I'm kind of in the middle.
At the start of this, as far back as mid-February, when a good pal in Italy told me to get ready for it, everyone I knew, even DH, told me I was ridiculous, I was being totally over the top and catastrophising.
Then it hit.
I don't believe our PM ever took it seriously at the point he should, so February. He pissed off on his holiday instead.
I think the reason he and his government are now being quite over zealous is to try and cancel out the shit show they caused through ignorance previously, and to try and dispel the rumour that suggests they really couldn't care less who catches it now as they've always wanted herd immunity to be an option.
By letting really badly hit towns go into local lockdown now, and the odd thing they know many will willfully ignore such as the 30 people to 6 rule, they can continue to go in half arsed whilst allowing a trickle of cases in "areas of concern" that should really benefit from immediate Lockdown, so they achieve the immunity.
I don't believe they really think a vaccine will happen. I don't personally believe it will either.
The virus has mutated a number of times since at least March, so to try and have a credible vaccine would mean constantly having to find a new one and re-vaccinate every year as with flu jabs. And even flu jabs aren't foolproof and don't stop all forms of flu.
Yes I do think now we should be given the choice as a country to either have these restrictions, whilst told that this option has no end date to go by, we cannot get a projection but it could take until 2023, (as with WHOs advice), or we shield those who need shielding, and the rest of us who want to can go back to how we were, using the Sweden method.
We are only as strong as our weakest link, and despite guidance, and threats of fines, many of us probably are aware of households not taking any notice, who have never felt the rules apply. The Police have said they are powerless to intervene, they don't have the numbers to attend every report.
So I'm on the fence. We know it's flipping contagious. We know it mutates and I think deep down most scientists know we are nowhere near the end of it, in fact I think it will be just as normal as flu or winter bugs in the next 2 years.