Haven't they changed the criteria for measuring the distance from the school? That could have a significant impact if it's done "as crow flies" rather than by a walking route?
What's the total intake for the year? Is it 210 or 240?
It seems that the number of places taken by siblings/teachers children/looked after/social/medical needs account for an extra 24 children this year over last year.
Remember last year they abandoned the sibling rule for the "selective" cohort which could have increased the catchment significantly.
Know that Graveney is on paper our closest school and we did have it on our CAF list last year but DS was offered a higher placed grammar school position. We applied for selective entry for Graveney because we believed ourselves to be about 300 metres out of previous year's catchment....
My brain isn't functioning particularly effectively this morning but could it not vary wildly (from one year to the next) depending on whether those gaining admission on selective entry criteria generally live very close to the school or not? What happens if all the DCs who gained selective entry lived on the doorstep of the school - which criteria would they ultimately gain entry upon?
sorry can't be more helpful?
The Admissions Lady at Graveney used to work at DS's school and she is very helpful so you could consider asking her?
But as you said it could just be one of those 'blips' which can't really be explained?
Or is it a case that with the demand on good secondary school places only due to become more competitive in coming years, the monied middle-classes (with two/three/four children) have moved, lock, stock and two smoking barrels into catchment to secure sibling criteria admission for their whole families?
Personally I really do think that with the forthcoming, increasing demand for places with the baby-boomers, about to hit secondary school from 2014/15, lottery systems should become the norm. I just don't think for secondary schools in London the sibling policy is necessary or fair.