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Whitehall “braced for private schools collapse”

1000 replies

ICouldBeVioletSky · 25/12/2024 22:04

Whitehall ‘braced for private schools collapse’ due to fee rises

Worth reading the whole article, it’s not quite as alarmist as the headline suggests. But as you’d expect, gov sources are talking it all down while the ISC is ringing the alarm bell.

https://www.thetimes.com/article/e6465c9e-d462-48cb-a73e-74480059a1f3?shareToken=05bf599cd4a2376fe3ce83cdce607100

I’d be quite surprised if some of the schools near us don't fold tbh. There will definitely be a contraction in the sector, I just hope those that hold on can remain a viable concern.

Whitehall ‘braced for private schools collapse’ due to fee rises

The Independent Schools Council says the threat of closures after the imposition of VAT on fees is ‘very real’

https://www.thetimes.com/article/e6465c9e-d462-48cb-a73e-74480059a1f3?shareToken=05bf599cd4a2376fe3ce83cdce607100

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16
Barbadossunset · 27/12/2024 18:44

It’s utter stupidity to be enacting any policy that would need to be reversed instantly if we were to rejoin the EU and then lie to the public that it’s about taking away “tax breaks.

This is interesting. Would Starmer be allowed the VAT on education as an opt-out were UK to rejoin?

MerryMaker · 27/12/2024 18:45

We are not going to rejoin the EU in the medium term

Heathbear · 27/12/2024 18:46

OhCrumbsWhereNow · 27/12/2024 18:14

But thousands apply for a back up state place for Y7, and even more for Y12.

You'd be a fool not to.

It's not a case of "the wealthy will do all they can to avoid helping the least well off". It's a case of parents doing their best to find the right school for their child.

I know loads of children at DD's school who had private school places as back up just in case they didn't get her comp, and quite a few who had both offers on the table and ultimately went for private schools.

I don't know anyone applying for state now 'for the fun of it' but quite a few who have applied as they didn't know what the new fees were going to look like, or because they are concerned about the viability of their child's school. Better to get in early rather than be last and find nothing available.

That argument only works for year 7, 11 and reception (and maybe year 3 where there are infants/juniors).

Applying outside of normal entry points creates effort and there was a half baked ‘protest’ by some private school parents to encourage people to apply for state school places they had no need for (they weren’t planning to move their children) just to disrupt admissions teams. It was an obnoxious piece of attention seeking.

CautiousLurker01 · 27/12/2024 18:46

Ubertomusic · 27/12/2024 18:40

Lots of Ukrainian children are in private schools actually, if you didn't know that.

Yes, my kid’s school took 8, two left for uni this summer. Funded by bursaries that will now have to be used to prioritise children who might need to leave if parents cannot find the funds.

Another76543 · 27/12/2024 18:47

Alexandra2001 · 27/12/2024 17:22

They shouldn't be applying for a school that they have zero intention of taking up, thats just going to wreck the planning for those that do need these places... or don't you care about them?

1.5m children use school building that are deemed dangerous and or unfit for children to use.

The 1.1 to 1.3billion the ONS and IFS think this policy will raise, net, annually, will help.

But as usual the wealthy will do all they can to avoid helping the least well off, just as they always have.

I don’t know of any parent who applied for a place without needing it. I’m sure there might have been a few, but it wasn’t as widespread as people are suggesting. Some applied genuinely thinking they might need a place. In the meantime, their school might have offered bursary support or family members might have stepped in to help.

The director of the IFS stated that the amount predicted to be raised (which isn’t realistic anyway because of ridiculous assumptions) won’t make a difference to public services. It’s a relatively tiny amount. Not a penny has been allocated to school buildings anyway.

Juliagreeneyes · 27/12/2024 18:47

MerryMaker · 27/12/2024 18:42

If you think you will not be able to afford the fees, then start looking now for a state place rather than leaving it till the last minute. And consider cheaper private schools or taking out a loan against any equity in your house.

This is also economically idiotic as a take - the entire point of it is meant to be raising additional money - yet posters like this seem not to have understood that it only works if private school parents don’t move their kids!

