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Politics

Fact-Checking Farage

79 replies

BisiBodi · 07/05/2025 07:31

Nigel Farage recently stated: “7.2 million foreign-born people have registered with GPs in the last 10 years... All I'm doing here is giving you cold hard facts.”

Well, here’s a cold hard fact that is actually verifiable: 40.6% of GPs in England and Wales are foreign-born. The NHS wouldn’t survive without them. Foreign-born staff aren’t a burden—they’re the backbone.

Nigel Farage’s claim that "7.2 million foreign-born people have registered with GPs in the last 10 years" is highly misleading and requires context. And here’s why:

1. Misrepresentation of GP Registration Data
The 7.2 million figure likely comes from NHS Digital’s GP registration data, which tracks all new patient registrations, not just foreign-born individuals.
Many of these registrations are duplicates (e.g., people moving between GPs, students changing addresses, or babies being born).
The net increase in GP patients over the past decade is far lower—around 3 million (from ~59m in 2013 to ~62m in 2023).
NHS data experts have long cautioned against using raw registration numbers as proxies for migration—they’re too messy and often inflated.

2. Foreign-Born ≠ Recent Immigrants
The foreign-born population includes people who have lived in the UK for decades, not just recent arrivals.
Many are naturalised British citizens or long-term residents (e.g., those who arrived in the 1950s–2000s).
The ONS estimates the total foreign-born population in the UK is ~9.5 million (2021), meaning Farage’s claim would imply nearly 75% of all foreign-born people registered with GPs in just 10 years—an absurd exaggeration.
Farage’s figure also likely includes millions of EU citizens who were already living in the UK long before Brexit and simply remained after securing their rights through the EU Settlement Scheme. Over 5.6 million applications were made to the scheme, reflecting long-term residents—not new arrivals—who’ve been working, paying taxes, and contributing to British society for years.

3. The NHS Relies on Foreign-Born Staff
Farage’s framing ignores that 40.6% of GPs in England and Wales are foreign-born (Nuffield Trust, 2021).
Without them, the NHS would collapse—over 200,000 NHS staff (18%) are non-British, including 46% of doctors.
The NHS currently has over 120,000 staff vacancies, including critical shortages in nursing and general practice. Foreign-born staff are keeping the service afloat.
Many foreign-born NHS workers pay more in taxes than they use in services, helping fund the system—not drain it.

4. GP Registration ≠ Immigration Impact
Registering with a GP does not mean someone is a new immigrant—it’s required for anyone accessing healthcare, including:
British citizens returning from abroad
Children born to foreign parents (who are often British citizens)
EU citizens legally working in the UK
The UK has had net immigration of ~3.8 million in the last 10 years (not 7.2m), and even that includes students, workers, and family members—not all needing GP care immediately.

Conclusion
Farage’s claim is deliberately misleading—it conflates GP registrations (which include re-registrations and British citizens) with immigration figures, while ignoring that the NHS depends on foreign-born workers.
The real "cold hard fact" is that immigration has kept the NHS running, not overwhelmed it.

Recap:
GP Registrations ≠ Immigration
The 7.2m figure counts all new registrations—including:
Brits moving house
Babies being born
Students changing universities
Net patient growth (2013–2023): Only ~3 million (NHS Digital).
https://digital.nhs.uk/.../patients-registered-at-a-gp...

Foreign-Born ≠ “New Arrivals”
UK’s total foreign-born population: ~9.5m (many here for decades) (ONS).
https://www.ons.gov.uk/.../populat.../internationalmigration
Farage’s mathematics would mean 75% of all immigrants arrived in 10 years—obviously false.

NHS Runs on Immigrant Staff
40.6% of GPs are foreign-trained (Nuffield Trust).
https://www.nuffieldtrust.org.uk/.../the-nhs-workforce-in...
46% of doctors are foreign-born.
120,000 NHS vacancies exist—immigrants are saving the system, not breaking it.

Net Immigration: 3.8M (Not 7.2M)
Farage’s number is double the actual net migration (ONS).
https://www.ons.gov.uk/.../migrationstatisticsquar.../latest

The Bottom Line
Farage’s claim, yet again, is a deliberate con:
He’s using admin data (GP sign-ups) to inflate fear.
He’s ignoring that immigrants staff the NHS.
His mathematics don't add up.

The real crisis? Without foreign-born workers, your GP wait time would be years, not weeks.

OP posts:
Etaerio · 09/05/2025 19:21

MoiMoiMoiMoi · 09/05/2025 18:53

It waa abou 7 mil 2010-2020 afaik. I would believe it easily that the number is same-is 2014-2024 BUT it counts GP registrations, not new NHS registrations so point about it being duplicates!/triplicates of the same people moving around is valid. DH and I most likely account for 4 combined in that time. So he did misrepresent data by the wording, BUT that is actually most likely the same as OSN and others did.
Same way like OP did with the way she wrote about EUSS making it sound like it's only very long term, working EU citizens who are in that 5mil+ figure.

