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Brexit

Westminstenders: One Pepperoni Pizza Please. And a Milkshake To Go.

986 replies

RedToothBrush · 22/05/2019 21:03

On the Eve of the EU Elections that we never met to happen, and we don't know what the next hour next mind day might bring.

Farage is enjoying the theatre of milkshakes. It means he gets attention and gets to play the victim. And avoid talking about his dodgy friends and even dodgier financing. The Brexit Party are polling so highly its possible he could be PM. And boy does he know it. The temptation is there and its too much to resist.

May has refused to resign so far tonight after a day of asking her to. The 1922 Committee refused to change the rules to help oust her - possibly because they don't want the next PM to be beset with challenges to the leadership at the drop of a hat. Graham Brady is seeing her on Friday... The ERG are not happy bunnies.

May is still apparently planning to plough on with the WAB with a referendum possibly attached. Though this remains to be seen.

Meanwhile Leadsom has just quit the Cabinet. She was one of the Brexit 'Pizza Club'. Rumours are this might be the Cabinet withdrawing support for her. Though Gove has said he doesn't intend to resign (tonight at least).

Rumour is that May's senior staff have abandoned her to let her make the decision to go. And rumours are that when Leadsom rang May to tell her she was leaving cabinet, May didn't tell her senior staff. This comes two weeks after rumours where that Phillip May was at the point of telling her it was time to resign. The rumours of course may be just that, rumours but it's hard to see how or why anyone would tell her to carry on now.

And so tomorrow. Who would vote for this utter shower of shit? Even if you were the most loyal of Tories?

The thing tomorrow is to get the remain vote out. It doesn't matter ultimately what people vote for. Every vote cast for remain keeps the Brexit Party popular vote down. Even if it doesn't win seats. And that is psychologically important.

Tomorrow make sure EVERYONE you know who is anti brexit party votes. More so if they are a Remainer voting for a Remain party, but also if they are solid Labour or the rarest of things, a true blue.

It MATTERS. Narratives will be set.

If you are not sure if you are registered to vote, please TRY ANYWAY. The worst case is you are turned away and have lost 20 mins of your life. But you might also be able to vote and that might change the course of events.

Talk to people tomorrow. Remind them. Make sure it's about preventing a hard right foothold. Apathy will destroy our futures. Being fed up of politicians so refusing to vote is actively shooting yourself in the face.

Who am I voting for?

Still no idea. But I will vote.

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RedToothBrush · 24/05/2019 01:15

Labour leave areas people are staying at home

Leigh had highest leave vote in NW if I recall correctly. Its very very very Labour. And 28% turnout out???

If Stockport, Manc, Liverpool and bits of posh Cheshire put in a good turnout, LDs could do very well.

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RedToothBrush · 24/05/2019 01:16

Nifer y pleidleiswyr #SirGaerfyrddin | Turnout #Carmarthenshire: 41.8%

#EtholiadauUE2019 #EUElections2019

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tobee · 24/05/2019 01:18

Thanks!

RedToothBrush · 24/05/2019 01:21

Andrew Adonis @ andrew_adonis
The turnout in the Euro elections appears to be significantly higher than in the local elections. I am hearing reports of 50-60% in many places

?!!!?!!!

Where mate??!!!

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ClarkeMurphy · 24/05/2019 01:22

I'm supposed to be going to bed! Bloody hell. I want to know if how my area fared.

RedToothBrush · 24/05/2019 01:22

Derby
TURNOUT: 54,579 votes cast or 31.79% #EUelections2019

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RedToothBrush · 24/05/2019 01:26

The results have been verified. 28,438 votes were counted with a turnout of 30.5% in Ashfield

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RedToothBrush · 24/05/2019 01:29

East Midlands turnout so far looks similar to 2014 apparently.

SW seems to have higher turnout than rest of country.

Yellow areas higher turnout.

Labour leave areas look dire.

Define pattern.

Similar to local elections. Very similar.

Those huge tory losses = Brexit party gains I fear.

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RedToothBrush · 24/05/2019 01:32

Anyway must sleep.

Pattern is clear already. Just a question of how bad the numbers are for the pattern.

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HazardGhost · 24/05/2019 01:48

Anyone fancy going through the gov petitions website looking at the pro leave, pro revoke, pro confirmatory ref petitions with the signatures maps and applying the info into predictions? Say a population is 10,000, 3000 signed confirmatory ref petition and 4000 no deal petition so would trend towards a 30% remain parties vote and 40% far right?

No...?

It could be put into a flow chart and graph...

tobee · 24/05/2019 01:54

I'm awake @HazardGhost but maths was never my strong point. And crunching statistics? Sadly not. Sad

HazardGhost · 24/05/2019 02:00

Damn tobee! We'll leave it to the others to do in the morning, by my statistically analysis math people must be morning people 😂

lonelyplanetmum · 24/05/2019 05:18

Misfeasance in public office against Boris case- it is an interesting coincidence that the form the offence should take is in the midst of being reviewed.

"On May 23, after a two-hour long public hearing, judge Coleman announced that she would deliver her decision on the summons application on May 29, in writing."

www.wired.co.uk/article/boris-johnson-court-brexit-referendum-vote

Iambuffy · 24/05/2019 07:11

Morning.

It's all feeling very brexitty isn't it?

LonelyTiredandLow · 24/05/2019 07:12

I really shouldn't look at the local residents groups. One Brexit voter cooing on about how her stocks and shares are rocketing thanks to Brexit uncertainty and how that can "only be a good thing" and she's "already cashed in" - selfishness comes off them in veritable waves.

RedToothBrush · 24/05/2019 07:48

Ooh someone did a nice graph for turnouts from over night

Westminstenders: One Pepperoni Pizza Please. And a Milkshake To Go.
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RedToothBrush · 24/05/2019 07:54

The turnout for Cheshire West and Chester in the #EuropeanElection2019 was 34.94% with 93,024 votes cast. #EUElections

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RedToothBrush · 24/05/2019 07:59

The turnout figure for South Holland in the 2019 European Parliamentary Elections is 32.12%
The counting of the votes will take place from 6pm on Sunday, with results declared later that evening.
#YourVoteMatters #EuropeanElections #EUelections2019

(South Holland one of the most brexitty places in the country)

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RedToothBrush · 24/05/2019 08:00

#Stroud District Council have confirmed turn out is 46.3% after they completed verification last night

That’s 4% up on 2014

#EUElections2019

(LD strong area)

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RedToothBrush · 24/05/2019 08:02

LD councillor reported 47% turnout in St Albans (not official source)

Ld area.

I've not seen any turnout for London Boroughs yet.

You Gov were predicting higher turnout there.

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ThereWillBeAdequateFood · 24/05/2019 08:06

Love a good graph.

fairweathercyclist · 24/05/2019 08:07

Votes I know about in my area 4 x LD, 1 x green (from someone who voted leave in the referendum) and 1 person complaining that someone had gone out to vote with a European flag draped around them and "rubbing peoples' noses in it when everyone is so divided". Not sure which way she voted though.

woman19 · 24/05/2019 08:07

Poland looking good Smile
twitter.com/EreaAndrzej/status/1131815844978339840

OhLookHeKickedTheBall · 24/05/2019 08:13

Not sure about all London boroughs but ours aren't touching anything until Sunday

RedToothBrush · 24/05/2019 08:14

John Mann @johnmannmp
European election turnout in Bassetlaw lower than in 2014 and lower than 2009. Disdain, even contempt for Parliament more than anger.

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