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Politics

Scottish General Election

534 replies

Differentforgirls · 12/04/2026 14:33

Who are Scottish people voting for next month?

OP posts:
celticnations · 16/04/2026 07:12

Motheranddaughter · 13/04/2026 07:02

Will be voting Lib Dem
I am against Independence and definitely don’t want another referendum
We had one, the Nats lost
My DC are early 20s ,I worry for their futures if we got independence
The SNPs record in Government is shocking

The Labour & Tory Westminster governments have been far worse.

From illegal wars to not caring about thousands of us dying from Covid.

celticnations · 16/04/2026 07:17

In Northern Ireland, the Good Friday Agreement signed by the UK & Ireland defines "once in a generation" as being every seven years.

Seven years. Not fifty. Not one hundred. Seven.

GargoylesofBeelzebub · 16/04/2026 09:20

celticnations · 16/04/2026 07:17

In Northern Ireland, the Good Friday Agreement signed by the UK & Ireland defines "once in a generation" as being every seven years.

Seven years. Not fifty. Not one hundred. Seven.

No it doesn’t. It doesn’t define or use the word generation at all.

Coffeeandallthebooks · 16/04/2026 11:23

The electorate has changed beyond recognition since 2014.
There are currently 630,000 Scots who did not get to vote in 2014 who are now eligible. By 2030 it will be over 1 million.

Denying a democratic vote and trying to pretend it is superseded by a treaty from 1707 is ridiculous, the whole notion that the UK government should be in charge of this decision is anti-democratic.

Motheranddaughter · 16/04/2026 12:42

celticnations · 16/04/2026 07:12

The Labour & Tory Westminster governments have been far worse.

From illegal wars to not caring about thousands of us dying from Covid.

We are talking about Scotland on this thread

Motheranddaughter · 16/04/2026 12:42

celticnations · 16/04/2026 07:17

In Northern Ireland, the Good Friday Agreement signed by the UK & Ireland defines "once in a generation" as being every seven years.

Seven years. Not fifty. Not one hundred. Seven.

This is not true

InconsequentialFerret · 16/04/2026 13:16

The GFA suggests that at least seven years must pass between referendums, most likely to prevent the possibility of "neverendums". But they've not had even one in over 25 years, and I doubt they will unless it's looking like a good majority of people would vote for reunification.

In Scotland, the polls haven't significantly shifted since 2014, so I'd say what's the point right now?

I would also say that any future referendums that do happen in the UK need a higher cut off. 50%+1 is a terrible idea. Look at Brexit for the kind of shit show that results in. My preference would be for 60/40 to enact change, and I think Nicola Sturgeon herself at one point said she didn't feel another referendum should be requested until polls changed significantly towards that.

InconsequentialFerret · 16/04/2026 13:31

I've just had a look at 2026 polling and, whilst YES is ahead in some, it still looks like overall the potential vote is split about half and half. I think polls need to shift consistently to YES being at 55%+ for at least 12 months before a referendum is even considered.

Maybe Swinney is banking on a refusal and the polls shifting more by 2031 when they could show that consistent support.

Differentforgirls · 16/04/2026 14:10

InconsequentialFerret · 16/04/2026 13:31

I've just had a look at 2026 polling and, whilst YES is ahead in some, it still looks like overall the potential vote is split about half and half. I think polls need to shift consistently to YES being at 55%+ for at least 12 months before a referendum is even considered.

Maybe Swinney is banking on a refusal and the polls shifting more by 2031 when they could show that consistent support.

It’s depressing tbh because the main three “unionist” parties make that their identity. I have friends and family who vote Labour, but would still vote yes. I used to until JS died and we got TB.

For all the “unionist” voters on here. If you’re voting tactically to get somebody out rather than in, think how your votes could matter to the party you actually want to win.

OP posts:
InconsequentialFerret · 16/04/2026 14:33

Differentforgirls · 16/04/2026 14:10

It’s depressing tbh because the main three “unionist” parties make that their identity. I have friends and family who vote Labour, but would still vote yes. I used to until JS died and we got TB.

For all the “unionist” voters on here. If you’re voting tactically to get somebody out rather than in, think how your votes could matter to the party you actually want to win.

Can't remember if it was this thread or the other one about these elections, but I suggested that a party who took a neutral stance would probably do better. Obviously not the Conservative and Unionist Party!

But I think if Labour unhooked themselves from this pretty binary issue, and said they accepted some of their voters were for and some against (because there's a not insubstantial percentage of YES voters already voting for them that they could increase), they might do better.

I don't think they did themselves any favours by being seen on the same platform as the Tories back in 2014 tbh.

There's a big neutral space waiting to be filled imo. Until someone moves into it, not much will change because there are too many pro-Union parties for any one of them to succeed.

It seems daft that a decade after the landscape changed completely parties keep doing the same thing to try and win back power. Time to change tack.

Differentforgirls · 16/04/2026 14:45

InconsequentialFerret · 16/04/2026 14:33

Can't remember if it was this thread or the other one about these elections, but I suggested that a party who took a neutral stance would probably do better. Obviously not the Conservative and Unionist Party!