7 million would be roughly consistent with immigration inflows. I suspect the figure is of new NHS registrations of foreign-born people.

MoiMoiMoiMoi · 09/05/2025 20:13

Etaerio · 09/05/2025 19:21

7 million would be roughly consistent with immigration inflows. I suspect the figure is of new NHS registrations of foreign-born people.

I think it is GP not NHS regs. Even migration watch used GP regs terms

Etaerio · 09/05/2025 20:39

MoiMoiMoiMoi · 09/05/2025 20:13

I think it is GP not NHS regs. Even migration watch used GP regs terms

OK, I think it is either new NHS registrations of migrants OR new GP registrations of migrants not previously registered with a GP in the same country within the UK. So it could double count eg a migrant registering with a GP in NI and then registering with one in England, but not one one registering with two GPs in England.

PaintedPebbles · 09/05/2025 20:46

I have registered with six different GP surgeries due to moving around since 2020. It could be as simple as that. Or Farage just plucked a figure out of thin air.

Etaerio · 09/05/2025 20:52

PaintedPebbles · 09/05/2025 20:46

I have registered with six different GP surgeries due to moving around since 2020. It could be as simple as that. Or Farage just plucked a figure out of thin air.

Well, it could be but I doubt it.

Chersfrozenface · 09/05/2025 20:59

PaintedPebbles · 09/05/2025 20:46

I have registered with six different GP surgeries due to moving around since 2020. It could be as simple as that. Or Farage just plucked a figure out of thin air.

Was your previous address prior to your first registration outside the UK?

I gather these figures are based on the number of individuals that register with a GP in England and Wales and whose previous address was outside the UK and who have spent more than three months abroad.

Etaerio · 09/05/2025 21:01

Chersfrozenface · 09/05/2025 20:59

Was your previous address prior to your first registration outside the UK?

I gather these figures are based on the number of individuals that register with a GP in England and Wales and whose previous address was outside the UK and who have spent more than three months abroad.

Have you got a source for that? It'd be really useful to get the definitions thing answered!

PaintedPebbles · 09/05/2025 21:01

Chersfrozenface · 09/05/2025 20:59

Was your previous address prior to your first registration outside the UK?

I gather these figures are based on the number of individuals that register with a GP in England and Wales and whose previous address was outside the UK and who have spent more than three months abroad.

No - I’m British, just moved areas often during the Covid housing nightmare bubble.

Etaerio · 09/05/2025 21:05

PaintedPebbles · 09/05/2025 21:01

No - I’m British, just moved areas often during the Covid housing nightmare bubble.

But Farage was talking about foreign-born people, so you wouldn't be counted if born in UK.

PaintedPebbles · 09/05/2025 21:11

Etaerio · 09/05/2025 21:05

But Farage was talking about foreign-born people, so you wouldn't be counted if born in UK.

When he cites a credible source I’ll believe him. I was born in the UK, have always lived in the UK. I’m a prime example of the desired Aryan race 🙄 and if Farage ever gets any kind of power I will find some way of escaping this island.

Etaerio · 09/05/2025 21:14

PaintedPebbles · 09/05/2025 21:11

When he cites a credible source I’ll believe him. I was born in the UK, have always lived in the UK. I’m a prime example of the desired Aryan race 🙄 and if Farage ever gets any kind of power I will find some way of escaping this island.

You can play the race card if you want: I'm not particularly keen to engage with people who do.

PaintedPebbles · 09/05/2025 21:16

Etaerio · 09/05/2025 21:14

You can play the race card if you want: I'm not particularly keen to engage with people who do.

I’m very anti-racist and anti-Brexit. I don’t believe a word said by Farage. If he told me it’s Saturday tomorrow I’d check the calendar.

Etaerio · 09/05/2025 21:21

PaintedPebbles · 09/05/2025 21:16

I’m very anti-racist and anti-Brexit. I don’t believe a word said by Farage. If he told me it’s Saturday tomorrow I’d check the calendar.

I'm sorry, I don't believe your self-characterisation.

PaintedPebbles · 09/05/2025 21:23

Etaerio · 09/05/2025 21:21

I'm sorry, I don't believe your self-characterisation.

OK … scroll on by. Have a nice evening.

Clavinova · 09/05/2025 21:54

PaintedPebbles · 09/05/2025 17:31

There was an increase of 2.5 million foreign-born people from 2011 to 2021.

7.5 million in 2011.

10 million in 2021.

The Russian invasion of Ukraine was in 2022, so the Ukrainian refugees arrived after the 2021 census.

