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Ukraine Invasion: Part 45

981 replies

MagicFox · 26/09/2023 20:14

Thanks to all: contributors, lurkers and those in-between

**
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MMBaranova · 23/10/2023 22:24

I've been finding the Israel-Hamas war on top of Ukraine sapping. The level of 'debate' (which is generally simplistic he said she said level posturing) gets me down, so I've been sorting out the mass of images I have from previous academic work and chatting to a contact in Odessa who tries to not mention the war. The latter is refreshing in a way but she's not describing a normal situation.

Anyway, with your indulgence, I will try to post a few things that shine lights on Ukraine and Russia over the next two or three days. Back in my postgrad days I spent time in archives knee deep in, ooh Kerensky through to the end of the Russian Civil War? But the focus wasn't exactly on Russia.

PerkingFaintly · 23/10/2023 22:30

Oh please do, MMBaranova. I appreciate your explanations hugely.

MMBaranova · 23/10/2023 22:37

You may well have created a revision card for the Treaty of Brest-Litovsk for a History exam.

It might go like this: Treaty between (Soviet) Russia and Central Powers, 3rd March 1918, Russia withdraws from First World War, concedes.... Trotsky.... and so on.

Here's the text from the OTHER Treaty of Brest-Litovsk (from the back of an analytical British pamphlet during the post-WW1 turmoil) which was signed before the Russian treaty nearly a month earlier back in February. It was between Ukraine and the Central Powers. I find the language fascinating and also the questions over whether states will share borders when the music stops.

You might need to click, zoom etc. [Edited - a word removed.]

MMBaranova · 23/10/2023 22:38

Treaty Text 1

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
MMBaranova · 23/10/2023 22:39

Treaty Text 2 and 3

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
DancesWithDucks · 24/10/2023 11:00

@MMBaranova I find the Israeli/Gazan situation impossible to think about too. The invasion of Ukraine is actually ethically a very clear situation; the Gazan situation much less so, and the level of misinfo is extreme.

DancesWithDucks · 24/10/2023 11:16

Does anyone know the reasons why 1000 Ukrainians were in Gaza? I think it's about 300 now, but numbers are uncertain. Are they ethnic Palestinians who had gained Ukrainian citizenship awhile ago and then gone back when the invasion started? (poor sods)

DancesWithDucks · 24/10/2023 11:40

Kyiv Independent Telegram

⚡️ General Staff: Russia launches major attack across entire eastern front.
https://kyivindependent.com/russia-intensifies-attacks-along-much-of-eastern-front/ Russian forces are launching heavy attacks in many sectors of the eastern front, including in the Avdiivka, Kupiansk, Lyman, Bakhmut, and Marinka directions, the General Staff of Ukraine's Armed Forces reported on Oct. 23. There have been over 90 skirmishes with Russian forces recorded over the course of Oct. 22 on all fronts.

⚡️Military intelligence: 400,000 Russian soldiers occupy https://kyivindependent.com/military-intelligence-400-000-russian-soldiers-occupy-ukrainian-lands/ Ukrainian lands.
Despite what Yusov described as "a considerable number of personnel," he said he did not anticipate a Russian winter offensive on the same scale as that of February 2022, when Russia launched its full-scale invasion.

⚡️Undersea telecom cable between Sweden and Estonia damaged https://kyivindependent.com/undersea-telecom-cable-between-sweden-and-estonia-damaged-by-tampering/ by 'tampering.'
A Swedish investigation concluded that the damage occurred "within the Estonian economic zone" and did not affect the cable's functionality.

⚡️Shmyhal: EU pays https://kyivindependent.com/shmyhal-ukraine-receives-another-1-5-billion-euros-in-macro-financial-assistance-2/ latest tranche of 15 billion euros in macro-financial assistance to Ukraine. The European Commission has disbursed 15 billion euros out of a 18-billion-euro package to Ukraine so far in 2023.

⚡️ Washington Post: Ukraine conducts dozens of 'high-value' assassinations (https://kyivindependent.com/washington-post-sbu-behind-duginas-death-target-was-her-father/) inside Russia, citing undisclosed official sources. [this is the first that this has been openly mentioned]

⚡️Erdogan submits https://kyivindependent.com/erdogan-submits-bill-on-sweden-nato-membership-to-parliament/ bill on Sweden's NATO membership to parliament.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan has signed a long-awaited protocol on Sweden's NATO accession, which now has to be ratified by parliament, the Turkish Republic's Directorate of Communications announced on Oct. 23.

