I melted my last surviving spatula on the hob last night and need a new one.
Would you go to the shop 6 miles away where you're 95% certain they have the exact one you need. Or would you go to the same shop 2 miles away, but you're only 50/50 that they have it?
The closest shop is 2 miles in the opposite direction, making the trip 8 miles to the 95% sure shop if the 50/50 shop doesn't have it.