Can you find out how many new virus cases in your area?

[whydoesitalwaysrainonme82]

Just wondering if you can find out how many possible cases in your area?

Realistically, no. Any location maps/numbers are at present only Pillar 1 (healthcare settings) not Pillar 2 (community), and Pillar 1 are only about 25% of positives right now.

so no, there is no reliable, recent local data being released at the moment unfortunately.

install the zoe App on your phone - this is not the government track and trace app, its academic researchers asking people to just log how they feel and whether they have had a test. you just log your health taking 30 seconds a day. there are enough users to be a statistically significant sample of the population so they are able to accurately extrapolate case levels. after reporting your status you get through to a page of graphs and charts, some of which are very interesting.

No there isn’t a way. The system is a travesty as local health officials admitted today. Even they don’t know what’s going on, there are multiple overlapping systems.

I use Zoe and though it's not perfect it's a good guide and it reassures

Also has great articles on research etc.

You can if you're in Scotland.

www.travellingtabby.com/scotland-coronavirus-tracker/

Broken down by local authority areas. Not great though as Highlands covers a massive area, as do other regions. But it does tell me that in my area there have been ZERO new cases in the last week out of 110,000 people.

Check your local paper. Ours report every 24 hours on all the cases across Yorkshire in the last 24 hours. It specifically says Pillar one & two data as well. My council area have been bouncing between 0-1 cases most days. So extremely low. But we’ve only had 800 positive cases out of a population of 440,000 people. So can’t say I’ve ever been hugely concerned!

Local paper is the best way. Ours say we’ve had three new cases in the past week after going a while without any.
Then suddenly the express reports we could be facing localised lockdown!

www.bbc.com/news/amp/uk-51768274
BBC page- type in City or postcode

We've kept an eye on the official borough infections right through, there was a big bump in April and a few in May, no new cases for 2 weeks and only 2 or 3 in the week before that. Asymptomatic cases might be missed, but you'd expect a few symptomatic ones, and of course some poorly people won't have recovered yet, but still no new cases is great. It helps me feel relaxed to keep track each day, so I know we don't have to take silly levels of precautions.

Yes, here

localcovid.herokuapp.com

the links people have posted only show the town / city or county though as far as I can see

is there any where to look where we can narrow it down smaller ?

@Lucindainthesky

Yes, here

localcovid.herokuapp.com

That's just Pillar One, as said. It will miss about 75% of new infections.

@flissity

www.bbc.com/news/amp/uk-51768274 BBC page- type in City or postcode

That is just Pillar One. It misses about 75% of new current infections.

@Bol87

Check your local paper. Ours report every 24 hours on all the cases across Yorkshire in the last 24 hours. It specifically says Pillar one & two data as well. My council area have been bouncing between 0-1 cases most days. So extremely low. But we’ve only had 800 positive cases out of a population of 440,000 people. So can’t say I’ve ever been hugely concerned!

which paper is that? I'm staggered if they are getting data from Pillar 2 that speedily!

Can someone tell me what pillar 1 and pillar 2 data means please?

What’s pillar one and what’s pillar two please?

Ah sorry! Definitions -

•	Pillar 1: swab testing in Public Health England (PHE) labs and NHS hospitals for those with a clinical need, and health and care workers
•	Pillar 2: swab testing for the wider population, as set out in government guidance

Pillar 2 is the testing in the community, and now makes up about 75% of tests and positives. We don't have local data published for that, just regional on a weekly basis.

@PatriciaHolm so do you mean that when you go on the bbc website and put in your postcode / town / city and it says ‘483 new cases in your area’ those cases are only people who’ve tested positive in hospital? And the figures for all the people who’ve tested positive in say a drive thru test centre are not included?

@Adirondack Yes, that's exactly it. The localised data is missing about 75% of cases right now.

the pillar 2 cases are included in the government daily figures but not in the local data that you get on the postcode search tool

e.g. my town 0 cases last week, 2 the week before (pillar 1) but the local paper have reported about 10 in that time (pillar 1+2). I don't know where the paper are getting those numbers nor how accurate they are.

@PatriciaHolm thanks for clarifying. Gosh, that’s really rather shocking. I’ve been looking at the BBC site regularly and thinking ah great, numbers are low... but it sounds like those numbers might be very misleading and could lull us all into a false sense of security?

[quote Adirondack]@PatriciaHolm thanks for clarifying. Gosh, that’s really rather shocking. I’ve been looking at the BBC site regularly and thinking ah great, numbers are low... but it sounds like those numbers might be very misleading and could lull us all into a false sense of security?[/quote]
Yes it’s shocking. I also thought my city hadn’t seen a new case in weeks, based on the data. As I’m sure many others did.

If nationally your chance of getting the virus is 1:2000, but in your area it’s 1:200, people might behave very differently.

@redolent Yes exactly. It’s realky scary. I wonder if this is all part of Boris’s ‘take it on the chin/herd immunity’ policy- let people think it’s safer than it really is, so they catch it?

[quote Adirondack]@redolent Yes exactly. It’s realky scary. I wonder if this is all part of Boris’s ‘take it on the chin/herd immunity’ policy- let people think it’s safer than it really is, so they catch it?[/quote]
I think so. And to get the economy going through cultivating a kind of jolly ignorance. People might not want to pop into their pub or restaurant if they’ve seen there’s a spike in cases there.

I do think herd immunity by stealth is still their strategy. 50-100 deaths a day, people won’t even notice, just ticking along in the background

It’s actually worse that, according to FT they are missing 90% of cases
www.ft.com/content/301c847c-a317-4950-a75b-8e66933d423a
The FT’s stats guy has a brilliant thread on it on Twitter, will post if I can find it. It’s really shocking