⚡️Switzerland shifts https://kyivindependent.com/far-right-populists-win-swiss-elections/ right as populists win parliamentary elections.
The right-wing Swiss People’s Party (SVP) won the country's Oct. 22 parliamentary elections, the final results revealed on Oct. 23.

⚡️ Ukraine evacuates children (kyivindependent.com/evacuations-ordered-for-children-from-8-donetsk-oblast-front-line-settlements/) from 8 Donetsk Oblast settlements.
Ukrainian authorities had ordered a mandatory evacuation of around 250 children from eight settlements in Donetsk Oblast due to a "critical security situation," the Reintegration Ministry announced on Oct. 23. [I believe this tends to happen when they think the fighting is going to reach these settlements, so it may be an indication that Russia is reaching further at the moment]

Ukrainian authorities ordered a mandatory evacuation of 802 children from 23 settlements in Kherson Oblast subjected to regular Russian attacks, the Reintegration Ministry announced on Oct. 23. https://kyivindependent.com/ukraine-to-evacuate-children-from-23-kherson-oblast-settlements/

⚡️Russian state media: Trade between Russia and India grows to record levels https://kyivindependent.com/russian-media-trade-between-russia-and-india-grows-to-record-levels/

Trade between Russia and India in the first eight months of 2023 more than doubled from the previous year, reaching a record high of almost $44 billion, Russian state-run media RIA Novosti claimed on Oct. 23. [despite payment hitches]

⚡️Russian population set to decrease by more than 7 million https://kyivindependent.com/russian-population-set-to-decrease-by-more-than-7-million-in-next-2-decades/ in next 2 decades from the previous census count of 146.45 million in 2021 to 138.77 million in 2046, Russia's Federal State Statistics Service reported.

⚡️ Orban compares Hungary's EU membership https://kyivindependent.com/orban-compares-hungarys-eu-membership-to-soviet-occupation/* to Soviet occupation.*
Hungary's Prime Minister Viktor Orban compared his country's EU membership to the era of the Soviet domination over the Central Eastern nation, the Associated Press reported on Oct. 23. [do fuck off then Órban]

Media: Hungary again blocks Ukraine aid https://kyivindependent.com/media-hungary-against-blocks-ukraine-aid-over-otp-bank/ over OTP Bank.
EU foreign ministers have again failed to agree on the 500 million euros ($530 million) in military aid for Ukraine, as Hungary seeks further assurances on the removal of its OTP Bank from Kyiv's international sponsors of war list, Radio Free Europe/Radio Liberty's correspondent Rikard Jozwiak reported on Oct. 23.

⚡️ Zelensky invites Saudis to Malta peace formula meeting https://kyivindependent.com/zelensky-invites-saudis-to-malta-pace-formula-talks-in-call-with-crown-prince/ in call with Crown Prince.

⚡️Moldova, Romania to conduct https://kyivindependent.com/moldova-romania-to-conduct-joint-military-exercises/ joint military exercises.

The Borz Batallion of the Russian Defense Ministry-controlled "Private Military Company Redut" Russian PMC starts recruiting women https://kyivindependent.com/russian-pmc-starts-recruiting-women-as-snipers-drone-operators/ as snipers, drone operators.

Demographic disaster: Ukraine's biggest post-war threat kyivindependent.com/demographic-disaster-solving-ukraines-biggest-post-war-threat/
The threat of a demographic crisis has been building in Ukraine for a while but Russia’s full-scale invasion has pushed it to the breaking point.
The UN has estimated that 6.2 million refugees left the country during the full-scale invasion and only one million have come back. That may not be enough for a full economic recovery, experts say.

⚡️Over 800 businesses relocate https://kyivindependent.com/over-800-businesses-relocate-from-front-line-regions-since-start-of-full-scale-invasion/ from south and east of Ukraine since start of full-scale invasion.

⚡️ Kuleba supports allowing multiple citizenship https://kyivindependent.com/kuleba-voices-support-for-dual-citizenship-for-ukrainians/ for Ukrainians, excluding the citizenship of Russia or other "unfriendly countries," Ukrinform reported on Oct. 23..

