Isn't it a fact, that by nature of their fees, the number applying for independent schools (even the more selective, higher achieving ones) will be limited compared to those applying for state grammars?
Parents like to think that whichever independent their child has gone to, because they have sat an exam, it must be selective and their child has passed, is clever and has beaten a load of others to get the place. However, in the end, all of the kids find a place at a school and those who want to pay will all find a place in a fee paying school, probably having sat an exam. Bearing in mind that statistically many of the children want ifn places at independent schools won't be super bright or even slightly bright, it must mean that many schools, whatever they say are not actually highly selective at all.
Although some of the schools we are talking about have large numbers sitting the exams, often they are sitting many exams and they can only take up one school place....so this skews it all and makes the schools seem more competitive than they really are. Even at the very top ones, kids have often sat another really top school exam too and will get offered both....and they can only take one. Many schools will need to offer twice as many places (or more) as they actually have, in order to fill up. They hope that those who scored higher in the exam will be the ones who say 'yes' and for the more highly regarded, they will attract more of the top performers, but those that aren't quite top notch and might be the back up for many, they may find that most of the top performers go elsewhere .....so the huge number who sat the exam (many with it as 2nd, 3rd or fourth choice) is misleading about its true popularity and selectiveness. That's where the generous bursaries come in - a marketing tool to attract the better candidates to choose this school rather than another.
It's a different game for the state grammars in areas with no catchment. When people sit consortium exams or exams for an individual school, far more would say 'yes' if offered a place, because it is free. In my mind, this is what makes those state grammars like Tiffin truly super selective, whereas the schools like RGS Guildford won't be as super selective....the fact fees will need to be paid will always limit the numbers applying.
Parents love to say their child has passed the exam for X and especially to say they have been offered an award to X, but also had an offer to Y and Z with scholarships too....what a tricky choice to make, tinkly laugh. Many Schools know that 500 sat the exam but they will need to offer 300 places to fill 100 and of those 100 who say yes, perhaps they will get 30 from the top 100 who sat the exam....not quite so selective after all.
Wouldn't it be interesting to see how many sat each place, how many were offered, how many sat different numbers of exams and for each school, how many of the top performers in their exam actually took up a place and how many much lower performers ended up with a place there. I guess the school so old that like us to know that!