https://twitter.com/benwansell/status/1644741199268388866
This is a FASCINATING thread on where political parties sit, and where various groups of the public sit.
The premise and the purpose of the thread is this:
Ben Ansell AT benwansell
But let's be honest. The last week has been all about a 'new woke elite' OUTSIDE of politics but still apparently influential. And their views our counterposed to those of the public. So is this right? 6/n
Its worth reading the whole thread, but there is something super interesting here: the outliers are the political parties themselves.
AND THAT, has implications for Starmer. Significant ones. On the one had he has to keep students happy. But we know that students are unreliable voters. And the most socially liberal are those who earn over £70k - is that a sign of an insulated life?
But in electoral terms most groups who are the economically most likely to be affect by the cost of living, are also much more socially conservative - look at where renters both social and private sit on this. Generally speaking most of these groups identified are more social conservative. And even the Conservative Party aren't THAT socially conservative.
And here's a little thought. Who are Labour's main donors? Same for the LDs. Is THAT why they are taking a TWAW style line, which doesn't reflect the majority of the public? TWAW certainly doesn't look to sit close to the general population in terms of political alignment. Look at how MASSIVELY out of touch with the population students are. (Hence that second government petition looking the way it does on the map....)
Which begs the question for me. Who is 'manufacturing' a culture war? Who are much closer to a similar social position of the general population?
Starmer is going to have to sell policies which are significantly different to the general population AND social policies which are significantly different to the general population if he continues to court the TWAW vote. One or the other might be doable, but both? Thats a harder sell. That really DOES leave things more open to the Conservatives regaining significant ground before a GE, unless Starmer starts to commit. I note that the SNP is MORE socially conservative than the Labour Party according to this too.
The LP will be looking at stuff like this atm and pondering...
This is hardly the stuff of Nazis. Not by a long shot.