⚡️Spanish police find https://kyivindependent.com/spanish-police-find-archaeological-treasures-worth-over-60-million-stolen-from-ukraine/ archaeological treasures worth over $60 million stolen from Ukraine in the first few months of 2016.

⚡️Ireland planning https://kyivindependent.com/ireland-to-introduce-time-limit-in-provision-of-state-housing-for-ukrainian-refugees/ to limit Ukrainian refugees' access to state-provided housing to three months before they must secure their own living accommodations, the Irish Examiner said on Oct. 23, citing a government source.

The National Agency on Corruption Prevention suspects six military enlistment officials of illegally acquiring assets worth over Hr 255 million ($7 million) in the last half a year, the agency reported on Oct. 23. https://kyivindependent.com/corruption-prevention-agency-6-military-enlistment-officials-illegally-acquired-7-million-in-half-a-year/

⚡️3 local residents arrested https://kyivindependent.com/three-arrested-in-kherson-on-collaboration-charges/ in Kherson for spying.

⚡️Russia sentences https://kyivindependent.com/russia-sentences-second-detained-u-s-journalist-to-extended-pre-trial-detention/ second detained US journalist to extended pre-trial detention.

⚡️Ambassador: 337 Ukrainians request evacuation https://kyivindependent.com/ambassador-337-ukrainians-sign-up-for-evacuation-from-gaza/ from Gaza ahead of reports that the Rafah border crossing into Egypt may open in the coming days. [just spotted this]

Ragnar Gudmundsson

WAR IN #UKRAINE - OCT 24
■ Strikes close to average, engagements down between days
■ Troop losses continue to be high (below 7-day average though)
■ Large special equipment & drone losses

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
DancesWithDucks · 24/10/2023 12:03

UNITED24 Media Telegram highlights.

According to Forbes, citing reports from the Ukrdailyupdate Osint project, the Armed Forces have managed to destroy over $140 million worth of Russian equipment in the past month, and a significant portion of these successes can be attributed to FPV drones.
Between September 17 and October 17, 146 out of the 388 documented instances of Russian military equipment destruction were attributed to FPV drones.
The most expensive loss recorded within the last month was the Tor anti-aircraft complex, valued at $60 million, while the cost of a single FPV drone is approximately $400.

German media suggest that the head of the Russian mission to the EU, Kirill Logvinov, who is based in Brussels, is probably a Russian spy under diplomatic cover.
According to journalists, the special services of Belgium suspect that Logvinov works for Russia's Foreign Intelligence Service.

In view of Putin's obvious joy in connection with the events in the Middle East, the EU is monitoring the situation in Ukraine even more closely, said the head of the German Foreign Ministry, Annalena Baerbock

Ukrainian military sailors are actively participating in the multinational exercises Joint Warrior-23-II.
These exercises involve military sailors from Great Britain, the Netherlands, Belgium, Poland, Germany, and Denmark. The Navy of the Armed Forces of Ukraine has deployed mine countermeasures ships 'Cherkasy' and 'Chernihiv.'
The primary objective of these exercises is to enhance mine countermeasures skills and foster interoperability with mine countermeasure units from partner countries.

67 years ago, an uprising against the communist dictatorship began in Budapest. The forces were unequal, and the USSR wasn’t going to allow the system to be reformed. But freedom is always worth fighting for, and that was the principle that motivated Hungarians to stand up to Soviet tanks.

On October 21, Russia targeted the Nova Poshta terminal in the Kharkiv region, resulting in the loss of 6 people, with another 16 injured. Some of the wounded are in serious condition.

A single elevator shaft is all that remains of a building in occupied Mariupol after being destroyed by the Russians. This poignant image reflects the devastating impact of the war, where the destinies and dreams of hundreds of people have been shattered.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
blueshoes · 24/10/2023 12:47

https://www.understandingwar.org/backgrounder/russian-offensive-campaign-assessment-october-23-2023

Key Takeaways:

