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Brexit

Westminstenders: It's oh so quiet...

989 replies

RedToothBrush · 04/02/2019 15:14

It's oh so quiet // It's oh so still // You're all alone // And so peaceful until

You ring the news // Bim bam // You shout and you yell // Hi ho ho // You broke the spell // Gee, this is swell you almost have a fit // Brexit is fab and I got hit // There's no mistake get on with it

'Til it's over and then // It's nice and quiet //
Shh shh // But soon again // Shh shh // Uh oh let's start a big riot

You blow a fuse // Zing boom // The devil cuts loose // Zing boom // What's the use
Wow bam // Of leaving the EU

It's gone quiet.

May was supposed to go on a tour of the EU to get concessions. She hasn't.

Instead we are currently stuck in an internal never ending debate about Alternative Arrangements (which is being abbreved too A. A. by less convinced souls) and how Germany got all the money from Marshall Aid (it didn't) and how navy ships can suddenly sprout front opening hulls to become roll on roll off ferries to emulate the spirit of Dunkirk. One of our greatest ever military defeats, which merely had good PR.

The idea that there is going to be any shift in position between now and 14th Feb seems unlikely. It suits the EU and it suits the ERG to be blunt about it. It does not suit the UK national interest though.

Instead our livihoods and futures are slowly drip, drip, dripping away. Invisible to those loved up on the idea of Leaving. But like a newly wed, how long does that feeling last? 42% of British marriages end in divorce after all. When do people fall out of love with Brexit?

The revelation of the need for the WAIB is scary too. The WAIB is the Withdrawal Agreement Implementation Bill. You can read more about it here:
threadreaderapp.com/thread/1091734003265224708.html
Well I say you can read about it, but from the thread you can see that the WAIB hasn't been published yet. And for us to Brexit without a legal and constitutional nightmare parliament needs to pass both the WA And the WAIB. And if you thought it was difficult to get the WA through just wait until you clap eyes on the WAIB details.

With this in mind there are noises from the ERG about an A50 extension. Y'know the one we can't have unless the EU think it's it their interests too.

mlexmarketinsight.com/insights-center/editors-picks/brexit/europe/the-uk-rips-out-its-eu-law-drip,-only-to-hook-up-to-another
More on the WAIB.

Of course there is a more sinister explanation: May does indeed intend to no deal and or use civil contingency law to pass the WAIB in whatever form she sees fit without parliamentary scrutiny.

Tick, tick, tick.

A friend told me today not to worry about brexit as "we survived before and we'll survive again". I didn't say much. My history lessons were rather grimmer in reminding me, that the ones who didn't survive don't get to be so optimistic.

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Thread gallery
14
Apileofballyhoo · 06/02/2019 00:30

I think someone high up read my post on one of the other threads about 'secret technology'. It's getting more and more ludicrous.

It's hard to believe it's real.

wherearemychickens · 06/02/2019 00:30

Peter Foster is coming over as just a tad unhinged by frustration with it all today.

FingerKFCLicking · 06/02/2019 00:30

BTW do people think Irish unification will happen? If No Deal - yes.

BigChocFrenzy · 06/02/2019 00:30

peregrina Before the ref, I thought 50 years
Now it could be under 10, more likely in 10-20 years

wherearemychickens · 06/02/2019 00:31

Aliens. That's what we need. That would sort us out.

RedToothBrush · 06/02/2019 00:32

Amanda Ferguson @ amandafbelfast
Dear Smugglers. Please help us by carrying a phone with a HMRC approved app on it to track you crossing the Border. Thanks.

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BigChocFrenzy · 06/02/2019 00:34

Stephen Ruth**@stephen_rth

May herself actually publicly shot down these proposals in a response to a question from @OwenPaterson in October. 🤔

'Some of these [proposals] involve a degree of state surveillance which frankly wouldn't be acceptable in NI"

RedToothBrush · 06/02/2019 00:34

Peter Foster is coming over as just a tad unhinged by frustration with it all today.

I think Peter Foster is on my list of the best Brexit journalists. Him and Faisal have been fantastic. I don't think he's unhinged. I think he's just in awe of the stupidity of the hard line ERG fuckwits.

