There is research that indicates that theolder the child is the more likely is the adoptive placement to break down. There are however so many variables, the nature and extent of the pre placement experiences with birth parents, the resilience of the child, the abilities of the adoptors to understand and accept why the child has behavioural problems, and help him/her learn to trust adults again. The post adoption support they are able to access and many more issues too numerous to mention.
Purple I undestand you completely but there are NO guarantees in fostering and adoption and as I 've said above there are so many variables. If you read my long post about process, you may begin to understand why these matters take so long. The one part I missed out of the process is that if a case has to be adjourned at the final hearing, you often don't get another "slot" for 6 months. There are too few judges available for care proceedings. You also have to remember that as well as your LO the sw will probably have 20 + other cases of the same nature.
So yes he may still be with you when he is 2, and as you say this is going to cause more trauma for him and the adoptors, and trying to recruit social workers to child protection work is exceedingly difficult as it is very stressful and time consuming work, and always the horror of a baby P on the caseload. Social workers are damned if they remove children and damned if they don't- alongside all this the vacant posts in most LAs are "frozen" because of the huge budget cuts by Cameron et al which means that there is not enough funding in the budget to pay new social workers.
As you all know fostering and adoption is a very risky business. I have seen marriages break up, mental health difficulties arise and all sorts of other issues caused by the stresses and strains of fostering or adoption. Imagine the case of one of the adoptive parents bonding with the child and the other one not (it happens and it's part of human nature) I can assure you it is a hellish situation and in the case I am thinking of the parents separated and their 4 birth children suffered terribly as a result. They all went into it with very positive feelings and there was much excitement. That is just one case - I could write a book .....
Scarlet I usually agree with your posts, but your last one has puzzled me a bit. As I'm sure you know the LA have to carry out a comprehensive assessment on the parents (and all the other things that have to happen that I outlined in an earlier post). In this case it appears that the assessment of the birthparents has led to the view that the child should be returned to them. The LA can't take a case to court if they believe that it is safe for the child to be returned home. That is their duty under the law.
You mention new parents lined up. This would not happen at such an early stage. If the care plan remained adoption (which of course would be the plan for a baby) then all of the issues would have to be undertaken as per my previous post. IF at the end of it all the LA recommendation was for the child to be adopted and IF the Judge agreed (sometimes guardians disagree with social workers and the Judge could be more influenced by the guardian's recommendation) or an independent assessor of the parents is commissioned by the court and he/she makes a recommendation. IF at the end of all this the Judge will make a Placement Order (which used to be called a "Freeing Order") meaning that the child can be placed with approved adoptors. No matching can be undertaken until there is a Placement Order awarded.
Yes there is much heart ache for you all, fostercarers and adoptors, especially when you have had the child from a tiny baby and bond with him and then have to let him go, but that I'm afraid is the reality of the situation.