More recent estimate of 11.4m here;

November 28, 2024

Today we have also responded to user feedback by incorporating an estimate of the non-UK born population into our release. Rolling on from Census 2021, it estimates the non-UK born population of England and Wales was 11.4m, 1.4m higher than in 2021. This is a temporary solution while we work to find an improved approach. We’ll be providing an update on this work next year.

https://blog.ons.gov.uk/2024/11/28/developing-our-international-migration-estimates/

MoiMoiMoiMoi · 09/05/2025 22:33

Chersfrozenface · 09/05/2025 20:59

Was your previous address prior to your first registration outside the UK?

I gather these figures are based on the number of individuals that register with a GP in England and Wales and whose previous address was outside the UK and who have spent more than three months abroad.

They say foreign born not non uk address. You generally fill in where you were born

MoiMoiMoiMoi · 09/05/2025 22:39

PaintedPebbles · 09/05/2025 21:11

When he cites a credible source I’ll believe him. I was born in the UK, have always lived in the UK. I’m a prime example of the desired Aryan race 🙄 and if Farage ever gets any kind of power I will find some way of escaping this island.

That is just a stupid thing to say...
I would be good looking to Aryan race, but that means nothing. As shown by the Nazi plans.

People here need to stop pulling out extreme Nazi ideas to argue stupid point like they qere the ones to be exterminated. Makes you aound more stupid than him.

Clavinova · 09/05/2025 22:47

BisiBodi
The net increase in GP patients over the past decade is far lower—around 3 million (from ~59m in 2013 to ~62m in 2023

Researchers here are claiming an increase of 6.4 million for England (2013-2023). Your starting figure of 59m in 2013 must be incorrect;

Total patient numbers have grown from 56 million to 62.4 million

https://www.theguardian.com/society/article/2024/sep/04/nhs-faces-tipping-point-in-england-where-most-appointments-will-not-be-with-gps

Etaerio · 10/05/2025 06:13

MoiMoiMoiMoi · 09/05/2025 22:33

They say foreign born not non uk address. You generally fill in where you were born

But the NHS systems also record previous GP registration so most first-time migrants can be identified by being born abroad and having no previous GP registration.

Etaerio · 10/05/2025 07:18

PaintedPebbles · 09/05/2025 17:59

The Office for National Statistics doesn’t have accurate data for 2025, so I guess Farage has been hand-counting the numbers when he’s in the UK, which isn’t often.

Given that 2025 is less than half way through I guess we could cut the ONS some slack for not having accurate estimates for the year. I understand that their Magical Going Forward In Time team was cut due to funding constraints. And can you point out where Farage claimed to be presenting figures for 2025?

user1476533931 · 10/02/2026 13:03

BisiBodi · 07/05/2025 07:31

Nigel Farage recently stated: “7.2 million foreign-born people have registered with GPs in the last 10 years... All I'm doing here is giving you cold hard facts.”

Well, here’s a cold hard fact that is actually verifiable: 40.6% of GPs in England and Wales are foreign-born. The NHS wouldn’t survive without them. Foreign-born staff aren’t a burden—they’re the backbone.

Nigel Farage’s claim that "7.2 million foreign-born people have registered with GPs in the last 10 years" is highly misleading and requires context. And here’s why:

1. Misrepresentation of GP Registration Data
The 7.2 million figure likely comes from NHS Digital’s GP registration data, which tracks all new patient registrations, not just foreign-born individuals.
Many of these registrations are duplicates (e.g., people moving between GPs, students changing addresses, or babies being born).
The net increase in GP patients over the past decade is far lower—around 3 million (from ~59m in 2013 to ~62m in 2023).
NHS data experts have long cautioned against using raw registration numbers as proxies for migration—they’re too messy and often inflated.

2. Foreign-Born ≠ Recent Immigrants
The foreign-born population includes people who have lived in the UK for decades, not just recent arrivals.
Many are naturalised British citizens or long-term residents (e.g., those who arrived in the 1950s–2000s).
The ONS estimates the total foreign-born population in the UK is ~9.5 million (2021), meaning Farage’s claim would imply nearly 75% of all foreign-born people registered with GPs in just 10 years—an absurd exaggeration.
Farage’s figure also likely includes millions of EU citizens who were already living in the UK long before Brexit and simply remained after securing their rights through the EU Settlement Scheme. Over 5.6 million applications were made to the scheme, reflecting long-term residents—not new arrivals—who’ve been working, paying taxes, and contributing to British society for years.

3. The NHS Relies on Foreign-Born Staff
Farage’s framing ignores that 40.6% of GPs in England and Wales are foreign-born (Nuffield Trust, 2021).
Without them, the NHS would collapse—over 200,000 NHS staff (18%) are non-British, including 46% of doctors.
The NHS currently has over 120,000 staff vacancies, including critical shortages in nursing and general practice. Foreign-born staff are keeping the service afloat.
Many foreign-born NHS workers pay more in taxes than they use in services, helping fund the system—not drain it.

