www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-54718318
Coronavirus doctor's diary: 'Our hospital could soon be overwhelmed'
Doctor has been doing diary for bbc since March plus two other doctors:
We have 130 in-patients acutely ill with Covid-19, overtaking our peak at Easter. Fifty patients were admitted in the space of 48 hours. The pressures of finding beds and staff are huge. Over 200 staff are off sick and the school half term has compounded the situation as our clinicians take much-needed breaks or just child-mind at home.
And
This means the pressures on the hospital are different but as big and as worrying as they were in the first wave. Modelling shows if we continue on present trends, in three to four weeks we will have filled every bed in the hospital. What do we do after that?
Heat map of % covid patients in Bradford (where doctors in the article are from) seem to show Bradford is probably a week to ten days behind the worst hospitals atm - though numbers of cases in Liverpool seem to be dropping slightly.
But anywhere above Bradford on that list i'd be particularly worried about having an issue and soon.
Ive been keeping an eye on the numbers in the northwest and how much bullshit / politics theres been about capacity. It still seems under the radar in the worst places because the row about Greater Manchester got in the way.
My concern has been about running out of beds full stop and one of the consultants in the article above is genuinely concerned about this.
Everyone keeps talking about the wrong things - the bed shortage is the only relevant story at this point. This is the pinch point issue.