It won’t raise any money at all if all the private school parents do what’s suggested here, it will only squeeze state education spending further while collapsing an entire business sector. Congratulations on obviating the entire point of it 👌👏 🤣

Juliagreeneyes · 27/12/2024 18:48

Barbadossunset · 27/12/2024 18:44

It’s utter stupidity to be enacting any policy that would need to be reversed instantly if we were to rejoin the EU and then lie to the public that it’s about taking away “tax breaks.

This is interesting. Would Starmer be allowed the VAT on education as an opt-out were UK to rejoin?

Probably not - we won’t be getting many, if any, of the “opt-outs” we used to have if we were to rejoin. What would be to the EU’s benefit in that? Brexit threw them all away!

CautiousLurker01 · 27/12/2024 18:52

MerryMaker · 27/12/2024 17:51

Schools really should not be closing weeks before exams. Incredibly irresponsible. Parents also should not be withdrawing children weeks before exams, and I do not understand how they would given fees are paid in advance.

You say that like it’s a choice - but if they have no money in their bank account o pay staff or the electric bill, how can they stay open?!! It’s a bit like saying mortgage companies should not evict families before Christmas or if the children have exams. Commercial decisions by utilities companies, catering companies, food suppliers will not care about kids doing exams.

Another76543 · 27/12/2024 18:53

MerryMaker · 27/12/2024 18:42

If you think you will not be able to afford the fees, then start looking now for a state place rather than leaving it till the last minute. And consider cheaper private schools or taking out a loan against any equity in your house.

That’s exactly what people have been doing; looking at what state places are available. However, they are being accused of wasting local authorities’ time.

Juliagreeneyes · 27/12/2024 18:55

MerryMaker · 27/12/2024 18:45

We are not going to rejoin the EU in the medium term

One of the reasons we need so much additional tax take in the first place is to help pay for the disastrous economic effects of Brexit. But yeah, let’s punish a lot of children because idiots (not them) voted for it!

Araminta1003 · 27/12/2024 18:55

https://www.cityam.com/private-clubs-and-boarding-schools-abu-dhabis-plan-to-attract-ultra-wealthy/

Here we go. I am not exactly a hot shot anymore but even I have had multiple calls from headhunters for very lucrative opportunities to work in Abu Dhabi. And I am definitely not ultra wealthy. I am actually considering a stint in the future once all my DCs are at uni. In the mean tIme, I am not working more hours because I refuse to go over the 100k bracket and be taxed through the roof for nothing in return. I refuse to do it and many other people are too across society in all sorts of income brackets. All these terrible disincentives to reach your maximum output or give your DC the best education don’t work in the long run. I am strongly encouraging my DC to leave once they have finished their state of education. I am fed up with the way this country is run, full stop. And all the pretend goodie goodie two shoes in charge who did full on sleaze this summer cannot preach to the rest of us. I don’t want to live in a country that chooses Brexit and to tax disabled kids and education and let pensioners freeze and little farms go bust all whilst lining their own pockets. No thanks!

Private clubs and boarding schools: Abu Dhabi’s plan to attract ultra-wealthy

Abu Dhabi is targeting the ultra-wealthy with private clubs, elite schools, and revamped banking, aiming at those considering leaving the UK

https://www.cityam.com/private-clubs-and-boarding-schools-abu-dhabis-plan-to-attract-ultra-wealthy

Another76543 · 27/12/2024 18:56

fanaticalfairy · 27/12/2024 18:12

Our school is lowering fees, and the adding VAT, the net increase in fees is 0% for families.

They have had a massive hike in employment costs too (like everyone with NMW and NI contribution increases) on top of losing charitable status and having to VAT administer everything.

The cost and impact of all the changes not just VAT in such a short period of time will bankrupt some schools - which will lead to job losses, where some may lose their only accomodation too. Some will be jobless and homeless in the same month because of this shambles.

A d it won't even affect the uber wealthy anyway, they'll just pay the £65k to send their buy to Eton

A d it won't even affect the uber wealthy anyway, they'll just pay the £65k to send their buy to Eton

The wealthiest families with children at schools like that won’t be paying the VAT. Lots have prepaid for several years. Some of the more expensive schools had to temporarily close their schemes several months ago as they were inundated with requests to pre-pay. Some of those schemes may get challenged, but many will succeed in avoiding the VAT. Those who will be hit hardest are parents who couldn’t afford to pay fees, even a term or so, in advance.

