This is a really interesting discussion
If the proportion of private school children continues to decline at oxbridge (which seems to be the aim) what will be the consequent effects on the higher education system as a whole?
I personally feel (though I am sure some may have other views) that we arent necessarily going to remove a class based society and introduce pure meritocracy overnight by having the large majority of oxbridge students from state schools
Private school children who would otherwise gone to oxbridge in yesteryear will go to other strong institutions and looking at leavers destinations for elite private schools the range is a particular subset of the Russell group with Durham and Bristol of particular mention.
This will lead to these institutions raising A level tariffs with increased demand and a general increase in average family wealth at these places.
Employers will start to cast their eye on these other universties where previously they would have been wedded to Oxbridge and you will see reputational gain of places like Durham and Bristol.
We could have a system in 5 years time where oxbridge is seen by some as 'academically elite' but Durham would be regarded as 'socially elite' with upwards of 40% private school intake and its reputation would reflect this
Would we be looking at paths of (insert elite school here) Bristol/Durham etc. for high status jobs e.g. in government, civil service, BBC, law and finance? In other words will elitism be displaced from oxbridge to elsewhere?
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I think we will have to look at the make up of elite job roles in future and see if oxbridge is a common factor in backgrounds or public schooling. . . will be interesting
I notice that a few of the presenters of heavyweight BBC news programs are now from universties other than oxbridge however a significant number are still from private schools (Sophie Raworth, Emma Barnett and Susanna Reid spring to mind (Sophie Raworth and Reid both from SPGS in London though non oxbridge).
Will there be pressure on public sector employers to reduce their oxbridge intake in the intetests of diversity yet inadvertantly continue the status quo by selecting Durham graduates from Winchester and Harrow?
I noted the guardian article above mentioned Bristol so may be that particular paper is now focussing the spotlight on other places for social inclusivity given it may be 'job done' at oxbridge. Certainly on the HE thread here a Durham offer seems to be particularly sought after currently.