Boris confidence vote sweepstake

[PlanetNormal]

Let’s see who can most accurately predict the result of the confidence vote. There are 359 Tory MPs, so Boris needs the support of 180 or more of them to remain party leader & PM.

My prediction:
No confidence : 145
Has confidence: 214.

175
184
Because I'm bad at maths and that was the easiest work out

By 9pm. Vote closes at 8pm.

With all the people saying they voted for BJ it would be funny if the results were no confidence 358 (obviously ND would vote for BJ)

No confidence- 172 (48%)
Confidence- 187 (52%)

No confidence 99.

Im sure he won't go and I don't think it will even be close. I even think my 99 might be a bit high. Wouldn't be surprised if it was as low as 70.

Would that count as a resounding victory for Johnson?

Boris means Boris

@carefullycourageous haha good minds

No confidence: 138

He's toast sooner or later now. I will be raising a glass later. This is the start of his exit proper.

Announced at 9pm, just after they break it to Big Dog himself. Will be live on the BBC from 8.30 pm

Nearly 140 have publically declared no confidence in advance of the vote. If he wins, he’ll scrape it.

No confidence 132

"With all the people saying they voted for BJ it would be funny if the results were no confidence 358 (obviously ND would vote for BJ)"

Boris himself also gets a vote, I think, being a Tory MP.

No confidence 83.

Unfortunately.

^This.

They need Boris. They need someone to blame and then dispose of when they are ready, and not at the whim of a few ERG/back benchers.

This is close to my guess

No confidence 74

No confidence 150

I think he'll win overall but there'll be a high enough number to be a problem: going to say 116.

No confidence 185.

This is depressing. Character and integrity matter. He should go but they will vote to keep him. So ashamed of the state of this country right now. He is a disgrace to the office he holds

No, nearly 140 have declared they will support him

I just think he will win (again). But I have lost all hope...

Yes of course, but 52% no confidence and 48% confidence would be a narrow defeat

No confidence - 200