Another76543 · 27/12/2024 18:58

Araminta1003 · 27/12/2024 18:55

https://www.cityam.com/private-clubs-and-boarding-schools-abu-dhabis-plan-to-attract-ultra-wealthy/

Here we go. I am not exactly a hot shot anymore but even I have had multiple calls from headhunters for very lucrative opportunities to work in Abu Dhabi. And I am definitely not ultra wealthy. I am actually considering a stint in the future once all my DCs are at uni. In the mean tIme, I am not working more hours because I refuse to go over the 100k bracket and be taxed through the roof for nothing in return. I refuse to do it and many other people are too across society in all sorts of income brackets. All these terrible disincentives to reach your maximum output or give your DC the best education don’t work in the long run. I am strongly encouraging my DC to leave once they have finished their state of education. I am fed up with the way this country is run, full stop. And all the pretend goodie goodie two shoes in charge who did full on sleaze this summer cannot preach to the rest of us. I don’t want to live in a country that chooses Brexit and to tax disabled kids and education and let pensioners freeze and little farms go bust all whilst lining their own pockets. No thanks!

Funnily enough, a friend is moving there. They have had enough of the ridiculous tax burden, and VAT on school fees is the final straw.

irishmurdoch · 27/12/2024 18:59

wiffin · 26/12/2024 15:50

My heart bleeds.

Will be hard on kids. Its their school. Their stability. Their friends.

Will be hard on staff. Its their job. Will be awful.

For society? Will be a good thing. Over time and if it happens. For the mega £££ schools, parents won't even blink at the rise. At the marginal schools, yep I except some will close.

And there is no such thing as a hard up family with kids at private school. To send a child, there needs to be a substantial income. Yes, it might mean you drive an old car and holiday in a tent in Norfolk. You can afford private school fees. You are not hard up.

To call a private school a charity fails to understand what charity actually is.

Why will it be good for society if the megabucks public schools stay open, and the small independent single-sex day schools have to close?

Heathbear · 27/12/2024 19:02

CautiousLurker01 · 27/12/2024 18:52

You say that like it’s a choice - but if they have no money in their bank account o pay staff or the electric bill, how can they stay open?!! It’s a bit like saying mortgage companies should not evict families before Christmas or if the children have exams. Commercial decisions by utilities companies, catering companies, food suppliers will not care about kids doing exams.

It’s not a surprise when schools fail. Parents notice when their child’s previously 22 strong class drops to 16 and they act to protect their children. Often school that do close are massively below their capacity.

CautiousLurker01 · 27/12/2024 19:07

Araminta1003 · 27/12/2024 18:55

https://www.cityam.com/private-clubs-and-boarding-schools-abu-dhabis-plan-to-attract-ultra-wealthy/

Here we go. I am not exactly a hot shot anymore but even I have had multiple calls from headhunters for very lucrative opportunities to work in Abu Dhabi. And I am definitely not ultra wealthy. I am actually considering a stint in the future once all my DCs are at uni. In the mean tIme, I am not working more hours because I refuse to go over the 100k bracket and be taxed through the roof for nothing in return. I refuse to do it and many other people are too across society in all sorts of income brackets. All these terrible disincentives to reach your maximum output or give your DC the best education don’t work in the long run. I am strongly encouraging my DC to leave once they have finished their state of education. I am fed up with the way this country is run, full stop. And all the pretend goodie goodie two shoes in charge who did full on sleaze this summer cannot preach to the rest of us. I don’t want to live in a country that chooses Brexit and to tax disabled kids and education and let pensioners freeze and little farms go bust all whilst lining their own pockets. No thanks!

Funnily enough DH has also been approached about a job there and he’s considering for the reason he already pays £150k in tax for which we get eff all back directly (other than the hate on sites like this). Our kids go to uni next year, I finish my PhD and they’ve talked of teaching jobs for me in one of the many great private schools there (paying a shit tonne more than I’d get here).

Quite fancy 5 years there and saving enough tax free earnings to retire early.

Juliagreeneyes · 27/12/2024 19:07

To call a private school a charity fails to understand what charity actually is.

To say this is to reveal that you have drastically misunderstood what a charity is. Lots of institutions are charities - universities, third sector organisations, Oxbridge colleges, further education colleges, even churches - and state schools are also exempt charities under the administration of the DfE rather than the Charity Commission. Their budgets effectively work in exactly the same way as private schools, which are charities in the same way but under the aegis of the CC.