  • Russia's domestic production of artillery shells, supplemented by increased ammunition imports from North Korea, will likely allow Russian forces to sustain sufficient rates of artillery fire in Ukraine in 2024, albeit at a relatively lower level than during 2022.
  • Russian forces conducted offensive operations near Avdiivka and made confirmed advances northeast of Avdiivka.
  • Russian sources claimed that Russian forces pushed Ukrainian forces back from some newly captured positions on the east (left) bank of Kherson Oblast but noted that Ukrainian forces maintain a presence on the east bank.
  • Russian forces conducted another series of missile and drone strikes against Ukraine on the night of October 22 to 23.
  • Ukrainian forces advanced south of Bakhmut on October 23 amid continued counteroffensive operations near Bakhmut and in western Zaporizhia Oblast.
  • The Russian government appears to be emphasizing defense spending over social programs in the 2024 federal budget despite contrary messaging intended to reassure the Russian populace.
  • Ukrainian Air Force Command Spokesperson Colonel Yuriy Ihnat stated on October 22 that the first group of Ukrainian pilots will begin training with instructors on F-16 fighter jets “in the near future.”
  • Russian forces conducted offensive operations near Kupyansk, along the Svatove-Kreminna line, near Bakhmut, south of Donetsk City, in the Donetsk-Zaporizhia Oblast border area, and in western Zaporizhia Oblast and made confirmed gains in some areas.
  • Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu met with Russian Federation Council Speaker Valentina Matvienko and the Federation Committee on Defense and Security on October 23.
Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
MMBaranova · 24/10/2023 13:43

Why are there Ukrainians in Gaza?

The suggestion is that it is mostly women who married Palestinians who were working or studying outside Gaza and went home with them for a life of... well I am having trouble here. An article from 2022 focuses on them.

Ukrainian spouses in Gaza suffer from double conflict | Gaza | The Guardian

Ukrainian spouses in Gaza suffer from double conflict

Women who relocated to Gaza are unable to visit or contact family, and face similar problems in their adoptive home

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/jun/27/ukrainian-spouses-in-palestine-suffer-from-double-conflict

MMBaranova · 24/10/2023 13:48

Jim is in Hamburg

One of the things I had to stop studying was how Soviet spy networks were tracked after WW1. At times it was almost parodic, but then again this is how it was pre-parody. I kept this snap from a National Archives visit.

Open and zoom probably required.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
AskingQuestionsAllTheTime · 24/10/2023 15:18

I am sad to say that I don't entirely credit the report that Putin has had a heart attack, because

the people saying it happened are reported to be the guards who found him, called a doctor and got him brought round.

I don't believe anyone would be stupid enough to spread this story when he was still alive and would be able easily to identify who it was who had spilled the beans about his health. There are lots of windows in the Kremlin.

DancesWithDucks · 24/10/2023 17:42

Thanks for that article @MMBaranova

@AskingQuestionsAllTheTime I read that that rumour came from the SVR telegram channel which is a work of ridiculous fiction.

MMBaranova · 24/10/2023 19:02

Back to the archive.

This is a gem. 1917+ was a key time for might have beens across Europe. And Palestine of course. This pamphlet from 1919 is an interesting snapshot of the Ukrainian narrative of the time and contains elements that you realise persist in the arguments of today. We can look inside later.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
MMBaranova · 24/10/2023 23:01

Almost everything is if you delve. Archive.org scoops up so much.

Inside front cover:

The author has a long life in exile, including roles in the WW2 era.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/OleksanderShulhyn

On the left we have Petliura. If you need to know four names of key Ukrainian figures to hang a lot of history on over the last 200 years it is: Shevchenko (especially poetry around 1840, folklore, national revival, linguistic revival), Petliura (leadership in a Ukrainian entity twice as WW1 wound up), Bandera (OUN leader before, during and after WW2) and Kravchuk (persuades fellow Communists to side with Nationalists to vote Independence in 1991, agrees de-nuclearisation). That's my select list and others might disagree. Zelenskyy will be my number five I expect.

Russians (and not just Russians) can throw a lot of mud at the middle two. More on that another time.

He's President of the Directory in the sketch. In a simple outline you have Russian collapse & revolutions -> Ukrainian People's Republic -> Hetmanate of Skoropadskyi -> Directorate as UPR comes back, joined by West Ukrainian Peoples Republic. Then add in Reds coming and going and eventually winning, more Whites, Poles, Pogroms, Makhno and it is complicated.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
MMBaranova · 24/10/2023 23:17

Things that caught my eye (and if this interests you more, follow that archive.org link).

