You can't outrun a bad diet
Exercise burns very few cals in terms of what you can eat
You mention what you're eating but not really how much
Eg bolognese -
how much pasta? How much mince and what else in the bolognese sauce?
One person could make a low cal bolognese with 50-75g of pasta, low fat/veggie mince, fresh veg or at most tinned tomatoes and a little purée plus garlic and herbs and only using a small amount of oil to fry the mince off
Another person could make a much higher cal bolognese with much more pasta, high fat mince fried off in more oil, higher cal veggies
Can mean hundreds of cals difference.
Even the toast - what size bread? How much butter? (Butter especially is very calorie dense and when it melts into toast can look like you're having less than you are)
There can easily be 400-500 cals in a croissant and it's not exactly filling! And that's just the croissant - are you having anything in it?
I'm trying to lose weight, a typical lunch for me at the moment is 2 sandwiches made from 4 slices of bread from a 400g loaf (smaller slices), 25g light Mayo, 2 slices quorn ham, 2 slices "plastic" cheese and slices of cucumber - that works out to 438 cals and is a lot more nutritious and filling than a croissant.
I agree there's not much in the way of fruit and veg in your diet either from that snapshot.
I'm also having crudites/raw veg twice a day - celery, carrot sticks, sliced peppers, cherry tomatoes
2 portions of fruit a day and one small drink of apple juice per day (150ml)
Main meals are things like
pasta (no more than 75g) with veg and my home made tomato based sauce
Stir fry - mainly veg, a portion of quorn pieces or strips or sometimes I won't bother and just have lots of veg, I'll either have a sachet of ready made sauce or make my own, served with 1/2 portion ready made rice or noodles or I'll have 80g cous cous
Jacket potato with home made chilli made with Quorn mince, maybe a little sweetcorn or peppers or mushrooms added depending what I have in, tinned tomatoes, a little purée, garlic and spices
My main meals average between 400-600 cals
I'm going by around 1600 cals per day
not including the weekend
As a pp said you could well be undoing the weeks work by what you're having at the weekend.
Being "strict" doesn't really work either. Cutting out the unhealthier options is one step, you have to replace that with healthier lower cal/less calorie dense foods or you'll feel deprived, your body will crave nutrition and you'll cave in
Orange juice - are you inc that in cal intake? Lots of people forget to include drinks. Oj is very high in sugar/cals. You need to drink plenty for health and weight loss but water or at least no added sugar drinks are better. Eg my apple juice is 69 cals for a small drink, but I include in my daily cal intake and account for it.
I looked at mfp and decided against using as anyone can update the database and there are a lot of inaccuracies I found.
I've essentially built my own database on a spreadsheet on my phone I've found the info on packet info or looking up the products with the manufacturers online or reliable sites for raw ingredients.
If you go on the nhs site to do the bmi calculator it also tells you how many cals to maintain and how many to lose weight.
Then you really have to weigh and measure everything! You'll be shocked how much over you've been going. I find it useful with drinks if you check how much your favourite cups and glasses hold. Then you have a fair idea every time you have a drink.
I have scaled, jug, a shot glass thingy (for small amounts of liquid but more than spoons would manage) and measuring spoons.
You get used to what you're having as the correct/healthier portion sizes and adjust mentally.