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BigChocFrenzy · 06/02/2019 00:36

Peter Foster Retweeted Rick@FlipChartRick

I keep saying this.
It’s not the trusted traders that are the problem. It’s the un-trusted traders.

BigChocFrenzy · 06/02/2019 00:38

The ERG are just trying to waste time until there is No Deal.

Remember they've already said the backstop is just #1 on their list of demanded change to the WA

Apileofballyhoo · 06/02/2019 00:39

I suppose that could be one of the benefits of Brexit for Britain, the DUP become an exclusively Irish problem.

Yay. Silver lining. Break out the Brexit bunting.

RedToothBrush · 06/02/2019 00:44

Oh and this could end Mumsnet. Nice knowing you guys.

Westminstenders: It's oh so quiet...
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RedToothBrush · 06/02/2019 00:48

Sam Lowe @sammarclow
All of these alternative plans are much of a muchness, and they all fall down at the same hurdle: “associated checks”.

Let’s just say that it’s pretty easy to get paid by the British government at the moment to come up with the same sort of idea as everyone else ... that is categorically not appropriate for the Irish border.

I wonder how much The Rwanda Model has cost the taxpayer.

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RedToothBrush · 06/02/2019 00:53

About that post Brexit deal with Switzerland were are supposed to have agreed

tradebetablog.wordpress.com/2019/02/05/uk-and-swiss-trade-post-brexit/amp/?__twitter_impression=true
What have the UK and Switzerland agreed on trade post-Brexit?

What have the UK and Switzerland agreed on their trade relationship post-Brexit? The text(s) is(are) not available publicly but there are interesting insights in a Swiss government information sheet, prepared mainly for Swiss companies, and dealing only with trade in goods, not services.

A key point to make is that this is not exactly “rolling over” to the UK the present Swiss-EU trade relationship. It only looks at two situations: a transition under the Withdrawal Agreement, but not beyond; and the UK’s disorderly exit from the EU if there is no deal.

I'm just going to say that a large bag of crisps will set you back over £5 in Switzerland and just park the rest of the discussion.

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RedToothBrush · 06/02/2019 00:57

www.gov.uk/guidance/exporting-and-importing-fish-if-theres-no-brexit-deal
Exporting and importing fish if there’s no Brexit deal
Prepare for rules and processes for exporting and importing wild-caught marine fish if we leave the EU with no deal

Edwin Haywards @ UKdomainnames
The fishing industry will drown in red tape under a no deal Brexit scenario. That seems to be the gist of the new preparedness notice snuck out by Government very, very quietly this evening...

Sam Lowe @ sammarclowe
Around 80 per cent of the British catch is exported, with two-thirds of it going to the EU.

Not sure why, but the fact that British people don’t eat British fish - and the EU market is incredibly important - seems to be lost in the Brexit fishing debate.

You mean like the one where the EU imposed all the pesticides laws on the UK?

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BigChocFrenzy · 06/02/2019 01:18

"a no-deal Brexit would destroy 40 years of supply chain development with the Republic of Ireland"

https://www.belfasttelegraph.co.uk/news/northern-ireland/business-leader-in-ni-urges-end-to-brexit-brinkmanship-37786254.html

Whatsnewwithyou · 06/02/2019 01:44

.

BigChocFrenzy · 06/02/2019 01:51

Tory MP Nadine Dorries told 'not all brown women look the same' after tweet mix-up

Lost count of 🤦🏻‍♀️ s for Dorries:

https://news.sky.com/story/tory-mp-nadine-dorries-told-not-all-brown-women-look-the-same-after-tweet-mix-up-11628231

borntobequiet · 06/02/2019 07:17

I have a mild form of face blindness (prosopagnosia is the name I always forget and have to look up) which has caused me some minor embarrassment over the years so I would normally give the benefit of the doubt...but for Dorries to then claim she got them mixed up because of their accents is bizarre to say the least. Vile (and stupid) woman.

Destiel · 06/02/2019 07:52

I've been mulling...

For those who are technologically minded...

Post brexshit will it be better to have physical DVDs/blue rays or will downloaded/streamed content still be ok? (Amazon prime etc)

Sigh.

I am very cross I lie at 3am thinking about this bollocks.

