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Brexit

Westministenders: Boris and his friends hand in their homework to be marked.

990 replies

RedToothBrush · 03/02/2017 14:10

The last week has been depressing for a lot of people.

Even if you are happy about the vote in the Commons, there is a worrying lack of backbone in MPs of all shades.

Then there’s what is going on in the USA which I’m going to quietly ignore in this post except to say that cosying up to Trump still could backfire on all who do for numerous reasons.

It seems like its all over in someways, but there is still plenty going on.

The A50 Bill has only passed stage one. The Government’s deliberate publishing of the White Paper after the vote has left a lot of people with egg all over their face.

Plus its just crap. Actually its not crap. It’s a dog dinner of farcical proportions with no content, faulty data and incorrect details that an A-Level Student did the night before their assignment was due, masquerading as an official government document.

Now its amendment time, which is the serious bit. For an amendment to make it, it will need cross party support. After the government failed to produce a White Paper worth the paper it was written on, and insulted the intelligence of the House of Commons, that could get interesting.

For starters the White Paper says that EU citizens are one of our best bargaining chips. Trouble is a lot of Tory and Labour MPs don’t agree.

In short there is a fair old chance of a government defeat next week at some point. The government don’t want any. Especially not this early. I really think it will be very difficult for the government to provide the assurance MPs will want, even if they crack the whip. They have lost the trust of too many. In voting for the first vote, many MPs will feel they have shown their intent to support leaving and now will get busy on trying to hammer down the details.

Highlights include of the White Paper include the idea that we will still be subject to the ECJ except we won’t. This is ridiculous. We will be subject to ECJ rulings but not be subject to ECJ rulings directly. Eh? What? (Not that we didn’t see this coming). There’s Euroatom and the government doing an impression of Homer Simpson. With a by-election in Copeland on the cards. That story has some time to keep running. As Steve Peers points out, the Leprechauns are going to sort out Northern Ireland for us which is a great political strategy to employ.

Its full of lots of other utter bollocks but those particular points are the ones that are potentially the most problematic for the government. If you don’t think the White Paper screams we are going to get eaten alive by the EU and Trump, you need to get off the hallucinogenics pronto.

If that isn’t awe inspiring enough we also have:

The wonderful mental image of Paul Nuttall kipping on a mattress in a house in Stoke disparately pretending to be a Stokie, nervously hoping that letterbox rattling in the wind isn’t C4 letterbox again and that the coppers don’t pay him a visit in the near future. I confess that whilst my imagination has been kept busy with this, I am disappointed in the lack of video clips of him munching on an Oatcake in a Stoke City shirt, sitting on an Armitage Shanks throne, turning his plate over whilst listening to Robbie Williams and with a Titanic by his side. All at the same time. I think he’s missed a few tricks.

AND

Diane Abbott doing quite possibly even more damage to Labour than them merely rolling over and dying over a50 by pulling a sickie. Her ‘Brexit Flu’ damages the party’s image and Corbyn himself even more. If that’s even possible. Some Labour MPs have demanded an apology.

Labour is starting to look like it’s a ship with rats fleeing this week. MPs have defied a three line whip and quite the Shadow Cabinet (Again). Rumours are that over 7000 members have left. A councillor has defected to the Lib Dems. There was a council by election in Rotherham where Lab lost a seat to the LDs in an area where there has never been as many people vote LD. Nor were there as many remain voters as LD voters. The Parliamentary vote for Unite’s new leader has unsurprisingly selected the anti-Corbyn candidate Gerald Coyne over Len McCluskey. The bookies have dropped the odds on Corbyn leaving Labour before a GE from 6/1 to 2/1 overnight. Oh and Red Ed is being rumoured to be returning to the front bench…

OP posts:
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mathanxiety · 07/02/2017 04:44

www.democracynow.org/2016/5/16/chomsky_todays_gop_is_a_candidate

Wrt terrorism: Chomsky's thoughts on the real problem in the Middle East. Yes, Saudi Arabia and the fact that it is supported by the west.

'"...the basic story is that the United States, like Britain before it, has tended to support radical Islamism against secular nationalism. That’s been a consistent theme of imperial strategy for a long time. Saudi Arabia is the center of radical Islamic extremism. Patrick Cockburn, one of the best commentators and most knowledgeable commentators, has correctly pointed out that what he calls the Wahhibisation of Sunni Islam, the spread of Saudi extremist Wahhabi doctrine over Sunni Islam, the Sunni world, is one of the real disasters of modern—of the modern era. It’s a source of not only funding for extremist radical Islam and the jihadi outgrowths of it, but also, doctrinally, mosques, clerics and so on, schools, you know, madrassas, where you study just Qur’an, is spreading all over the huge Sunni areas from Saudi influence. And it continues.

