It will be ‘the vaccine success takes us a step closer to easing the restrictions and normal life, but deaths and cases are still extremely high and above the first peak. We will be. Closely analysing the data this week’
And it will be pointing out that 8 March for schools, was the very first possible date and there has been no decision yet if that date can be met or for all students in all years.
It is about them trying to give us a sense of optimism and realism so people aren’t too disappointed when on 22 Feb the roadmap shows slower lifting if restrictions than many hope for.
Clearly the details won’t be there tonight, but the message of cautious optimism and that they want the changes they introduce to be ‘irreversible’ - ie it is definitely safe for them.
I think this is gearing towards phased return for schools along with cautious roadmap of dates.
People will be disappointed on 22 March that little happens immediately if anything (8 March likely to be first date of change with infant schools back...perhaps a bit more than this) and then some pretty limited lifting. But people will have some dates set out as ‘earliest’ points and that gives something g to look forward to and a specific date to look to for change, much as 22 Feb is a date we all wait for as it will bring info, and 8 March is a date we have had in mind, so the school closure isn’t entirely indefinite. People need some kind of dates rather than just the idea of change ‘in the future’ which is too much for many people to cope with. With more info promised in 2/3 weeks and more change every 3/4 weeks, people find it easier to cope.
But more cautious approach than last time coming out of lockdown. Boris really doesn’t want to get it wrong and have to go back in, however much pressure he’s under.