Just as a common Russian narrative holds that Ukrainians don't have a separate identity (but at the same time are mal-formed Russians) there's a counter accusation that Russians aren't really Slavs. They are significantly Finn-like or Chuds. They have just adopted a mostly Slavic language. If you want to go down this rabbit hole you can look at some genetic studies and/or consult the sources like the Primary Chronicle.

Ukrainians are true Slavs, according to this national identity statement from 1919.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
MMBaranova · 24/10/2023 23:20

Going on a little we have this. Which fits well with the de-Russification of Ukraine that has been going on in recent years, hastened along by Putin's invasion.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
MMBaranova · 24/10/2023 23:46

Going off on a Primary Chronicle tangent.

Nations have collections of foundational myths. They are myths in that they are traditional tales of how a people came to be, not a clear falsehood. There's truth, half-truth, fib, propaganda, error, and the half-remembered passed down by word of mouth before being compiled and interpreted in later centuries. See Bede, the Anglo-Saxon Chronicle, with Angles, Saxons, Jutes, Hengist, Horsa and all the merry crew for an example.

English text of the Primary Chronicle here:

a011458.pdf (mgh-bibliothek.de)

A standard interpretation of the foundational myth of the Rus' people is that Swedes/Varangians/Vikings were 'invited' to rule over the Chuds, Slavs, Krivichians and the Ves and over time they evolved into something(s) hybrid speaking a Slavic tongue. Krivichians are Slavs probably migrating from the Pskov area. Ves (AKA Veps) are Finnic and seem to have lived to the east of the Finnic Chuds. So take 2 parts Finn-like, 2 parts Slavic and sprinkle in a ruling elite of Scandinavians, stir well, bake at 200C until pale and Putin-like.

Of course you don't 'invite' Vikings to rule you. They come, they stay, they rule, they assimilate over time. The suggestion that the invitees might have been English is always conveniently forgotten as it no doubt should be.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
DdraigGoch · 25/10/2023 09:56

AskingQuestionsAllTheTime · 24/10/2023 15:18

I am sad to say that I don't entirely credit the report that Putin has had a heart attack, because

the people saying it happened are reported to be the guards who found him, called a doctor and got him brought round.

I don't believe anyone would be stupid enough to spread this story when he was still alive and would be able easily to identify who it was who had spilled the beans about his health. There are lots of windows in the Kremlin.

A heart attack is impossible. He doesn't have a heart.

DancesWithDucks · 25/10/2023 10:38

They are significantly Finn-like or Chuds. The Finns seem a great deal nicer people - the Russians should have stayed Finnish.

I know a bit about the early founding of 'England' and the invasions and interesting early histories. Very few races are pure, no matter how much the extreme nationalists want to claim it. Possibly the Inuit? trying to think of exceptions .. but not got the time to look into it.

DancesWithDucks · 25/10/2023 12:24

Kyiv Independent Telegram

⚡️ Bloomberg: Stoltenberg says Sweden should join https://kyivindependent.com/bloomberg-stoltenberg-says-sweden-should-become-nato-member-by-november/ NATO by November.

⚡️ Reuters: EU to present favorable assessment https://kyivindependent.com/reuters-eu-to-present-favorable-assessment-of-ukraines-membership-bid-on-nov-8/ of Ukraine's membership bid on Nov. 8.
The European Commission is expected to issue a positive evaluation of Ukraine's accession bid on Nov. 8, although additional conditions may be raised, Reuters reported on Oct. 24, citing three official sources.
Following a potential recommendation by the EU's executive body, the member states' leaders still have to agree to open the actual negotiations.
The bloc's representatives are expected to make the decision during a Dec. 14-15 summit, the news agency reported.

⚡️Trump ally, heavily Ukraine-skeptic Mike Johnson https://kyivindependent.com/trump-ally-mike-johnson-moves-closer-to-speakership/ moves closer to speakership. Johnson is one of Donald Trump's most vocal supporters in his attempts to challenge the results of the 2020 presidential election.

⚡️ Podolyak: Musk's suggestion https://kyivindependent.com/podolyak-musks-suggestion-to-surrender-ukraine-is-catastrophic-mistake/ to 'surrender Ukraine' is 'catastrophic mistake.'
Elon Musk's suggestion that a ceasefire in Ukraine on terms favorable to Russia would prevent further war is a "catastrophic mistake," said advisor to Ukraine's Presidential Office Mykhailo Podolyak on Oct. 24.
Musk had suggested earlier on Oct. 24 in a discussion on Twitter spaces that the U.S. was "sleepwalking" into World War III and that it should seek to normalize relations with Russia, which he suggested could happen if the U.S. pressures Ukraine into a ceasefire.