LonelyandTiredandLow · 06/02/2019 08:03

It's a good question. I am worried extreme editing will eventually take place on movies etc. It's a funny time where you feel every media campaign is somehow psyops'ed into tricking the population and every news story completely lacking in any real thought or questioning. I've considered not paying my licence fee for the first time ever in the last few months. So much of the "debate" on there is nothing of the sort.

Peregrina · 06/02/2019 08:14

I am worried extreme editing will eventually take place on movies etc.
This used to happen with Franco's Spain, I believe, where foreign films were dubbed rather than subtitled, but translations unacceptable to the Dictator were doctored.

RedToothBrush · 06/02/2019 08:15

Donal O'Keefe @ donal_okeffe
Outside Westminster this morning, a Brexiteer told me Ireland’s biggest problem is “You have a man who’s adopted Ireland and he’s far fonder of the EU than he is of Ireland.”

When I asked who he meant, he confirmed he meant the Taoiseach.

“He’s as Irish as I am,” I said.

“No he’s not,” said an older woman, in a “don’t be silly” voice. She was carrying a Leave Means Leave banner. “Verruca? He’s Not Irish, he’s an Indian, isn’t he?”

When I asked about possible job losses at Nissan’s Sunderland plant, she said “Good riddance. I cannot stand the Japanese.”

She also told me she’s a distant cousin of David Prowse. I’m not sure what Lord Vader might make of all that.

Her colleague told me “We love Ireland. What would Cheltenham be without the Irish? What would any of us be without Guinness?

“And have the Irish woken up to the EU yet?”

About 90% of us haven’t, no, I said.

“A terrible shame,” he said.

When I suggested customs posts along the British border in Ireland (thank you @andrewismaxwell) would become targets for terrorist attacks, they both disagreed.

“They’ve had 20 years of peace,” he said, “They won’t go back!”

“And besides, the atrocities helped clear the air.”

“You want to get back to building ships again,” Dave Prowse’s cousin told me. “Harland and Wolff used to make such great ships.”

“Yeah,” says another Brexiteer, deadpan, “the Titanic was brilliant.”

He then ventures his opinion on a border in Ireland: “Maybe you need a border in Island. Stop some of them things getting through.”

What things?

“You know, mate. You know.”

“Electronic borders work perfectly well,” says Dave Prowse’s cousin. “There’s all this technology now. And I’d know. I used to work in the European Space Agency, before all the politicians got involved and ruined it.”

She finishes by saying the EU is crumbling, and if you’re in a house that’s crumbling, you get out, don’t you?

Her colleague, Mark, motions at the statue of Winston Churchill. Here we go.

“That gentleman told us to stand firm at a time when we were hopelessly outgunned. He stirred up our resolve, and we stood firm.

“And look at us now!”

Indeed.

By way of grim post-script, I’m in a taxi on the way to O’Connell Street and not five minutes in the cab, the driver has called Leo Varadkar “a fucking Indian immigrant”. I lost the head, to be honest.

This is one of those stories where you don't know how true it is, but frankly I'm not sure you can tell anymore.

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RedToothBrush · 06/02/2019 08:18

Post brexshit will it be better to have physical DVDs/blue rays or will downloaded/streamed content still be ok? (Amazon prime etc)

In the Apocalypse you will struggle to afford food. Your choice of movie source won't be a priority.

Otherwise either will be OK.

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Somerville · 06/02/2019 08:19

You lot have already delved pretty deeply into the reasons these “tech solutions” (don’t know whether to laugh or cry) wouldn’t work. And just to confirm that yes, even beyond smuggling, there would be mass civil disobedience. The number of people who would be prepared to download a government app or fill in a form for their good to be tracked is minimal. And it’s not even about one part of the community refusing to do so and the other joining in - eg look at cash for ash... both extremes of the political divide in NI have a sense of entitlement, for very different reasons, and there would be mass avoidance of the red tape/fees for anything like this. Within days there would be a spike in sales of dumb-phones and smart phones would be left at home. As well as ANPRs cameras and the like being pulled down constantly.
I think schemes like this could work for the engaged and cooperative section of any community - so would never address smuggling - but that isn’t what there is in NI.