Why vaccinations will eliminate deaths quite quickly

[starfro]

You only need to vaccinate 0.5million to eliminate 36% of deaths (carehome)

Vaccinating the 3million in the next group (over 80s) eliminates 66% of deaths.

Vaccinating these groups should be possible within weeks.

@donquixotedelamancha

Yes, there are questions about the rate of delivery of vaccines from manufacturers, and so it cannot be guaranteed and that's because of factors beyond government control.

I'm not sure that's true for the AZ/Oxford vaccine. There are very large amounts produced already. (Frankly, if it was, it's easy enough to make that the government could lean on AZ to get it produced under licence). I think the limiting factor is logistics.

There isn't a huge amount sitting in refrigerated warehouses ready to go. It needs to be batch checked, and it needs to be put in little bottles, 1 per dose.

There is already a global shortage of little bottles.

So yes, I suppose that could count as logistics, but it's in a way that's not under government control. As facilitating the expansion in production is already underway.