Hi again, OP -
I have just been looking at the Complete University Guide for 2025. Probably it is the best balanced ranking for what really matters to undergraduate study.
After Cambridge and Oxford in the top spots for Physics, No 3 is Durham and No 4 is Manchester.(2 recent Nobel prizes and all that flows from that) Both require A star A star A and neither mentions FM.
Now, it’s never as straightforward as it seems in the most elite programmes. The most competitive are starting to ‘tier’ their offers, meaning that they may first make offers to the candidates they perceive as most desirable. The only implicit screens at this level would be a third A star and FM. If DD gets the PGs stated I doubt they would reject her out of hand, but they might leave her hanging for a while.
If DD’s passion is Physics, these are excellent options and of course there are others. If she isn’t sure, Scottish universities could be an excellent choice. Strong English students have the option of Y2 entry, but Y1 is more general and could help DD confirm her choice or otherwise.
Physics seems to me to make sense only if DD likes higher maths in context quite a lot. I am intrigued, however, that she is interested in Physics without being intrinsically keen on FM and know this could make sense. I found high school maths boring and now my research is essentially mathematical. If I had lived in the UK I might have passed on FM. So I understand she might want to go ahead with Physics, and may have the talent to do so.
(I write as a former STEM admissions tutor in the tier just below COWI. I don’t think the tiered approach is really helping to create stronger cohorts, which is the excuse for using it)