I keep seeing similar threads on pension tax-free cash and wanted to post a detailed response to dispel some fears and hopefully stop people making costly mistakes. Apologies if you see this reply in multiple places for that reason.
I work in a role that makes me familiar with the pension system - although there’s always someone more expert - but not in a government role that gives me any special insight. I don’t know for certain what might happen, although I do have grounds to make a few educated guesses based on experience of previous changes to the system.
TLDR: It’s highly unlikely, in my view, that tax-free cash already held in pensions would be subject to extra tax.
It has been suggested in different places that this could be an area the Government looks to raise tax. The IFS has suggested a reduction on the limit for tax-free cash from £268,275 to £100,000. That’s what’s driving the reports you’re seeing.
But there are good reasons to think they won’t make this change at all. Or, at worst, make it only for money that is paid into pensions from now on.
The case against making it at all is that it will greatly reduce the tax-advantage of saving into a pension for many people - and the Government does actually need people to save for their retirement. Also, it would be incredibly unpopular in general, but particularly unpopular with public sector workers because these people tend to have the best pensions. This is a very difficult group for Labour to make enemies of.
But if they were to make this kind of change, I’m very confident that it would only be for money paid into pensions from now on - not for money already held in a pension. Why am I so confident? Because this is money that people have been counting on getting, building long-term retirement plans based on the level of tax-free cash they think they will get. That could be money they need to pay off their mortgage, or to pay for a house they’ve already put an offer on.
When previous changes to pensions have been made (changes which were honestly not as significant as this would be) the government has put in long-term transitional arrangements to phase in the change. When the Lifetime Allowance has been reduced over the years, for example, those with money already in pensions above the new limit were granted protections so money already held in pensions was not caught by the extra tax.
When the State Pension Age was increased for women it was ruled that the Government had an obligation to inform the public in good time that the change was coming.
I don’t see how, in this context, the Government could impose a new set of rules on money contributed to a pension under an old set of rules. It would be an effective miss-selling of the pension.
Could they still do it? Yes, ultimately they can change tax rules as they wish but it would be completely unprecedented and exceedingly difficult to do.