Still nothing for DS. LSE, UCL and Warwick. The hope is that he has been kept waiting so long because he is a sound candidate and that there is a good chance that a space will open up in at least one of the three. He seems to have survived another "rejection Friday" at LSE as they slowly sift through their pile of remaining candidates, and I hear from the parents of a boy who went through the same last year that most of the decisions will now happen on 31 March.
I went to a alumni talk at the LSE last week. LSE has 20 applicants for every place, so DS should perhaps feel proud of having survived so long. Given they don't interview, AAA* is not sufficient and marginal differences in UMS, subject choice and the strength of the reference and PS have become hugely important. Only 30% of their students are "home", eg from Europe, and they are very concerned that fee increases and the cost of living in London means that amongst the students from the UK there is an increasing over-representation of both London/Home Counties and privately educated students. Ironically LSE are looking for commitment to your chosen field of study, so applying to comparable and also hugely competitive courses, should help your application.
UCL apparently (too much student room) hope to make most of their remaining decisions in the next week. At least the waiting will then be over.
Warwick is a bit of a mystery as they have handed out quite a lot of offers including to kids whose grades etc are very comparable to DS'. DS offers a second language to a level sufficient for Erasmus, which we assumed would appeal to Warwick.
What seems clear is that demand for a very limited number of rigorous maths based economics courses is increasing significantly year on year. However it appears that the need for contextualisation means that Universities feel constrained from expanding the places available for home students, as there is only a limited pool of target students (eg from the north or from low performing state secondaries) who have sufficient maths to cope (and my guess is that they would tend to chose Cambridge or Warwick over London.) LSE instead suggested they are looking at offering a second more policy orientated degree, which will attract a different pool of candidates.
Plan B will be a gap year and perhaps a hard look to see similar courses are taught anywhere else in Europe. The small silver lining is that after 5 months wait it has sort of become a background issue, and mocks revision has taken over. Since he would be happy with any of the three, I suspect that the long wait becomes more frustrating for those who have four offers out of five and would like to be sure where they are going.
DD talks about medicine.....at least there we are forewarned.