Spell of very windy weather coming up in the south.

[OhYouBadBadKitten]

Tricky to forecast at the moment because it's quite a complex situation.

First deep low crosses the uk somewhere through the south on Saturday/Sunday night. At the moment, I'd say the strongest winds look to be along the south coast - perhaps gusting up to 60-70mph. A lot of rain too.

Theres nothing remarkable with this system showing, but because it's the first storm of the season it might catch people a bit unaware. I'd expect the met office to be issuing some warnings by lunchtime today.

Tomorrow would be a good day to tidy the garden of loose objects in the south!

Then the models have a wobble, theyve been playing with different scenarios of low pressures coming through, but nothing consistent yet.

Looks very wet overnight and all day tomorrow in the south. Will make my M25 journey to & from work fun.

Any prediction on floods this year?

We had beautiful sunshine and cold yesterday for geocaching and wood collecting with the Cub Scouts. And then a very very cold day today (3 degrees at midday) with bright sunshine and a nice bit of breeze from the north - so although cold, otherwise perfect sailing conditions!!

Then we came home and saw the seamen being winched off the cargo ship on the south of England!! (We'd had a couple of PA comments about sending DD out sailing from local busybodies - who shut up once she realised that there were a large group and they had a rescue boat with them!).

I'm off now to check out this week's forecasts - we've put the wood under cover to stay a bit dry but I hope we can still use it next saturday - the Cubs are doing backwoods cooking on campfire grills at the Den. And I need to see if I will be soaked or frozen as that dictates which gear I wear for work.....

I was looking for this thread this morning but must have missed it. For woken up at seven, the wind was proper howling. Don't think any tiles came off the roof but its done something to one of the windows in the communal area. There is a bunch of plaster dust under it. One more storm like that one and I think it could seriously start to fall apart around all us poor tenants.

The building that is!

oh cripes room 101!

NE to have its share of rather wet

Might be some thunder this afternoon in parts of the south.

From mid week it looks to calm down as we become dominated by a weak high pressure.

It's a bit wet down here.

End of the road is starting to flood. Which means there's at least 2 places on my route to work that are likely to have flooded.

We've got a yellow wind warning for tonight and tomorrow morning - up to storm force (and only yellow - says something about what we expect to deal with! )

50-60 is usually yellow, if it looks as though 70mph-80mph gusts are more likely then it will move up to amber. Certainly a lively few days!!

Dreadful here this morning (Leicester) Blustery, wet, mahoosive puddles everywhere and a chilly 6.4C.

The map is missing one tiny yellow pixel.... news of morrisons carpark surface water flooding and torrential rain (stair rods) here in the W mids has not made it to the met office.

we also have "flooding" in the communal hall, with an indoor puddle.... some twonk left the outside door open on the east side, and the rain did what rain does, and the wind did what wind does, and rain blew into the foyer.

roads are terrible. lots of surface water. on the plus side, I got the nearest flood free parking space to the door at morrisons... and decided that it was worth the 48p extra on the shopping I would have bought at aldi, not to go there with their flooding car park!

(do they never rod the drains?)

We are back on a red warning for f10 again tonight in the Channel islands

It's our turn in the NE, now. It's like someone's trained a hosepipe on the front of the house and I need to go out and collect coat refusing DS from school, in a bit. We're forecast 24 hours of this shit and DH is supposed to be driving down to Wakefield, tomorrow. He got stuck in floods last time he went there for work. Can't see it being any different this time!

I'm up in Manchester for work and we have just had 2 hours of strong winds and heavy rain. The wind has died down a bit now but the rain is still going strong. We saw a wooden chair being blown along Oldham St!

We've had over 3" of rain here in Wiltshire, plenty of roads flooded locally and no trains on Bristol to Paddington line.
DH just got back and said local lanes are flooded with water pouring off the fields, it took him 3 different routes to get home. A4 barely passable near Box and several villages have flooding.

It's still pelting down and the wind's got up again.

Oh joy!

love the storm map gloria

where it circles round is that the centre where the strongest winds are??

That was a wet and windy couple of hours!

High winds and rain. Lots of flooding and we had thunder and lightning.

It's calmer now so DS1 is off to football training.

We have stair rods. Horizontal ones.

Phones, chargers, lanterns and batteries all located and ready. DS1's retreated to his bedroom on the quieter side of the house.

Thunder just started here. Still raining, and not showing much sign of stopping.

Where it circles round, is the centre, but I think that's where the winds are weakest rather than strongest.

earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=-354.95,52.61,3000/loc=-5.918,51.925

If you look on this one at the moment, the strongest winds are coming through the Irish sea, where the green is starting to show a slight orange/red tinge.

Yep - the circle is the centre of the depression. It's also yellowish coming off the North Sea - and that's what's hitting us, at the moment.

As for the rain, we're slap bang in the middle of the red area!
www.netweather.tv/index.cgi?action=radar;sess=
Predictably, lots of surface flooding around here and I expect Durham riverside will have it's regular wash with river water, as it all runs downstream from weardale.

Useful sites:

Weather Stations: WunderMap

Lightning: Lightningmaps.org

Wind quiet at the moment, but doesn't look like it will stay that way.

We've had 100mm of rain in the last 48hrs. Good for ducks but bad for getting around anywhere.

And as I type that, it's just started hammering down again after having been drizzling quietly for a bit.

thanks for all the info,looking forward to looking at it

Rain has eased off here for now and is a lot less loud - even managed to chuck some smelly stuff in the wheelie bin without getting drenched through in 3 seconds flat. I had to laugh at the guy next door trying to persuade his staffie to go out for a wee!

Looks like North Tyneside's really getting hammered, though.

I can confirm that it is very lively in the middle of the Irish Sea as Rafals wind map pointed out above... nothing we haven't seen before but the wind coming from the opposite direction from what we are used to has caused some issues. The rain is very heavy but no snow apart from on the mountain.

My DDs will be disappointed in the morning, I'm not sure the small stream flowing through our outside wood store will make up for no snow :(

Rafals map also shows that pp Chip on a small island way further south than me is having a tough time :( I hope your red alert was downgraded Chip, we only had an amber alert.

Thinking of you Chip - it is so frustrating how small island communities always seem to be missed - we have had no boats today & it looks like tomorrow too. I'm guessing you will have had the same issues

Chip - just checked the wind speeds on Rafals map. You got 63 & we had 70. Not much in it :( hope you have a safe night