The path to the current situation - and the paths from here - make a lot of sense if you place the overarching fact over it all that Brexit won't happen.
I know we've been very dismissive of Camerons cut'n'run policy. But if you add in the certain knowledge that Cameron was a committed Remainer (and having heard him defend the EU in a Cameron Direct in 2009, I believe he was sincere) it actually starts to make sense.
Let's start from a POV that the outcome of the referendum was a given "Remain". Obviously this didn't happen - maybe Remainers didn't factor in how much people would cut off their noses just to spite the elite. Maybe they underestimated the power of a bus. Maybe Saturn was in conjunction with Jupiter and Mars. For whatever reason, Leave won.
At this point, Remain "plan B" kicks in (as I refuse to believe such a momentous decision would not have had contingency built in).
The most immediate need is to ensure there is no way Brexit can be delivered. So, T+12 hours, Cameron scarpers. He does this quite deliberately without triggering A50 (which in hindsight we know would have been impossible. I suspect he knew already).
This leaves the country without a PM, and at least 3-4 weeks for the Tory party to put up a leader (if not a leaver 
).
BoJo and Gove are toxic (I have my doubts about how many Tory MPs would serve under either) so we end up with - as highlighted at the time - the least-worst choice: May.
Now the fun begins. The "silent" remain camp (i.e behind the scenes) have already done the work that Davies et al haven't, and they know that ultimately there are two options. Total Brexit (now called hard) or No Brexit.
IF THERE WAS A SOFT BREXIT OPTION IT WOULD HAVE BEEN OFFERED TO CAMERON, AND HE WOULD HAVE TAKEN IT
(I suggest we remember that suggestion as the months unwind)
OK, so we're set. Stopgap leader (because with hindsight - again - that's all May ever was going to be). Leavers thinking they are driving the agenda, let's "get to work" ( ©T. May 20917).
Cry havoc and let slip the dogs of war ?
I suspect the silence of the Remainers immediately post-referendum was not "shock", it was another strand of plan B. Let the opposition wear themselves out, false sense of security. Wait for the autumn TV schedules to liven up, and the UKIP contingent will return back to their homes, not to bother the electoral process too much again (seems that was right ?!).
Give 'em enough rope ?
Obviously Theresa May was buoyed up with inheriting Camerons majority. But as the sheer scale of the task started to dawn (because, as we know, Leave had no credible plan. Unlike Remain who I believe have done all the work Leave now find themselves doing) it became too tempting to pull the "Election" lever. Especially as some Leave/Tory MPs started to believe they could ram through the Tories-on-steroids manifesto they tried last month.
The collapse of UKIP (foretold here) pretty much meant the reduced Tory majority, and insult of a minority government.
Any remainer who has done their homework will know that it is impossible to achieve a soft Brexit. It has to be all or nothing.
I'd like to think we are now in the phase where the idiot hero has his face inches from a spinning blade and finally realises that they need to throw off their attacker (Leavers) and regain their balance (go back to where we started).
I also thing the wider implications are starting to dawn, and even committed Leavers don't like the future. Not the shrinking of the economy, lack of opportunities for the younger generations, loss of rights of UK citizens abroad, massive environmental disruption - that's chump change when your own interests are at stake.
I seriously believe that as the days and weeks are passing, Leavers are starting to see the world stage, where the UK foreign secretary - representing 60 million poor people is relegated to the third row, alongside Lichtenstein, while the US snuggles up to China, Russia, and the EU. Where news reports never find time for the "UK view" as it's of less interest (and importance) to a world that wants to know what 4 billion Chinese, 450 EU citizens, 300 million Americans, 144 million Russians, 127 million Japanese think.
We've shaken the snowglobe, but as the snow is settling ....
If I am right - or in the ballpark - I think there are some bear traps ahead. The remain hive mind will know what they are, and will exploit them, maybe at some cost to themselves. After all, you need to pull the thorn from the wound before it will heal. And it hurts.
Also, if I am right, this is a journey whose destination was planned before 23rd June 2016. It doesn't need anyone on the tracks now, the train is going to crash of it's own accord. It has to crash of it's own accord.
Final thought.
UK remainers can count on the "goodwill" of the EU27 for the UK to remain in the EU. What that means in real terms, no one can say. However, Leavers can count on very little from anyone. Money - yes. Press coverage (for what it's worth) yes. But generally they really are swimming against a tide. You will hear the "will of the people" argument trotted out endlessly. But if we stop, and give our heads a wobble, we need to ask: "When has UK politics ever delivered for a majority ????". And when you realise the answer is pretty much "never", you have to ask the supplementary question: "So why is Brexit so different ?".
