For me, the thing about Nicola Sturgeon’s speeches is that she’s a great orator and sounds very reassuring, but there’s often a disconnect between what she says and what actually happens, and it’s often lacking in details.
Yesterday she sounded very reasonable, but when you drill down into it she passed the buck onto councils, saying they should think outside the box to find solutions, and only gave a broad statement about government support if necessary. When asked what would happen if the councils and government disagreed on whether they’d done enough, she avoided the question, saying something about everyone being on the same side. There’s no specific plan, no details. We’ll have to wait and see if the 50% even happens (although personally I don’t think that’s good enough either). It’s only on the agenda in the first place because of the parental backlash.
Similarly there was no practical advice of how working parents are supposed to cope, and no actual definition of what ‘safe to do so’ actually means. Is there a specific background infection level or R they’re aiming for? Since infection rates are essentially zero in many areas already, what on earth is the hold up? If they expect a second wave in the winter they should be honest about that, publish the evidence for it, and consult on what the best way forward is.
Personally, the impression I got yesterday is that NS is absolutely terrified of another disaster, perhaps after the care homes debacle, with all the talk about what would happen if there were outbreaks in schools and children died. There is no evidence from anywhere in the world that this would happen; it’s pure fear-mongering. One thing that is absolutely clear is that children are not severely affected, and there’s already a lot of evidence that they aren’t major spreaders either (maybe because they are generally asymptomatic, and symptomatic people are the main spreaders). She needs to find the courage to move forward rather than prolonging lockdown beyond where it’s necessary, given the huge amount of damage it’s doing.