A range of fascinating though largely evidence free, though possibly understandable, perspectives on this thread.
fortunately HESA publish domicile data, by provider level and going back over a number of years. The interesting thing is that there hasn't been any real shift. Given the real cost of living pressures over recent years I admit I thought we might start to see something along those lines, but largely this isn't the case. Yet….23/24 data remains to be published.
www.hesa.ac.uk Table 59
Focusing just on home, rather than international undergrads. At a fairly, and slightly simplistic, regional level. For the most recent year published
East of England, so Herts bordering London up to Norfolk 68% go to a Uni in East (27%) East Mids, London or South East.
East Mids 64% go to a Uni in East Mids (42%), West Mids or Yorks & Humber
London 45% go to a London Uni, increasing to 69% once South East and East of England included
North East 61% go to a North East Uni, rising to 83% if North West and Yorks & Humber added
North West 61% go to a North West Uni; rising to 73% when Yorks & Humber added
South East 64% go to a Uni in the South East, London or South West
South West 41% to a uni in the South West, and 74% if South East, West Midlands and Wales added
West Mids 44% to West Mids, rising to 67% if East Mids and North West added
Yorks & Humber 52% go to Yorks &Humber Uni, 81% once East Mids, North East and North West added.
Scotland (no fees but also a number cap) 96% go to a Scottish uni
Norther Ireland 70% to a NI Uni, rising to 87% when North West and Scotland included
Wales 59% to Uni in Wales, 81% when South West and North West added.