Another SPGS parent here, and mine is applying for Unis next year.
While I understand the general intent of what LU is trying do, I do wonder how it will work and how it'll affect their school overall. I'd not chose to have my child be a Guinea pig for an untested system.
LU's incoming cohort last year and in the years to come will be of lower quality, they'll struggle to attract and keep good teachers (as someone already mentioned). It's unclear what this will do to the overall results. The new system will inevitably disadvantage some students for Oxford applications - small as the number of affected students may be.
What happened this year with some SPGS kids applying to Medicine at Oxford is terrible. Not specifically because some kids did not get to the interview stage - this happens every year. The shocking part was that Oxford explicitly stated that the applicants were penalized for having a smaller number of GCSEs than is expected of the SPGS-type of school. Oxford only counted 8 of the applicants' GCSEs - (despite them actually taking 11-12)
My issue with it is MISINFORMATION by the SPGS. People come to these schools and pay a lot of money with an expectation of provision of certain standard of education. As it is - it's harder for private school kids vs state school applicants. These kids took school directed GCSEs believing what SPGS told them. At a minimum, school should have advised these students to consider Cambridge over Oxford. Instead, SPGS denied accountability and continues to misinform the parents of younger years.
Oxford is very clear on how they assess candidates, and GCESs count (more specifically, 9/8 grades and number of them). It is most pronounced in Medicine, where there is a restriction on international students - so competition is mostly between UK students:
From Oxford Medicine Admissions report:
"Initial shortlisting was based on a combined UCAT and GCSE score (the latter only if available and if the candidate had not sat their GCSEs between summer 2020-summer 2021)." - [the exclusion of covid years was because Oxford does not trust teacher's grades and treated those years differently]
"The mean number of A*/9/8s at GCSE for all applicants was 9.0; this rose to 10.1 for those shortlisted and 10.3 for applicants receiving offers"
-- in the admissions chart for Medicine - it is quite clear that only a small handful of kids with 8 GCSEs were interviewed/admitted.
-- You can of course apply with 9 GCSEs as someone here said - but the contextual data will matter in that case...
Medicine: Shortlisting Process and Admissions Statistics — University of Oxford, Medical Sciences Division
In other subjects, where there is no restriction on international students - additional score from GCSEs can help UK applicants get to an interview stage. It is applicable to all Oxford subjects that have additional testing - and applies to humanities and STEM subjects. For example:
From Oxford Physics Admission report:
R-score pre-interview = PAT mark + 10 x cGCSE
A score of 70 gets you automatically shortlisted for an interview. Scores above 70 are mostly achieved by Chinese/Hong Kong/Singapore applicants that come from a system with extreme focus on written exams, hence their scores.
After the interviews - all applicants are rated on the totality of data:
Post-Interview R-score = (PAT mark out of 100) + 10 x cGCSE + 2 x (Interviews out of 100)
The extra points that UK applicants can get from cGCSEs are small, but still significant as to make a difference between getting to the interview (and indeed an offer) or not. The absence of GSCE - takes away possibility of these extra points. It's that simple.
[cGCSE - Contextualised GCSE 9/8/A score provides information about how well an applicant has performed at GCSE compared to other applicants to Oxford, given the performance of the school at which they took their GCSEs. The cGCSE score is calculated by comparing the achieved number of 9/8/A at GCSE to the expected number. Scores are expressed as standard deviation and will typically be in the range -3 to +3]
AdmissionsReportDec2024.pdf
I know that when you are choosing a place at 11+ - these considerations seem far away and academic. And possibly irrelevant. But when you child gets to the phase of applying to universities - you realize that this is the final test of the quality of education they receive at school. And things get into perspective.
Of course - Oxbridge admission is not the only/main criteria for assessing the quality of education your child receives at secondary school. But Uni destinations do matter for future careers. And in these schools, kids do push themselves really hard and aim high. It is as ever competitive for private school applicants vs state and vs internationals - (appropriately so, I make sure my kids know they are privileged on multiple dimensions). The school we chose for our kids needs to help them get to their destination, not make it harder. And - being transparent with parents is important. As a parent, you do need to go into it all with your eyes open.
I am happy I do not need to make a decision about LU. On balance, for my specific child - SPGS has given her a good and wide education, she has grown and matured. And she does have her 10 A*s at "proper" GCSEs - if she chooses to apply to Oxford next year.