A PP said Spain has a higher infection rate now than before their lockdown
That is rubbish
Their detected infection rate may be higher, but the earlier rate was based on very ill, mainly hospitalised people. Now 2/3 of them have no or very mild symptoms and of the rest most wouldn't have been detected in Mar. Death rate may be up slightly but is nothing like it was.
Erm, Spain?? Their infection rate is now higher than it was prior to the original lockdown. I'd call that a second wave, dunno about you.
Someone else said there is no immunity to this disease that is patently not true and if it was there would have been many more infections and more of them would have been serious.
The American doctor is speculating for a start but also it is irrational to say they would have to be ill enough to need hospital to achieve herd immunity. Getting it mildly is just as likely to give immunity as getting it badly
Following or not following the rules won't make the difference. Exposure to someone who is infected (directly or indirectly) is the only way of contracting it.
One person could break every rule going and escape it, others could be more or less fully locked down and pick it up from a carer or relative they live with.
Someone who follows the spirit of the law by avoiding places where they come into contact with large numbers of people, avoid close contact with any but their immediate circle and wash their hands regularly are much less likely to become infected than someone who follows the letter of the law but doesn't actually think about reducing risk of transmission.
Case rate (in medical terms a case is someone who is actually ill rather than one who has 'tested positive') in nearly every country has followed what is known as the Gompartz curve - and this has happened regardless of strict, light or no lockdown. Same as every new infection ever in the Northern Hemisphere temperate zone. The curve has followed exactly as would have been expected, with or without mask, distancing etc.
AND flu deaths over the summer have also followed their normal numbers - low in summer but this year consistent with other years - which basically means the actions we've taken have done nothing to reduce the spread of the flu virus. If it hasn't affected the normal spread of the flu virus, we can be pretty sure it is nothing we have done that has reduced the spread of CV19.
Infections going up - err yes because we are testing more and more. And if you take more tests into areas that are having a bit of a variation you are going to find more mild and asymptomatic infections. These are not 'cases' they are well people. They may have a mild case, they may be carry old virus particles, BUT if they are not ill they are not cases.
Yes - we will get more as we go into colder weather but in the main it is only those who are as vulnerable to flu as they are to Covid that are really at risk (and have as much chance of dying of flu as covid, (maybe more if this summer is anything to go by) and they need to do exactly what they have done to mitigate their risks in previous years.