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Politics

Anger as EU gets a 'better trade deal' with Australia than Brexit Britain

53 replies

JuliaMaesa · 27/03/2026 11:31

Apparently with Brexit being a done deal (hence not posting this in the Brexit forum) we aren't allowed to criticise it anymore.

Anger as EU gets a 'better trade deal' with Australia than Brexit Britain
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Notonthestairs · 29/03/2026 21:48

’This paper examines the impact of the UK's decision to leave the European Union (Brexit) in 2016. Using almost a decade of data since the referendum, we combine simulations based on macro data with estimates derived from micro data collected through our Decision Maker Panel survey. These estimates suggest that by 2025, Brexit had reduced UK GDP by 6% to 8%, with the impact accumulating gradually over time. We estimate that investment was reduced by between 12% and 18%, employment by 3% to 4% and productivity by 3% to 4%. These large negative impacts reflect a combination of elevated uncertainty, reduced demand, diverted management time, and increased misallocation of resources from a protracted Brexit process. Comparing these with contemporary forecasts – providing a rare macro example to complement the burgeoning micro-literature of social science predictions – shows that these forecasts were accurate over a 5-year horizon, but they underestimated the impact over a decade.’

https://www.nber.org/papers/w34459

The Economic Impact of Brexit

Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, and business professionals.

https://www.nber.org/papers/w34459

TooBigForMyBoots · 30/03/2026 02:00

TopPocketFind · 29/03/2026 20:11

She is still right about the damage Brexit is causing the UK and that the UK/Aus deal is a failure.

Your pro-Brexit publictations are just as sensationalised, exaggerated, distorted or false.

The damage Brexit wreaked on the UK is clear to all of us. We see it and we feel it.😒

JuliaMaesa · 30/03/2026 10:29

Clavinova · 29/03/2026 19:48

Well, quite - I didn't think you were an avid reader of pro-Brexit publications.

There aren't many in French, Italian, German or Spanish.

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