@SoTiredNeedHoliday
The expanded numbers for 2025 entry have already been allocated. They're fairy uniform across all the medical schools that wanted extra, so only a small number aren't taking any extra.
Beyond that, medical schools are still pretty much in the dark. The last government was very keen to move to 4-year medicine degrees and there is work going on to address the feasibility of this. My impression is that the new government is at least as keen to make this change, although there are lots of issues that would make this extremely difficult to implement and I don't know what discussions are going on at university/NHS/government level. There is also a commitment to have a sizeable proportion of new trainee doctors on apprenticeships, with a pilot programme running for 2025 entry.
So it's hard to predict where the extra places will be until we know what proportions will have to be on 4-year programmes and apprenticeships. I'd be fairly confident there will be new medical schools, though. There are a few new ones already (Portsmouth, Surrey, Cumbria) that are delivering other medical schools' graduate-entry programmes, as well as Chester, Three Counties (Worcester) and Brunel now taking home students as well as internationals.
Because the total number of students starting in 2025 will be higher, there will have to be a large number of offers made. Whether this translates to more applicants' being interviewed or a higher proportion of interview candidates' being made offers, we'll have to wait and see. I think quite a lot of medical schools would struggle to do more interviews, though, so I wouldn't predict UCAT thresholds dropping sharply.
Regarding the lack of F1 places, we have been promised by NHS England that postgraduate training capacity is being addressed as part of the expansion plan. I'm afraid I don't know any details of what is being done, as I don't move in those circles.