They are twisting themselves into knots because some of the observances are real- for example this post
"I reckon several things are going on. People know abuse of all sorts goes on: rape, sexual, physical and mental abuse etc, to both women and men, young and old.. The figures are shocking: unless we live in a cupboard, we will all know a victim.
But the person committing such acts cannot be my mate at work; cannot be my golfing partner; cannot be that lunching lady. We're awesome, and no-one we know can be bad. So when my friend's wife appears with a black eye, I accept that she walked into a brick column without question"
This is completely reasonable but the poster uses this as a way of putting them back into the victim mindset
"Therefore the abuse must be caused by an out-group; preferably one I don't know any member of. For many, the outgroup seems to be ethnic minorities.
But many middle-class people can't blame ethnic minorities, as that would be racist.
No, there needs to be another outgroup, preferably one they feel is a bit weird. And I'm sad to say that it appears trans people are that target for many.
(I'm a middle-aged CIS male, if that matters.)"
At no point have any of the posters established that
a) all men over the age of 13 are stronger than women- inclusive of transwomen.
b) most assaults happen to women for sexual purposes rather than to maime or kill like for men.
c) women are most at risk from men in private spaces as oppose to public and that risk increases when women are removing their clothes.