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Some perspective is needed

38 replies

GermanSausage · 11/08/2020 12:17

Current percentage of covid deaths in UK is approx 0.00063%. Assuming approx 42K deaths.

Yet reading all these hand wringing school threads, you would think it was 10%.

Am I the only one who thinks hysteria has set in and people are losing the ability of rational thought?

OP posts:
Badbadbunny · 11/08/2020 12:20

Trouble is it's "ONLY" 42k deaths BECAUSE of the lockdown and restrictions. How would you feel if things had remained more normal and the number of deaths was 420,000?

BellaintheWychElm · 11/08/2020 12:20

Good luck...…..Wink

GermanSausage · 11/08/2020 12:21

That is not my point. We had a lockdown. And the virus is now under some control.

OP posts:
OpheliasCrayon · 11/08/2020 12:23

With you here OP

GermanSausage · 11/08/2020 12:26

@Badbadbunny btw, assuming 420 000 had died the percentage would be 0.0063%.

OP posts:
Redolent · 11/08/2020 12:26

Yawn. Isn't there an identical thread on here right now? 'Never has a virus been so oversold'.

This forum needs to be moderated better. And that includes one bumper thread for the never-ending spat about schools.

GermanSausage · 11/08/2020 12:28

@Redolent are you the thread police? Click on it though didnt you Grin

OP posts:
knittingaddict · 11/08/2020 12:30

Did you really need a new thread for this?

Just put your opinions in the other one . You know the one?

Redolent · 11/08/2020 12:31

[quote GermanSausage]@Redolent are you the thread police? Click on it though didnt you Grin[/quote]
I was harbouring under the delusion that there might a novel perspective in the OP.

Bubbletrouble43 · 11/08/2020 12:33

I don't think the maths is right there. I think 420000 is closer to 0.5% of the population? Happy to be corrected.

Greysparkles · 11/08/2020 12:35

Maybe we should also have one MIL thread, one one parking thread 🤔

Or maybe people should stop trying to police the Internet.

I'm with you OP.
The rising numbers of cases are not being seen in rising numbers of hospital admissions.
Which if people remember, was the whole point of lockdown (to protect the NHS)

This was never, and should never have been about eridicating a virus. Its Impossible

Cookiecrisps · 11/08/2020 12:36

The issue isn’t as clear cut as deaths from the virus. There are many people on MN who have reported ongoing debilitating symptoms as a result of catching the virus for months. The virus has been linked to cardiac and lung problems including people now needing a lung transplant due to scarring of the lungs. The number of people suffering from these ongoing conditions as a direct result of catching the virus is unknown. This includes previously fit and healthy people with none of the publicised risk factors.
I believe we are right to be cautious and take sensible precautions because of this.

Atinytrolley · 11/08/2020 12:49

Don't think there's a perfect answer, we can just go round in circles about schools.

But your figures aren't quite right OP. You forgot to x100 at the end to work out percentage. It should be 42,000 / 66,000,000 x 100 which is 0.063%. IF it had got up as high as 420,000 (no knowing if it would have done) that would be 0.63%

Bubbletrouble43 · 11/08/2020 12:51

Yes that's what I thought re the maths. Thanks

HipTightOnions · 11/08/2020 12:53

The percentage you quote is out by a factor of 100. It’s more like 0.07%.

That still sounds pretty small, but it’s 1 in 1500.

kimlo · 11/08/2020 13:12

the problem is not everybody in the uk has had it. So as more people get it that will rise.

Had we not got in to lockdown in march when the infection rate was high it would be much higher.

nellodee · 11/08/2020 13:22

Exponential growth. Every so many days, cases double. The higher the transmission rate, the less days to double. Before lockdown, it was about every 3 days. It's much slower now, but if you don't stop those little numbers, they become bigger numbers pretty quickly.

1
2
4
8
16 Why are we worrying about this, more chance of getting struck by lightning
32
64
128
256
512
1024 I can't believe people are making this much fuss over such a tiny percentage of the population
2048
4096
8192
16384
32768 - stop me when you think we have a problem
65536
131072 - getting some pretty big jumps here, aren't we?
262144
524288 - maybe we should have done something a bit earlier....
1048576
2097152

knittingaddict · 11/08/2020 13:24

Great post nellodee.

TrindleGin · 11/08/2020 13:38

@GermanSausage

Current percentage of covid deaths in UK is approx 0.00063%. Assuming approx 42K deaths.

Yet reading all these hand wringing school threads, you would think it was 10%.

Am I the only one who thinks hysteria has set in and people are losing the ability of rational thought?

Yes yes ... expect to be lynched though
TrindleGin · 11/08/2020 13:39

@Redolent

Yawn. Isn't there an identical thread on here right now? 'Never has a virus been so oversold'.

This forum needs to be moderated better. And that includes one bumper thread for the never-ending spat about schools.

Isn't there about 15 threads on schools zzzzz
Bubbletrouble43 · 11/08/2020 15:14

@Trindlegin did you get the update that the ops maths is actually WAY OFF

Bubbletrouble43 · 11/08/2020 15:15

@nellodee yes excellent post.

Jussayingisall · 11/08/2020 15:19

The virus never rose exponentially which has been proved over and over again, so it wasn't such a great post.

Jihhery · 11/08/2020 15:21

Great post nellodee.

knittingaddict · 11/08/2020 15:28

The virus never rose exponentially which has been proved over and over again, so it wasn't such a great post.

Maybe, just maybe that's because we went into lockdown.