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New strain stuff.....

734 replies

MistressoftheDarkSide · 18/12/2020 23:43

www.theguardian.com/world/2020/dec/18/boris-johnson-calls-crisis-meeting-to-discuss-response-to-new-covid-strain

So,it's just a variant, nothing to see here, blah blah blah..... I'm pretty sanguine about this stuff but dropping this late at night as a headline right now..... I'm getting mightily pissed off with the uncertainty and the subtle fear mongering......

Any thoughts?

OP posts:
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IAmAMalenkyBitPoogly · 24/12/2020 19:49

"Sheeple" ✔️

IAmAMalenkyBitPoogly · 24/12/2020 19:50

That's a tick as in a bingo box ticking tick, btw, not a fucking endorsement of those views!

Full fucking house!

IAmAMalenkyBitPoogly · 24/12/2020 19:52

Apologies I'm bringing the level of discourse on this thread down by responding to that, aren't I? I'm finding the thread very useful, the science bits I mean not sheeple comments.

The figures are alarming today. I just saw the case rates for Thurrock on the BBC "CV rates in your area" page.

1,292 cases per 100,000 people in the latest week 13 Dec-19 Dec. The average area in England had 226.

2,253
cases in the latest week 13 Dec-19 Dec

+1,193
compared with the previous week

7,262
total cases to 23 Dec

CherryRoulade · 24/12/2020 19:53

YuleAreBeingUnREASTIEable Me too, Yule, me too.

BlueBlancmange · 24/12/2020 20:10

@IAmAMalenkyBitPoogly

That's a tick as in a bingo box ticking tick, btw, not a fucking endorsement of those views!

Full fucking house!

I'm surprised there was no demand to 'WAKE UP'.
SRYnegative · 24/12/2020 22:17

[quote Firefliess]@SRY A very big number can still be half of another very big number. If vaccination /distancing managed to halve the rate of infections, then that would halve the opportunities for mutations surely? [/quote]
The mutation rate in this case follows a Poisson distribution, so the mean number of mutations is typically directly proportional to the number of viral genomes produced by all cells in all organisms. In other words, a set proportion of genomes will have mutations, with equal probability of being deleterious. selection acts on this, but so do random events, founder effects, long-lasting illness and super spreader events. So maybe 15 in a billion people affected produce this variant or 75 in 5 billion people produce it, it makes no difference the proportion remains the same.

chaosrabbitland · 25/12/2020 07:57

Its pointless to tell people that are in a coma to wake up .

SRYnegative · 27/12/2020 02:20

Que?

Namechangeski · 28/12/2020 23:00

Sorry if this has already been posted but some interesting data about the prevalence of the new strain by region
twitter.com/chrischirp/status/1343525128819404802?s=21

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