But I think if Labour unhooked themselves from this pretty binary issue, and said they accepted some of their voters were for and some against (because there's a not insubstantial percentage of YES voters already voting for them that they could increase), they might do better.

I don't think they did themselves any favours by being seen on the same platform as the Tories back in 2014 tbh.

There's a big neutral space waiting to be filled imo. Until someone moves into it, not much will change because there are too many pro-Union parties for any one of them to succeed.

It seems daft that a decade after the landscape changed completely parties keep doing the same thing to try and win back power. Time to change tack.

“Better Together”, was the worst thing all three unionist parties did imo, because all three had people who wanted Indy and still do. So, agree with you but we’re no better.

This alliance thing. “Independence, nothing less”. WTF? I’m voting for my Government for the next five years.

OP posts:
Motheranddaughter · 16/04/2026 15:31

I don’t want independence so would never vote SNP

ohnonotthisargumentagain · 16/04/2026 16:48

I don’t want independence and I want a good government for the next five years so I can’t vote SNP

Differentforgirls · 16/04/2026 17:12

Motheranddaughter · 16/04/2026 15:31

I don’t want independence so would never vote SNP

So who will you vote for?

OP posts:
Differentforgirls · 16/04/2026 17:12

ohnonotthisargumentagain · 16/04/2026 16:48

I don’t want independence and I want a good government for the next five years so I can’t vote SNP

As above. Who will you vote for?

OP posts:
ohnonotthisargumentagain · 16/04/2026 18:14

Anyone would be better!

Differentforgirls · 16/04/2026 18:44

ohnonotthisargumentagain · 16/04/2026 18:14

Anyone would be better!

Aren’t you going to vote?

OP posts:
ohnonotthisargumentagain · 16/04/2026 18:51

I always vote, women died for my right to vote so I will always turn up at the polling station no matter how disappointed I am by the choices on offer.

celticnations · 16/04/2026 20:28

Motheranddaughter · 16/04/2026 12:42

We are talking about Scotland on this thread

But people are decrying Holyrood vs Westminster.

celticnations · 16/04/2026 20:33

ProudAmberTurtle · 13/04/2026 07:55

This is not true. Scotland runs a large net fiscal deficit and receives a substantial implicit transfer from the rest of the UK (predominantly England, as it is ~84% of the UK population and economy).
Latest GERS (2024-25): Scotland's net fiscal deficit is £26.2–26.5 billion (11.6–11.7% of GDP).1b71ca
UK-wide deficit: 5.1% of GDP.

Implied transfer to Scotland: Roughly £14–15 billion per year (the gap between Scotland's actual deficit and its population share of the UK deficit). This equates to ~£2,600+ per person higher public spending than the UK average.

Scotland raises roughly the UK-average revenue per head but benefits from much higher spending per head (via the Barnett formula and other mechanisms). This redistribution comes overwhelmingly from England's taxpayers.

Have you factored in Defence?

Only England wants nukes.

celticnations · 16/04/2026 20:35

Motheranddaughter · 16/04/2026 12:42

This is not true

Quote "Under the 1998 act, the Secretary of State for Northern Ireland can decide to hold a border poll at any time, provided that there has not been another border poll in the last seven years. The act also imposes a duty on the Secretary of State to hold a border poll if it appears likely that a majority of people in Northern Ireland would vote for Irish unification". Unquote.

Back to Scotland.

If Farage (doubtful looking now) became UK PM, 58% of Scots would want independence. So a majority is likely. And it has been more than 7 years.

What unionists want is no change until they're dead & gone. Be that 20 or 50 years away. That is undemocratic & arrogant.

celticnations · 16/04/2026 20:47

Motheranddaughter · 16/04/2026 15:31

I don’t want independence so would never vote SNP

And that is absolutely fair enough.

Motheranddaughter · 16/04/2026 21:08

celticnations · 16/04/2026 20:28

But people are decrying Holyrood vs Westminster.

Are they ?
I am not
I am simply saying that in my opinion the SNP have been shocking over the past parliament
And I fear for my DCs future if we get independence

celticnations · 17/04/2026 13:59

@Motheranddaughter I would agree.

Devolution has been damaged by a failure to get on with the day job. And independence - like Brexit - is a leap of faith.

But. Where has being in the union got us?

Poverty?
Improper political representation? (Something the 13 Colonies had something to say about)
Two dodgy wars?
Isolated from Europe?

I fear for my family's future.

XDownwiththissortofthingX · 17/04/2026 14:39

Motheranddaughter · 16/04/2026 21:08

Are they ?
I am not
I am simply saying that in my opinion the SNP have been shocking over the past parliament
And I fear for my DCs future if we get independence

And I fear for my DCs future if we get independence

But apparently no such concerns with being hitched to a neighbour that is showing every sign of heading for Fascism, has mismanaged the UK's resources and economy for decades, took away your DC's freedom of movement and right to work within the EU, has dragged the UK into illegal wars on the flimsiest of pretences etc etc

Of course, there are no successful self-governing nations anywhere on the planet... Oh wait, it's the norm practically everywhere else, including in all the nations who have opted for Independence from the UK, not one of which has ever come crawling back crying about having made a mistake.

Honestly. We're the only place on the planet where so many are convinced they would be incapable of doing something that is perfectly mundane.