If you're busy, finding someone (or a group) to spend time with, who you can connect with easily may be challenging.
I'd keep expectations low....there's nothing wrong with not having a big gang of mates.
I find I'm a lot happier with low expectations, and a mix of self-care and low-key socialising.
You have commitments, they do too...definitely people who would enjoy eventually connecting with you but don't have the time to invest to see if anything develops (as they have their own stuff to deal with).
I'd say to find an activity or activities you like, which you find nourishing.
One with regular meets, where you can have a good conversation (whatever your personal equivalent of going down a friendly village pub is!).
Go with your feeling....I find when I'm forcing myself to enjoy a group, it's not for me! I even invest in a longer commute to get to the friendly one (others do the same).
If you're quieter or anxious a friendly group will NOT make you feel uncomfortable.
You don't need to be best friends straight away or exchanging numbers, but not where there's clearly a clique or new people aren't welcomed, or people do that annoying "talking about those they know" thing.
One of my favourite group people rambles a bit (may be anxiety) - but overall he's a regular/familiar face and seems content and included! And me and others would miss him if not there.
I've been actively trying a few groups over last few months and ruthlessly discarded anything with an unfriendly vibe (often it's down to how well my face fits).
I actually don't have time for 1-1 meets, but I'd say a lot of my social needs are now fulfilled.
And I'm more of a familiar face now, so I feel like I "could" have 1-1 connections as time progresses (if I wanted to reach out).
When younger, I used to go into groups wanting to have a really deep connection with people who really "got" me. But actually drinks and a few light, interesting conversations with civil people is fine.
Agree it may seem like it's just "small talk" to a certain extent.
However, I do think people at the work/family life stage just don't have time to really focus on one new person.
Unless they're weird or pushy or have negative motivations...
I find I can get on really well with someone, then it's hard to get things off the ground.
It may be better to have a group thing you can do so there's a natural way to spend time together.
It may seem impersonal compared to meeting someone individually, but it takes the pressure off doing the whole "will you be my friend?" dynamic. Plus no worrying about hurt feelings or rejection or worrying yourself if you are too tired to turn up!