A charity does not make a profit, and any surplus is reinvested in the core business. Charitable foundations in education have existed for centuries and centuries before the idea of the modern Oxfam-style charity. In fact the paying schools were really the original charities, ever since the early modern period! Some private schools and colleges were founded in the sixteenth or seventeenth centuries and still retain their original charitable statutes today.

peaceainteasy · 27/12/2024 19:10

I think it is a bit alarmist. It's not simply to do with VAT, quite a few state primary schools face closure due to falling national birthrates. This will have a similar impact on private prep schools.

I'm amazed despite appalling human rights, people are happy to turn a blind eye and move to Abu Dhabi. I guess it's fine if certain people suffer horribly.....but god forbid well off people are asked to pay taxes

CautiousLurker01 · 27/12/2024 19:14

@wiffin yes, families with kids at private school have - comparatively - substantial incomes… on which they pay a substantial amount of tax already, whilst saving the LEA £7k+ per annum by not taking up a state school place.

And, btw, private schools are not ‘charities’. They are businesses that have applied for and been granted ‘charitable status’ in exchange for meeting very specific criteria (ie giving free places to children on low incomes, those with special needs, Ukrainian refugees; or allowing local state schools and CICc, such as the local footie club or Scouts, to use their facilities free of charge).

MerryMaker · 27/12/2024 19:17

CautiousLurker01 · 27/12/2024 18:52

You say that like it’s a choice - but if they have no money in their bank account o pay staff or the electric bill, how can they stay open?!! It’s a bit like saying mortgage companies should not evict families before Christmas or if the children have exams. Commercial decisions by utilities companies, catering companies, food suppliers will not care about kids doing exams.

You do not suddenly run out of money one month. You know that the end is coming financially and do it responsibly over a number of months. Unless you do not care about the pupils attending your school.

Blankscreen · 27/12/2024 19:21

The most well off parents at my ds' school have all paid the fees upfront to avoid the VAT.

Assuming they have paid 5 years that is 5 years of no VAT revenue from a faulty large cohort but 5 years of pupils potentially leaving the private system or not joining in the first place and need a state school place at the tax payers' expense.

What a great policy

Juliagreeneyes · 27/12/2024 19:22

MerryMaker · 27/12/2024 19:17

You do not suddenly run out of money one month. You know that the end is coming financially and do it responsibly over a number of months. Unless you do not care about the pupils attending your school.

Why are the schools supposed to care, if the government and voters like you don’t? You seem to think imposing a huge tax change mid-year with only three months’ notice is fine: why are you expecting the schools to have had loads of time to prepare and look after the children? They only received the actual proposals in October, three months before the start date; and such a massive tax change would normally be phased in over several years — which it hasn’t been, purely because it’s a voters’ bauble, not a fully costed, proper piece of policy. So why are you saying the schools should have costed this when the government still properly hasn’t?

MerryMaker · 27/12/2024 19:28

@Juliagreeneyes the policy has been known about for ages. It has been talked about on here earlier than 3 months ago.
Some private schools will be badly run and will not risk assess and plan for the future. But hopefully most will.

Saveusernsme · 27/12/2024 19:30

Blankscreen · 27/12/2024 19:21

The most well off parents at my ds' school have all paid the fees upfront to avoid the VAT.

Assuming they have paid 5 years that is 5 years of no VAT revenue from a faulty large cohort but 5 years of pupils potentially leaving the private system or not joining in the first place and need a state school place at the tax payers' expense.

What a great policy

I’m pretty sure that those who had hoped to avoid paying VAT by paying fees up front will still have to pay. VAT is paid at the point of service/purchase. There is no getting away from paying.

BugsyMaroon · 27/12/2024 19:32

OhCrumbsWhereNow · 27/12/2024 17:50

DD's comprehensive use the local private school's facilities extensively.

Our school has all the local schools using the pitches and the very new theatre. The school also sends music staff (mostly) into the local schools because they do not have the required expertise in many cases- primarily our drums and piano teachers and our choir master. The school sports hall is used for exams not just for our students but others. Several students come into the school to take GCSE Latin and other languages as their school do not offer these subjects. Our very small boarding school section has 8 students from Ukraine - since the war- and all paid for out of bursaries.

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