I was reading more of that Forge research into sexual abuse of trans people.
It says that 44% of those harmed were female (in the biological sense) at the time they were victimised. It says that 29% were trans at the time. That would tend to dilute the claims made, that being trans is the key risk factor. It also says that Abuse/assault occurred most when victims were between 0 and 12 years of age and then again between 19 and 21 years old. So the correlation seems to be as much about child sexual abuse as trans.
A really haunting quote: “I was inappropriately used sexually by my gender therapist in Milwaukee. He began sexually advancing to show me how to be a ‘real man’, as a way of modeling masculine behavior. It became obvious that I needed to be sexual with him in order to receive the required letter to have chest surgery. We had sex a countless number of times — sometimes in his office, sometimes my house, sometimes he would make me take him out to dinner and pay the bill. When I realized that this was wrong, I asked him for my surgery letter so I could discontinue ‘therapy’. He refused and I had to pay thousands of dollars to reestablish a relationship with another therapist in order to get a surgery letter.”
Cambridge Rape Crisis seem to blindly assume that trans means trans women. They also seem to assume biology is not as relevant as gender. Yet the very study they cite does not say this.
The really shocking part is that 33% of reported abusers were women. That's astronomically higher than any other sources - even the highest possible estimated prevalance tends to range from 5-20% - and makes me wonder what the factors there might be? Are trans people more likely to be victimised, even in childhood, by women, or is childhood victimisation by a woman likelier to create gender dysphoria, or what? I genuinely have no idea but it's such an outlier of a statistic, it could merit looking into, perhaps.
It's all horrendous, clearly, and those affected need and deserve support and care too - all survivors do. I just don't see why that is relevant when recruiting single sex support for women, and saying self-identified women are okay to work phonelines for a single-sex service. Because this study does not support their position.