It is scarey the thought of slowly going back, but not as terrifying as not doing so.
If we stayed shut down till sept, then what we would face would be something that horrified everyone.
The government would have stopped paying furlough and supporting the self employed and businesses.
We would be into mass unemployment as businesses shut down.
People would lose their homes as banks can’t keep giving mortgage holidays, we have to lift the stay on renters evictions.
The cost of the benefits would increase ten fold and more, but there would be less taxes coming in to pay for it.
There wouldn’t be enough social housing to home everyone who lost their homes, homelessness would sky rocket.
Millions of people, inc children would be living in poverty, because they lost their jobs, their homes.
The cost of the benefits would need to be balanced against the other society costs, like paying for the nhs, schools or the police. Everything would need to be scaled down, to spread the money out.
And at the same time, flu season would be upon us. So for the nhs it would be unbearable. It would take us through the winter. Corona won’t magically be gone by September.
So yes, going back is scarey, but the alternative, is terrifying. There is no magic money tree that the government can keep taking from to pay for people not to work, to pay for the nhs, to pay for schools. Just like any other loan there is a limit, and a limit to the ability for other countries to lend to us.
Slowly lifting restrictions and managing it is the only way through this. Staying locked in our homes for six months to a year will cause untold levels of death and destruction to our society, it really can’t be underestimated.
My mid may we will have been in lock down for nearly two months. It’s likely all we can take at this level. Managing this through the summer months, before flu season starts, and starting to have the economy get back to normal is the only option available to us as a society.
If people can afford not to work, to keep their kids home, to loose their jobs, then that’s fine, they should do so. But for a large percentage of society this is simply not the case.