⚡️Russian parliament approves https://kyivindependent.com/russian-parliament-approves-bill-to-withdraw-from-nuclear-test-ban-treaty/ bill to withdraw from nuclear test ban treaty.
Both houses of the Russian parliament unanimously approved a bill to withdraw Russia from the nuclear test ban treaty on Oct. 25, passing the bill on to dictator Vladimir Putin for final approval.

⚡️Minister: 700,000 metric tons of grain exported via Ukrainian Black Sea corridor https://kyivindependent.com/700-000-metric-tons-of-grain-exported-via-ukrainian-black-sea-corridor/ The temporary corridor was opened in August and has since seen 38 ships enter Ukraine’s ports and over 30 leave. Most of the ships are transporting grain to Europe and Africa.

⚡️Australia announces new $12.7 million https://kyivindependent.com/australia-announces-new-12-7-million-defense-package-for-ukraine/ defense package for Ukraine including de-mining equipment, portable x-ray machines, a 3D metal printer, and counter-drone systems.

⚡️Ukraine's GDP grew https://kyivindependent.com/ukraines-gdp-grows-by-9-september-to-september/ by 9.1% year-on-year, according to the Economy Ministry's preliminary estimates on Oct. 25.

Poland's opposition, victorious in elections, proposes new government https://kyivindependent.com/polands-opposition-victorious-in-elections-proposes-new-government/

⚡️NATO official: Protectionist tendencies from Ukraine's allies hindering increase in shell production
The desire from individual countries to protect their local shell-manufacturing industry has caused prices to rise and hampered the institution of a NATO standard 155mm shell, Chair of the NATO Military Committee Admiral Rob Bauer told Reuters on Oct. 24. https://kyivindependent.com/nato-official-protectionist-tendencies-from-ukraines-allies-hindering-increase-in-shell-production/

⚡️EU makes progress in shift away https://kyivindependent.com/eu-makes-progress-in/ from Russian energy.
The European Union is largely on track to break its dependence on Russian fossil fuels by 2030, according to a European Commission report published on Oct. 24.
The EU has reduced coal imports from Russia by 90%, but more importantly, Russian gas imports have dropped by almost 75% from 2021 to 2023.

⚡️ Military: Russia decreases ground attacks at Avdiivka but launches heavy air strikes.
https://kyivindependent.com/military-russia-decreases-ground-attacks-at-avdiivka-intensifies-air-strikes/

⚡️Danilov: ATACMS exceeded https://kyivindependent.com/danilov-atacms-exceeded-ukraines-expectations/Ukraine's expectations.

Record Russian armor, personnel losses in failed attempt to take Avdiivka by storm https://kyivindependent.com/none-of-it-made-any-sense-understanding-russias-disastrous-offensive-on-avdiivka/

⚡️FT: Ukraine repurposes https://kyivindependent.com/ft-ukraine-turned-us-supplied-aim-9-into-air-defense-missiles/ US-supplied AIM-9s missiles for air defense.

⚡️Finnish police identify anchor from Hong Kong shipping boat as likely cause of Baltic pipeline damage https://kyivindependent.com/finnish-police-identify-anchor-from-hong-kong-shipping-boat-as-likely-cause-of-pipeline-damage/

⚡️Ministry: Winter sowing completed in 4 Ukrainian regions, 4.95 million hectares planted. https://kyivindependent.com/winter-sowing-completed-in-four-ukrainian-regions-4-95-million-hectares-planted/

⚡️Moldova blocks access to 22 Russian media https://kyivindependent.com/moldova-blocks-access-to-22-russian-media-sites/ used as part of 'information war.'

⚡️Russian official accuses https://kyivindependent.com/russian-official-cia-and-mi6-involved-in-crimean-bridge-strike/ CIA, MI6 of involvement in Crimean bridge drone attack. The SBU took credit for the attack in August, saying that 'Sea Baby' experimental marine drones had been used to damage the bridge.

⚡️ Minister: Around 1,000 civilians remain https://kyivindependent.com/minister-around-1-000-civilians-remain-in-avdiivka/ in Avdiivka.

