I could be wrong but it sounds reasonable surely. If you work in a nursery where 50% of the income is funded places, and 50% of the income is private, you can opt to claim 80% furlough pay on the 50% private, and still claim 100% of the 50% that comes from funded children?
In theory, yes. But the reality can be somewhat different. Let's say staff costs are 60% of income normally, overheads say 30%+. Most nurseries aren't even working on that level of profit margin, but assuming overheads drop a bit if the nursery is closed and for simplicity sake. So, you need to still pay out 80% * 60% = 48% of your normal income in staff costs. Plus another 30% for the overheads =78% in total of your normal income.
You're going to receive 24% from furlough, and 50% from the council funding giving 74%. Now that's not huge as a % but it won't take long to run down the bank balance as nurseries tend to be pretty intensive cashflow wise, especially once you factor in payment in arrears from the councils (certainly the case here), waiting for furlough and so on.
Now imagine you decided to stay open for keyworkers. You have a tiny number of kids in (I know of settings operating with 3 or 4 kids)
You've still got your 30% overheads
You now need to keep 1/3 of the staff off furlough to cover the hours
You've got maybe 5% of your normal private income coming in
So now:
30% overheads
1/3*60% = 20% in staff costs
2/3x60%80% = 32% in staff costs
Now we're on 82% of normal income going out, and we've got 50% from council, 5% from private and 16% from furlough: 71% in, 82% out
Totally back of a fag packet and there will be examples that work the other way but it's not as straight forward as it maybe looks because decisions have been made on the basis of receiving both. If you were example 2 and you'd just been told this was the situation you'd be pulling the plug on keyworker care pronto.
And staff on furlough continue to accrue holiday entitlement, and the NI which can in theory be reclaimed is being offset against the employment allowance so it is also effectively increasing future costs. So it's not free for employers. Some will decide to reduce headcount to try to protect the business.