Predictions for how long before we rejoin the EU?

[SoloD]

I reckon between 10-15 years, if I narrow that down I reckon 2033

5 years for the full economic impact to be felt, 5 years to get a rejoin majority government, year to do an referendum, 2 years to negotiate to join.

@alislim I take it it wasn't this headline you read?

The EU will start promoting itself now as they recognise they should have done a bit of pro eu pr in the uk to counter all the bent banana stuff. Id expect a lot of surveys like that.
Germany is on the brink of recession.
France is on strike all the time
The far right is rising
What is russia up to
Where will all the climate migrants go

Im a staunch remainer btw. Ive just become a pessimist.

WE leave at the end of this month
but I predict another extension to the Transition period when the trade deal reality bites
so we will stay in Limbo for another year or three

I agree with those who say the EU is likely to implode in however many years. Either that or the leaders will insist on closer union resulting in untenable terms.

I wonder how many will be so happy to rejoin if the EU construct an EU army? I foresee a few tears when their darling offspring are forcibly conscripted in the event of a serious military situation somewhere in the world.

Germany is on the brink of recession.
France is on strike all the time
The far right is rising

Germany might be slowing down but it's a remarkably stable country. Both economically and politically. Thanks to its electoral system the AFD has next to 0 chance of getting into power.

France- love the French but they're world champs in complaining! The OPTICS look awful but unemployment is much lower than it was only a couple of years ago and France currently attracts the highest rate of foreign direct investment in Europe (more than UK, more than Germany). The only thing is sky high public spending but that's a French problem, not an EU one. As I said, protest is an age old tradition so governments find it hard to reform the state.

Also on the rise of the far right- some countries like Hungary and Poland have very socially conservative authoritarians in power but most of the EU27 have constitutions that make a far right regime very unlikely.

I think the EU will evolve and we might rejoin an outer circle but the core countries will be even more integrated and we'll never get back to the top table. That's the cost of brexit.

I wonder how many will be so happy to rejoin if the EU construct an EU army?

Do we think this is realistic? A joint force, possibly. But conscription seems rather unlikely. Where will they put the conscripts to train? How will they deal with the language differences? How will they select the conscripts from the millions of suitably aged people?

Of course we could have just vetoed it if we’d remained.

I foresee a few tears when their darling offspring are forcibly conscripted in the event of a serious military situation somewhere in the world.

But you'd rather we depend on the US, which has the biggest army in the world and keeps getting involved in wars abroad. They may well force the UK's hand and then more British soldiers will get sent off to fight another Iraq, is that any better? Isn't that infinitely more likely than a hypothetical non existent EU army fighting hypothetical wars?

Denmark tis alking of leaving and more will follow I think it’s had it’s day

Of course we could have just vetoed it if we’d remained.
Never let facts get in the way of a Tabloid headline

WE leave at the end of this month
but I predict another extension to the Transition period when the trade deal reality bites
so we will stay in Limbo for another year or three

This

Then probably 30 years before we are back where we are integrated into whatever the EU evolves into.

Im 41. Hope to live to see the day. I fear for European peace before then and UK economic fragility.

Denmark? Lol. No, I travel there often and whilst there may have been noises along those lines there's no appetite to leave whatsoever. In fact even Norwegians tend to think brexit is absurd and they're not even in the EU.

I'm not convinced we'll leave, but yes, the EU will implode soon
I disagree with both those statements.

Barring some sort of global disaster next week, we are leaving a week on Friday.

And the EU will not implode. It's possible that no other countries will take up the euro and a couple eg Greece might eventually come out of the euro zone but I don't think it's going to collapse altogether.

Why on earth would anyone be forcibly conscripted into an EU army?

Lots of daft Daily Express projection.

I don't think the EU as it is currently will exists in 2033 so never.

If the whole thing falls apart that might make it easier to join together in another form.

@workffs why do you think that?

Based on what evidence?

Or is it more what you'd like to happen?

I'm in the school that thinks the EU will become more and more federal in it's vision so we won't want to join it in the future anyway.

Not in any foreseeable future.

Denmark tis alking of leaving and more will follow I think it’s had it’s day

According to Denmark their support for EU membership is at the highest it's ever been. Figures that came out at the start of the year put leaving at just 22%.

Gosh, @wheresmychocolate, we must be reading such different publications. Who to believe?

Apologies @wheresmychocolate. I thought it was you who had posted Danish eurosceptism at record high.

Once France and Germany starts paying the U.K. contributions the benefits of this EU club will demise ... 10 years max

Or

EU 2.0 ( original eu ) France - Germany and maybe one or two others .

@Fatladyissinging and your prediction is based on what exactly?

Leavers are funny. They wish so hard that the EU will collapse. But don't have any evidence for it.

I am surprised at the posts. I thought more would be saying let's rejoin ASAP. And immediately start to try and facilitate that. Surely that the remainders view?

Possibly because leaving has been stalled so much, the EU collapsing seems the.more likely opinion of actually leaving.

(I jest of course.)

An EU army into which "darling off-sping'" get forcefully conscripted. Interesting idea. Wonder where it come from; not sure there's much in the way of critical thinking applied to it. Not helped by the fact, ignoring the superfluous pleonasm (😀), the phrasing feels a tad on the bitter side,