BBC News Winter Wave - anyone else read this and feel really depressed?

[BabyLlamaZen]

BBC News - Winter wave of coronavirus 'could be worse

We all knew this is likely, but having the scientists actually make those predictions is pretty depressing :( I got through first lockdown with some big anxiety at the start but then just put my head down appreciating our house and garden (we are the lucky ones!) Dh working from home, me busy with ds on maternity leave.

With restrictions easing it's been nice to visit the parents again, see mil as part of her help with our bubble and care for ds. We've even seen a couple of friends on distanced walks. We're not going to any restaurants or anything.

And then to think it'll go back to how it was in April but even worse. Lockdown may not be as severe in order to try and save jobs. I also think people are desensitized the second time around. They think sd is enough so wont keep careful. I worry for our vulnerable, my keyworker friends and even how I'm going to entertain my increasingly mobile and needy ds.

Mental health will take another bashing. I'm a planner so need things in the diary to accomplish and keep me going. Arghh. Anyone else?

@Geraniumblue

The report itself is not scaremongering. Plastering it all over the bbc news is, because it is not news. It’s not a current event. It hasn’t happened. It’s a forecast that is useful for the government.

If you can't deal with it, switch off - but this is bloody important stuff and definitely the public need to be informed about the reality. It is news.

For months people have been saying there won't be a second wave, and that was guff.

They were asked by Govt to model the worst case scenario.
No one of the media I’ve read says it will happen. Read it properly?

@Oly4

They were asked by Govt to model the worst case scenario. No one of the media I’ve read says it will happen. Read it properly?

The worst case won't happen if we are a) lucky AND b) take steps. But too many people are convinced it won't happen, without any mitigation at all.

They were required to calculate the "reasonable worst case"which the authorities have to plan for in advance just in case

It is NOT a forecast
and it is NOT "scaremongering" - the NHS, PHE etc actually have to plan for this

It is unlikely to happen
However, in the event - 1 in 5 / 1 in 10 / 1 in 20 ? - that it does happen, then we would need these plans AND resources ready to cope.

They didn't get the numbers wrong at the beginning of this, I think they advised what could happen in worse case scenario, because they were asked to, and they said half a million dead. Then Boris came on TV looking quite peaky and started talking about lockdown and schools shutting. Now they're predicting a worse case scenario if we let the brakes off too much too soon.

It's not scaremongering it's justification for why we can't be too complacent yet. Scientists aren't renowned for overly dramatic rhetoric, they are used to being peer reviewed on everything they say, if they've come up with this number they have a reason. If you can face the truth go on Facebook and let somebody with a mediocre GCSE in science tell you it's an over reaction.