Saudi Arabia itself has one of the most grotesque human rights records in the world. The ISIS beheadings, which shock everyone—I think Saudi Arabia is the only country where you have regular beheadings. That’s the least of it. Women have no—can’t drive, so on and so forth. And it is strongly backed by the United States and its allies, Britain and France. Reason? It’s got a lot of oil. It’s got a lot of money. You can sell them a lot of arms, I think tens of billions of dollars of arms. And the actions that it’s carrying out, for example, in Yemen, which you mentioned, are causing an immense humanitarian catastrophe in a pretty poor country, also stimulating jihadi terrorism, naturally, with U.S. and also British arms. French are trying to get into it, as well. This is a very ugly story." '
----> Anyone concerned about Syria can focus criticism where it belongs. ISIS springs from Wahhabism.

Wrt the definition of terrorist and terrorism - scroll down:
"...the parties have shifted to—but the parties have shifted so far to the right that the—today’s mainstream Democrats are pretty much what used to be called moderate Republicans.

Now, the Republicans are just off the spectrum.

They have been correctly described by leading conservative commentators, like Norman Ornstein and Thomas Mann, as just what they call a radical insurgency, which has abandoned parliamentary politics.

And they don’t even try to conceal it. Like as soon as Obama was elected, Mitch McConnell said, pretty much straight out, “We have only one policy: make the country ungovernable, and then maybe we can somehow get power again...”

...We should recognize—if we were honest, we would say something that sounds utterly shocking and no doubt will be taken out of context and lead to hysteria on the part of the usual suspects, but the fact of the matter is that today’s Republican Party qualify as candidates for the most dangerous organization in human history."'

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Mistigri · 07/02/2017 05:40

Good grief what's with all the concern trolling over MH and terrorism?

You don't define terrorism by the MH status or the religion or the political views of its perpetrator but by its effect.

It's well known that terrorist organisations prey on the vulnerable, because these people are the most receptive to extremist discourse, and the least capable of being critical of it. "Vulnerable people" includes those with MH issues, but also the very young, the very uneducated, the very stupid, and individuals alienated from their society due to poverty or discrimination (often these categories overlap).

Note that so-called "lone wolf" right wing terrorists are just as much recruited by extremist groups (eg on Facebook or Reddit) as is a teenager recruited online by ISIS.

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mathanxiety · 07/02/2017 06:02

Bored, a terrorist is a terrorist.
It is the use of violence to further a political objective.

I am the grandchild and grandniece of terrorists according to that definition. I am also the grandchild of an Indian Army officer, a member therefore of a body that used violence to further a political objective.

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HashiAsLarry · 07/02/2017 06:53

The difference caused by mental state is assessed through the legal system though. It has happened in recent times that they've accepted diminished responsibility, the Leytonstone tube station stabbing. However the perpetrator has still been convicted of attempted murder.

But yy, as mistri says. 'Lone Wolves' are just as likely to be recruited as teenagers/etc.

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CeciledeVolanges · 07/02/2017 07:07

Also, while "terrorist" is now an incredibly highly charged and stigmatic word, flat out murder for no reason whatsoever is just as destructive, and there are a number of other terrible crimes, and the people who commit all of these crimes still probably on balance do good things in their life too. In general we seem to have this perception that criminals - those who commit crimes and get caught - are subhuman, which isn't right.
And www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/feb/07/my-brexit-friends-gove-johnson-steve-hilton-party-modernisers-unleash-horrors

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woman12345 · 07/02/2017 07:08

^Brexit is an opportunity to reverse the tragic decline of marriage in Britain
Yay for trapping women and children in servitude to husbands. What an opportunity^
Anyone see a pattern with alt right here?
Watch out abortion rights under shiny new NHS.

Definition of state terrorism anyone?
And use of 'Perpetual War' to get what state wants?

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woman12345 · 07/02/2017 07:09

Cecile thanks on law stuff!
Bets on JRM to be new speaker by next week?

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SemiPermanent · 07/02/2017 07:29

I think the government might rue the day that they managed to vote down the amendment to give updates on negotiations: it will just cause a news vacuum waiting to be filled by rumours and leaks

Just because they're not mandated to give updates, doesn't mean they won't or can't.

