Centrifugalfork:
With refernce to the counting of cases, I find this as confused as the information about the vaccines! I would love to know what 'complex modelling' is being used - do you know where I can find out more or which authority is responsible?
Although the following is from an American investigation of number of Swine Flu cases, I think the information is relevant:
This is the CBS News information regarding how many cases of swine flu were actually detected before they stopped actually testing for it...
Reported by investigative journalist Sharyl Attkisson - CBS News correspondent and investigative reporter. She was also part of the CBS news team that received the Edward Murrow Award in 2005 for overall excellence. Additionally, she received an Outstanding Investigative Journalism Emmy in 2002 for a series on the Red Cross)
Her investigation found:
?The CDC explained that one of the reasons they quit counting was because of all the flu that?s out there, most are swine flu. Well, that?s true. Most of the flu that was out there was indeed swine flu, but they failed to say that most of the suspected flu was nothing at all. And I think that?s the caveat the public just didn?t know,? Attkisson explains.
She gives even more striking examples of the numbers the investigative report revealed.
For instance:
In Florida, 83 percent of specimens that were presumed to be swine flu were negative for all flu when tested!
In California, 86 percent of suspected H1N1 specimens were not swine flu or any flu; only 2 percent were confirmed swine flu.
In Alaska, 93 percent of suspected swine flu specimens were negative for all flu types; only 1 percent was H1N1 flu.