⚡️Poll: Majority of Ukrainians optimistic https://kyivindependent.com/poll-majority-of-ukrainians-optimistic-about-progress-in-fight-against-corruption/ about progress in fight against corruption.

Investigative Stories from Ukraine: Russia abducts Ukrainian children with disabilities https://kyivindependent.com/investigative-stories-from-ukraine-russia-abducts-ukrainian-children-with-disabilities/

⚡️Official: 2 Ukrainian children age 6 and 9 killed https://kyivindependent.com/official-2-ukrainian-children-killed-in-missile-attack-on-gaza/ in missile attack on Gaza.

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
DancesWithDucks · 25/10/2023 12:59

UNITED24 Media Telegram Highlights

A joint aid package for Ukraine and Israel is facing significant challenges in the US Senate, with a high likelihood that Republicans may not approve it, according to Politico.
The report notes that even Republican members who generally support aiding Ukraine, Israel, Taiwan, and strengthening the US southern border expressed skepticism about the White House's request after initial discussions within the party. For instance, Senator Mike Rounds referred to the $106 billion joint package as "dead" and believes it has little chance of passing.
While Democrats hold a majority in the Senate, they would need the support of nine or more Republican votes to pass the resolution through the chamber. The Senate Appropriations Committee is scheduled to hold a hearing on the request in a week, and Majority Leader Chuck Schumer aims to act swiftly. However, November 17 is the deadline for reaching an agreement on government funding, and the House of Representatives is currently without a speaker, which further complicates the decision-making process.
Some Republicans are suggesting that the vote on aid for Ukraine and Israel should be separated. Senator Marco Rubio, for example, believes that splitting the components would be a more tactically sound approach, particularly because the Israeli component enjoys overwhelming support.
On the other hand, Senator Roger Wicker, a member of the Senate Armed Services Committee, expressed his full support for combining the two components, emphasizing that he wants the entire package to pass. Senator Lindsey Graham echoed this sentiment, stating that these are four national security issues that should be addressed as a whole.

❗️Germany is set to include Patriot, Iris-T6, and Gepard air defense systems in its €1.4 billion winter aid package for Ukraine, as stated by Scholz.
He further highlighted that the combined civil and military aid provided by Germany since the war's outset has reached 24 billion euros, making Germany the second-largest supporter of Ukraine after the USA. The chancellor pointed out that it's noteworthy that nearly 2,000 German companies are actively operating in Ukraine.

The shortage of ammunition is currently felt not only in Ukraine, but also in the whole world: its level is huge, because the warehouses are empty, — Financial Times citing the Prime Minister of Ukraine.

Russia delivered an additional batch of modernized S-300 missiles to the Bryansk region for attacks on Ukrainian border cities, — Center of the People's Resistance

The NATO Peacekeeping Operations Center was opened in Kazakhstan, the US ambassador cut the ribbon

During the night, Russia carried out an attack in the vicinity of the Khmelnytsky Nuclear Power Plant (NPP), as reported by the Ministry of Energy.
The shelling by Russian forces caused damage to the administrative and residential buildings, as well as laboratory facilities, due to explosions.

The American International Development Finance Corporation is set to finance five projects in Ukraine, totaling $380 million. The Ukrainian Ministry of Economy has revealed that these projects are intended to bolster various sectors, including food security, small businesses, healthcare systems, and international trade.
Here's a breakdown of the projects:
▫️DFC has allocated $250 million to support Ukrainian poultry farmers and grain producers.
▫️Separate two agreements totaling $60 million have been reached with Ukrainian banks to support small and medium-sized businesses. This will enable micro-enterprises and small businesses to access financing from banks with more lenient requirements.
▫️A $50 million project involves providing guarantees for the Global Trade Financing Program of the International Finance Corporation, expanding Ukrainian banks' access and support for critical import and export activities by Ukrainian companies.
▫️DFC is offering $25 million in political risk insurance for the Superhumans Center, a charitable initiative involved in the rehabilitation and prosthetics of Ukrainians affected by the war.

⚡️ A ground-based kamikaze robot has been created in Ukraine
Ratel S is a ground robot from Ukrainian developers. Soldiers use it as a mobile warhead carrying anti-tank mines or a combat module.
According to the head of the Ministry of Digital Transformation, Fedorov, thanks to the technology, an operator from a safe place can blow up an enemy tank or dugout.
The maximum speed of the vehicle is 24 kilometers, and the range of use is 6 kilometers.