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Motheroffourdragons · 07/02/2017 07:30

Great job by Bercow, very impressive.

Please lets have a huge NO to JRM!

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Motheroffourdragons · 07/02/2017 07:31

Semi, I don't think TM wants the rest of her party to know what she is up to never mind the whole of Westminster, or god forbid the rest of us!

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EmilyAlice · 07/02/2017 07:36

The Speakers have alternated between Labour and Conservative since 1959 apart from Betty Boothroyd / Michael Martin. Bercow pisses the Tories off because he is / was one.

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unicornsIlovethem · 07/02/2017 07:56

The article on marriage is embarrassingly terrible even for the telegraph.

It could equally be that there is a significant decline in jobs, particularly skilled manual jobs which has similar demographic effects to the US - a group of substantially unemployable youths who have no prospects of work and no woman in her right mind would ever marry.

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TheElementsSong · 07/02/2017 08:35

Radio news this morning that Bercow is being criticised by senior Tories for not being neutral. Yes, because that's worse than being a racist sex attacker Hmm.

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HashiAsLarry · 07/02/2017 08:36

I'm sure we can all agree the jrm would remain totally neutral of course Hmm

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CeciledeVolanges · 07/02/2017 08:37

If JRM becomes speaker...
I'm just glad I'm already at work, because I would have gone back to bed in despair were that the case

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woman12345 · 07/02/2017 08:57

Bercow: initially a Labour vote to get him elected speaker, to wind up tories. Previous history, with May, Gove, et al and these 'traditional values'
www.newstatesman.com/politics/politics/2012/09/john-bercow-jemima-khan-interview:
Bercow recounts a shocking story of snobbery and anti-Semitism –which he insists is no more rampant in parliament than elsewhere – when he first entered the House of Commons. “When I first came into the House there was somebody who said to me, who shall remain nameless because it was a private conversation, ‘If I had my way people like you wouldn’t be in parliament.’ He was an aristocratic sort of character, and I said to him, ‘When you say people like me do you mean people like me because I’m lower-class or because I’m Jewish?’, to which he replied, ‘Both
Sweep stake for guessing who?

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Kaija · 07/02/2017 09:01
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woman12345 · 07/02/2017 09:27

they should hang their heads in shame for stunning naivety agree Kaija.

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Headfullofdreams · 07/02/2017 09:32

Woman it's got to be JRM. He was on HIGNFY last night. Had a sense of humour bypass.

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InformalRoman · 07/02/2017 09:50

To backtrack to the "Lady Nugee" comment:

Nugee's father-in-law, Edward "Ted" Nugee QC (now deceased) was a well-known supporter of Russia and latterly of Putin.

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PattyPenguin · 07/02/2017 09:52

JRM belongs in a historical re-enactment group, not the Speaker's chair.

Actually, scratch that. Most of the re-enactors I know wouldn't let him join.

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Peregrina · 07/02/2017 10:03

Just because they're not mandated to give updates, doesn't mean they won't or can't.

Do you think that Theresa May will say anything voluntarily on present form?
She had to have a comment about Trumps travel ban dragged out of her. Even then that was half hearted and straight out of an appeaser' text book.

Why on earth should she bother to inform her own Parliament about issues vital to the country? So far, IMO, she has shown complete contempt for 16 million Remain voters, which includes the Scots and Northern Irish devolved Goverments, the 96% of Gibraltarians who voted to stay in the EU, 50,000 students who she has had booted out illegally, EU citizens who have been kept dangling on a string, anyone who voted Leave believing that more money would go to the NHS. Why on earth should I believe that she will do anything which doesn't have two major objectives 1) What's good for her, 2) what appeases the extreme right wing of the Tory party.

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HashiAsLarry · 07/02/2017 10:09

Edward "Ted" Nugee QC (now deceased) was a well-known supporter of Russia and latterly of Putin.
I'd really hate to be held to account for the views of my FIL, nor for DH to be held accountable for the views of my DF.

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Peregrina · 07/02/2017 10:22

"Brexit is an opportunity to reverse the tragic decline of marriage in Britain"

Let's hope we don't look to adulterers like Farage and Johnson to set an example.

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howabout · 07/02/2017 10:43

Ian Birrell accuses liberal leavers of stunning naivety. In response I would refer him to Nero and Marie Antoinette. There is only so long the ruling classes can carry on regardless with their fingers in their ears - better to embrace change yourself than have it forced upon you by those you most oppose.

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