4. GP Registration ≠ Immigration Impact
Registering with a GP does not mean someone is a new immigrant—it’s required for anyone accessing healthcare, including:
British citizens returning from abroad
Children born to foreign parents (who are often British citizens)
EU citizens legally working in the UK
The UK has had net immigration of ~3.8 million in the last 10 years (not 7.2m), and even that includes students, workers, and family members—not all needing GP care immediately.

Conclusion
Farage’s claim is deliberately misleading—it conflates GP registrations (which include re-registrations and British citizens) with immigration figures, while ignoring that the NHS depends on foreign-born workers.
The real "cold hard fact" is that immigration has kept the NHS running, not overwhelmed it.

Recap:
GP Registrations ≠ Immigration
The 7.2m figure counts all new registrations—including:
Brits moving house
Babies being born
Students changing universities
Net patient growth (2013–2023): Only ~3 million (NHS Digital).
https://digital.nhs.uk/.../patients-registered-at-a-gp...

Foreign-Born ≠ “New Arrivals”
UK’s total foreign-born population: ~9.5m (many here for decades) (ONS).
https://www.ons.gov.uk/.../populat.../internationalmigration
Farage’s mathematics would mean 75% of all immigrants arrived in 10 years—obviously false.

NHS Runs on Immigrant Staff
40.6% of GPs are foreign-trained (Nuffield Trust).
https://www.nuffieldtrust.org.uk/.../the-nhs-workforce-in...
46% of doctors are foreign-born.
120,000 NHS vacancies exist—immigrants are saving the system, not breaking it.

Net Immigration: 3.8M (Not 7.2M)
Farage’s number is double the actual net migration (ONS).
https://www.ons.gov.uk/.../migrationstatisticsquar.../latest

The Bottom Line
Farage’s claim, yet again, is a deliberate con:
He’s using admin data (GP sign-ups) to inflate fear.
He’s ignoring that immigrants staff the NHS.
His mathematics don't add up.

The real crisis? Without foreign-born workers, your GP wait time would be years, not weeks.

Actually you are woefully misinformed. 34% of UK doctors cannot get a job in the UK because the NhS prefers to bring in foreign nationals. There are 7.5 million foreign nationals registered with GP’s in the last 10 years, it doesn’t matter who er who they are, it is too many. British people cannot get an appointment or a dentist and I know people who have died waiting for an appointment. The NHS may employ millions of foreign nationals but that is out of choice, British doctors can’t get a job!
if you are going to call out misinformation then you should check your facts first. You are 100% wrong! Farage is 100% correct!

www.bma.org.uk/news-and-opinion/major-survey-shows-scale-of-doctor-unemployment-crisis

marmaladeandpeanutbutter · 12/02/2026 10:24

OP you could add that the birth rate is only 1.4 in this country.

finbow · 12/02/2026 10:43

user1476533931 · 10/02/2026 13:03

Actually you are woefully misinformed. 34% of UK doctors cannot get a job in the UK because the NhS prefers to bring in foreign nationals. There are 7.5 million foreign nationals registered with GP’s in the last 10 years, it doesn’t matter who er who they are, it is too many. British people cannot get an appointment or a dentist and I know people who have died waiting for an appointment. The NHS may employ millions of foreign nationals but that is out of choice, British doctors can’t get a job!
if you are going to call out misinformation then you should check your facts first. You are 100% wrong! Farage is 100% correct!

www.bma.org.uk/news-and-opinion/major-survey-shows-scale-of-doctor-unemployment-crisis

“Some 4,401 doctors were asked whether they have substantive employment or regular locum work from next month. Of the 1,062 FY2 doctors who responded, 52 per cent said they did not. Overall, a third (34 per cent) of the doctors who responded did not.”

What is the total number of the respondents? 34% of that will be very different to 34% ‘of uk doctors’ overall.

TeenagersAngst · 12/02/2026 11:50

finbow · 12/02/2026 10:43

“Some 4,401 doctors were asked whether they have substantive employment or regular locum work from next month. Of the 1,062 FY2 doctors who responded, 52 per cent said they did not. Overall, a third (34 per cent) of the doctors who responded did not.”

What is the total number of the respondents? 34% of that will be very different to 34% ‘of uk doctors’ overall.

Did you read it? The numbers of respondents are in there.

finbow · 12/02/2026 11:55

TeenagersAngst · 12/02/2026 11:50

Did you read it? The numbers of respondents are in there.

I did. And what is that number, please? The number of all the respondents, not just FY2 doctors? And what is 34% of that?

And what is the overall number of uk doctors- that will help support your argument.
(edit to add not your argument, but the poster of the link)