The International Energy Agency predicts that Russia's share in the world gas trade will significantly decrease by 2030. This forecast comes as natural gas markets have been marked by concerns about price spikes following Russia's reduction of gas supplies to Europe.
The report indicates that the rise in new liquefied natural gas (LNG) projects and capacity growth will contribute more than 250 billion cubic meters of LNG annually by 2030, representing approximately 45% of the current global LNG supply. While this may alleviate market anxieties, it also raises the potential for oversupply, particularly as global gas demand growth has slowed considerably.
As a consequence, Russia is expected to have limited opportunities to expand its customer base. Its share in international gas trade, which was at 30% in 2021, is projected to be halved by 2030. This shift may result in a significant reduction in Russia's net profit from gas sales, decreasing from $100 billion in 2021 to less than $40 billion in 2030.
Analysts anticipate that gas consumption will peak in 2030 and remain at that level for a considerable period before gradually declining by approximately 100 billion cubic meters by 2050.

The Armed Forces of Ukraine have established the "Siberia" battalion, composed entirely of Russian citizens from ethnic minorities who are determined to combat the Russian invasion of Ukraine, according to Bloomberg.
Members of the "Siberia" battalion underwent a rigorous screening process to assess their loyalty to Ukraine, after which they signed military contracts. It's important to note that all the fighters are volunteers; none of them were recruited from among prisoners of war, as confirmed by a representative of the Ukrainian army.

Rogozin reportedly made a shocking suggestion to drop a Soyuz rocket laden with a significant amount of explosives on the capital, as per secret phone conversations within Putin's inner circle, as reported by Bild.
According to the publication, a group of Russian officials allegedly devised a plan to retrofit the Soyuz civilian launch vehicle in a manner that would prevent it from reaching orbit after launch, causing it to fall within one of Ukraine's extensive regions, with Kyiv being a probable target.
Bild further notes that this plan was presented to Putin on January 16, although his reaction to it remains undisclosed. [this is more reliable than other rumours, perhaps, since it doesn't start from the SVR channel]

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
DancesWithDucks · 25/10/2023 13:18

Live: Ukraine Telegram Highlights

The Russian Navy is no longer able to operate in the western Black Sea and is gradually fleeing Crimea, President Zelensky says.

🇩🇪🇺🇦 The German defense concern Rheinmetall and the Ukrainian Defense Industry have formed a joint venture.
According to Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal, it will repair and maintain armored vehicles provided to Ukraine by Western partners. This enterprise will also produce leading models of Rheinmetall AG equipment.
Rheinmetall-Ukrainian Defense Industry LLC was registered on October 18.

China fired Defense Minister Li Shangfu, who has not appeared in public since August
China has not officially commented on the dismissal, but Reuters previously reported that the official is suspected of corruption in the procurement of military equipment. This is the second high-ranking official to be removed from office without explanation in the last three months.
▪️Li Shangfu became the head of the Chinese Defense Ministry in March this year. Since 2018, he has been under US sanctions over the purchase of aircraft and equipment from the Russian state-owned company Rosoboronexport.

🇪🇺 EU diplomat Borrell reminded Hungarian Prime Minister Orban that no one obliges his country to be a member of the European Union.
On the anniversary of the Soviet suppression of the 1956 revolution, Orban compared Hungary's EU membership to the Soviet occupation.

European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen is likely to visit Ukraine in early November, which may indicate that the assessment of Ukraine's progress in the "candidate" reforms will be positive, says Radio Liberty editor Rikard Dzosvyak.

🇪🇺 The European Parliament proposes https://www.politico.eu/article/meps-want-weapons-seized-near-libya-to-go-to-ukraine/?utm_source=RSS_Feed&utm_medium=RSS&utm_campaign=RSS_Syndication* to transfer armored vehicles confiscated in Libya to Ukraine. *
We are talking about 146 pieces of military equipment confiscated last year during two operations of the EU naval mission IRINI.

A funny incident happened in the Belgorod region of the Russian Federation — there the police forced the townspeople to remove the blue blanket from the yellow balcony

Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
Ukraine Invasion: Part 45
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