Who is still catching the virus

[LivingOnAPear]

With around 3000 new confirmed cases yesterday I am interested to know which groups of people are mainly testing positive for the virus.
Eg is it health workers, other key workers who have had to work with the public such as supermarket staff. Children in school, people in care homes or general public who don’t fit into these categories are supposed to be staying at home.

Has anyone seen any data about this?

I don't know the answer but would also love to know so following this thread!

26 teachers have died im guessing it's keyworkers who are in contact with the public (and those flouting the rules )

A lot seem to be in care homes, where once resident tests positive it can spread through the home.

The data isn't "live" as tests as yet aren't processed instantly, id be interested to see the real daily figures

But yes, mostly keyworkers and their families. Although as testing is so much more available now, these test results will show alot more milder cases than when we were only testing those with serious symptoms on hospital

Is something like this what you’re looking for or have you seen it already? Hopefully the link is clicky!

www.gov.uk/guidance/coronavirus-covid-19-information-for-the-public

Key workers and their families id assume. Patients in hospitals, people in care homes.

Remember more people are being tested now which is why the number is 'high'. Death rates seems to be the most accurate gauge to watch.

I would imagine the following: People in hospital, people in care homes, key workers, lockdown breakers, people picking up from chance passings in supermarkets etc.

Thanks for replies. I Suppose I was wondering if people are still catching it when following all the guidelines, popping to the shops once a week and the odd walk.
I suppose even if they ask questions when testing. Eg have you mixed with people outside your household people who have flouted the rules wouldn’t give an honest answer.

Also key workers are more likely to get tested than someone wfh or furloughed with minor symptoms so non key workers might be under represented.

Only new cases I know of where I am is an outbreak in local cottage hospital (I think about 15 staff and patients) - it looked like it was spreading quite quickly for a few days in an area that’s had very, very few cases but they’ve realised it was a discharge from tertiary to community hospital .

The only person I know who has tested positive for it works at the hospital. She thinks she's had it twice (first time pre-testing).

Twice? That's not good news for the immunity studies or a vaccine

In my area it looks like testing has been rolled out. I have something else entirely but was told by a gp yesterday "in the absence of all other information we have to assume it's covid". I've been home for 80 days apart from local walks! It's not covid. So I'm guessing testing is widely available here

I'm wondering if its to do with the availability of testing. In the days pre lockdown they just abandoned it and only hospital admissions were tested.

An overwhelming amount have been older folks in long term elder care.

If the shop I went to today is anything to go by it’s going to include people in shops!
Apart from that, it’ll be care homes, hospitals, key workers etc

Remember more people are being tested now which is why the number is 'high'. Death rates seems to be the most accurate gauge to watch

^Agree 100%. We now have testing facilities in or near every county in our state and catching more asymptomatic carriers - usually members of the household of the symptomatic patient.

26 teachers have died im guessing it's keyworkers who are in contact with the public (and those flouting the rules )

That's meaningless without full context, even assuming that the figure is correct without knowing how they caught it or what other conditions they had you can't draw any conclusion from a random statistic.

The numbers of positive tests are now extremely low each day, everyone knows what's going on yet there's no news coming out about any particular occupation being hit or identifiable cause of transmission the logical conclusion is that it's hospital and care home related.

We have hundreds of thousands arriving at our airports. Unlike many other countries we have no checks or quarantine. The government plans to introduce a fake quarantine from 8 June. New arrivals will be asked to self isolate for two weeks. After heading from the airport to their destination (home, hotel, etc). Likely on public transport.

We've also see people crammed back on public transport to commute to work the past two weeks, loosening of lockdown whether officially or not, i.e. VE Day gatherings, beach gatherings, etc.

Other countries coming out of lockdown now had stricter lockdowns. Many shut their borders, others implemented checks and quarantine (not via public transport). They locked down earlier than us, they got more PPE for frontline staff, treated patients early, got on with test, track, and trace, and they've mandated mask wearing for the public.

My best friend has it. She's quite unwell. She couldn't get a click and collect for the first time in 6 weeks and 10 days ago left her house to go to the Supermarket. 1 trip.away from home 2 hours. 5 days later she became unwell.
Either she g it it off her gate, post or a parcel or at the Supermarket.
Her DH is away with the army so it's just her and her dog. They live a a cottage in middle of nowhere. She walks her little dog usually on her own private land.
Quite shocking really.

4 outbreaks in schools in 1 week.
There is a slide from the info that shows care home/school/other etc

People who broke the lockdown rules (I wish). But probably people who still have to work and their families.

Well millions of people are still going out to work, so that will amount for a fair few cases.
A lot of people are also using public transport to get there.
Community transmission is currently very low, the vast majority of new cases are in care settings.

Here, in our wider area, it is a cottage hospital, 2 new cases in the last 3 days.

More locally, we are an area with high % vulnerable population and low infection rate. We must have about 10% of our population in care homes of all sorts and have had no instances of infection at all. The closest, as far as I can tell from social media and official numbers is about 12 miles away.

We've also see people crammed back on public transport to commute to work the past two weeks, loosening of lockdown whether officially or not, i.e. VE Day gatherings, beach gatherings, etc

And yet still the numbers of positive tests are going down.

So many people were and still are positive that there will be a VE spike but why aren't we seeing it? Was there a VE day mutation that takes over 2 weeks to become symptomatic? I know multiple people now going for tests without symptoms yet still no postive tests. How long should we wait for the VE day effect?

Incubation can be up to a month. Wasn't that found to be the case?
Even if it's usually two weeks, we often then need to allow another week or two before the person feels ill enough for a test.

I do wonder how many tests are being done? If there's no test, there's no confirmed case. There's also still the issue of false negatives.