonstolemonade
I agree with your summary. I’m afraid too few people are working and paying tax. The top 1% already pay 30% of income tax paid. It’s all very well being jealous and going after one sector of business that has been very successful but it’s killing the golden goose. Of course a few are “wrong uns” but the sums of money involved aren’t huge. Labour will need to pinpoint very many others to get near the tax take they need. A bigger ambition would be to get the non working working again and paying tax. Or getting part timers doing full time and relinquishing benefits.

Our big problem is lack of productivity, especially in public services. I have some ideas as to why this might be and my first thought is doing too much. Or trying to do too much. We need to ration what’s available without charge. Obviously that’s a vote loser but unless we start a saving scheme for elderly care, for example, we will continue to haemorrhage money trying to provide services for millions. Of course we don’t have anyone to do the work, but that’s another story. My other thoughts are generous contracts and and lack of value for money evaluation of the work being done.

I also think some teaching leadership has been the architect of its own problems. Poor management and working conditions don’t keep staff. Far too much being done in schools that’s not education.

Our debt is more than annual GDP. We are not rich. We owe more than we make, and we want to spend more then we make. Tinkering with companies like Michelle Mone’s are irrelevant!

Agree 100%. The Tories being corrupt liars doesn’t excuse the public in all of this

GeneralPeter · 14/06/2024 15:45

@Pinkfluffypencilcase

Yes, I agree. I don't disagree with private shareholders in principle, but if there can't be true competition and there isn't a need for risk taking or innovation, I'm not sure there's much benefit.

Ultimately, I'm a pragmatist though. If privatised water had turned out great, I wouldn't be quibbling about the ownership model.

I also think the government could be much more skilful in managing technical things. We don't seem to be prepared to grow and promote real expertise in the civil service, or pay the going rate for it, which ends up being a false economy.