4 weeks won’t make one jot of difference.

[Dustballs]

Will it?

Nope, would have to be a minimum of 6 weeks to break transmissions chains

Might.

Well, it will delay the NHS collapsing by 4 weeks. But I can't see it being much more than a pause button in its current state.

It won't be over in 4 weeks, they will just drop some areas down to tier 3 or 2. They will tell us max of three households, no more than 10 people can mix on Christmas and boxing day then back to tier 3 for a couple of weeks

I guess it gives non essential retailers (especially the smaller ones) a chance to get our business pre Christmas?

I think schools will shut in 4 weeks time when they realise that this is having little impact.

Well it’s only been three weeks that the central belt of Scotland have been in our tier 3 which meant all pubs and restaurants closed and cases here are really levelling off. Not dropping but no longer increasing.
Obviously things don’t go back to “normal” after for weeks but if restrictions ease slowly and carefully then 4 weeks lockdown can be enough.

Here’s an idea - leave it to experts

(I’m not talking about Boris or Ferguson.... the other ones)

Nope but it will be longer than that...remember the three weeks in April that lasted until July?!!

Do what you need to do before about March by Thursday I would say!

It will make a difference if people stick to it. In particular with no house visits. In week 2 of lockdown in Ireland and seeing close contacts of cases dropping right down to just other household members. Cases also going lower likely due to most places being in quite a high level of restrictions before lockdown.

Very little without the closure of educational establishments.

The areas that have been in tier 3 have shown signed of levelling off and it might get numbers down in the current low level areas. They won't get back down to where they were in the Summer but perhaps enough to limp through another few months.

Do u think Bojo will push us all into tier 3 after the 4 weeks if the numbers haven't reduced enough?

Nope, because everyone is going to have their usual Christmas and it will all start over again.

It will be extended. People are more likely to comply if it's an extension rather than saying at the beginning it will be months

I'm sure it won't be four weeks, it will be extended into new year
Possibly with relaxation for xmas

I honestly think that the hope is that the vaccine starts to come online early in December and that (combined with mass testing) will allow for some limited relaxation of the restrictions.

Eight million school kids mixing every day, with no PPE and no proper ventilation. Mix them in with the one and a half million adults who work at schools and you have almost ten million still mixing in the close confines of crowded schools. At the end of the day they'll bring these contacts home to their lockdown families and the virus will continue unabated. Who devised this plan? Forest Gump?

I think the 4 weeks is just to buy some breathing space for the NHS & to allow for Christmas shopping (brief boost to the economy) and Christmas itself then fully expect to be back on lockdown in Jan & Feb - or something very near to lockdown.

That’s an expensive 4 weeks just for that.

Its all about slowing and protecting nhs i don't think other european countries are closing schools either and you don't here there people all moaning , yes they may have mask wearing but schools can choose to do that

@jomartin281271

Eight million school kids mixing every day, with no PPE and no proper ventilation. Mix them in with the one and a half million adults who work at schools and you have almost ten million still mixing in the close confines of crowded schools. At the end of the day they'll bring these contacts home to their lockdown families and the virus will continue unabated. Who devised this plan? Forest Gump?

Unions are calling for schools to close. I think there will be fall out from today and things or rather the outlined plan may change

It would be wholly unfair to years 11 and 13 if they get home schooled between now and early next year. They have been so badly affected, please leave them in 🙏🏻

No. It’s too short and too late.

I’m in Melbourne we went I to a much tougher lockdown (that got even more restricted at the stat of July when we had about 200 cases. About a month into lockdown we hit 700 cases because the the infection was still spreading due to the high numbers.

Schools were closed, we weren’t allowed to go more than 5km from our house unless we had a permit and there was a curfew so no travel between 8pm and 5am unless permitted. Mask wearing outside your house was compulsory.

Restrictions started to ease about a month ago, in stages... right now shops and cafes are open (with capacity restrictions) schools are open and curfew has been lifted and you can now travel 25km from your house.
Still limits of gathering size, you can only have visitors from one household a day, etc.

Huge effort on testing and most people got results in under 24 hours.

We now have one or two cases a day. So it took us four months with a much lower base, less concentrated population and much stricter rules.

Nobody liked it, but it was largely accepted and complied with.

I don’t think a month will do anything at all... in fact the infection rates will likely be higher (due to transmission etc) and that will just further upset people.

Short, sharp lockdowns aren’t effective when the case load is so high. I’m sorry, I wish it were better

It will make a difference if people stick to it. In particular with no house visits. In week 2 of lockdown in Ireland and seeing close contacts of cases dropping right down to just other household members.

Yes, I think it will reduce numbers if people stick to it.

It's worth making sacrifices so that hospitals and schools can stay open.