A scientific discussion about COVID-19

[OnTheEdgeOfTheNight]

If anyone is looking for a scientific discussion about COVID-19, reddit has some good resources.

www.reddit.com/r/COVID19

For example :

The well - discussed AMA from a UK critical care doctor :
www.reddit.com/r/COVID19/comments/fggcp1/im_a_critical_care_doctor_working_in_a_uk_hcid/

A chart showing cases over time per country
www.reddit.com/r/COVID19/comments/fgvl5v/chart_of_covid19_cases_over_time_per_country/

Internet Book of Critical Care chapter on COVID-19
www.reddit.com/r/COVID19/comments/felj3h/internet_book_of_critical_care_ibcc_chapter_on/

Thanks

Hi @teapotter

The mortality rate in Italy by age has been published
www.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/fh1qyh/mortality_rate_in_italy_by_age_group_n_11538/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share

An announcement about closing schools is expected tomorrow (Thursday)

www.reddit.com/r/Coronavirus/comments/fh5u1y/uk_moving_to_delay_phase_schools_and_events_are/?utm_medium=android_app&utm_source=share

twitter.com/PalliThordarson/status/1236549305189597189?s=19

Thread on Twitter by a Chemistry professor about the science of soap to combat viruses. He has several subsequent threads too.

Article summarising that info:
www.vox.com/science-and-health/2020/3/11/21173187/coronavirus-covid-19-hand-washing-sanitizer-compared-soap-is-dope

Interesting on the breakdown of deaths by age in Italy.............

Thanks for this. Find reddit a bit of a minefield

Thanks - it seems more likely that the UK is heading toward action after the WHO statement yesterday:

GENEVA (AP) — The World Health Organization declared the coronavirus a pandemic and urged aggressive action from all countries to fight it, as U.S. stocks plunged into bear market territory and several American cities joined global counterparts in banning large gatherings.

By using the charged word “pandemic” after shying away from calling it so earlier, the U.N. health agency sought to shock lethargic countries into pulling out all the stops.

“We have called every day for countries to take urgent and aggressive action. We have rung the alarm bell loud and clear,” WHO’s chief Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus said Wednesday.

“All countries can still change the course of this pandemic. If countries detect, test, treat, isolate, trace and mobilize their people in the response,” he said. “We are deeply concerned by the alarming levels of spread and severity and by the alarming levels of inaction.”

apnews.com/52e12ca90c55b6e0c398d134a2cc286e

news.sky.com/story/coronavirus-what-x-rays-and-ct-scans-reveal-about-how-covid-19-kills-11955988

Anyone know any good links to explain why the reported death rate varies so much, even in Europe between countries with similar spreads. See stats here www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/#countries

This is an interesting read. It discussed actual case numbers compared with known, and death rates.

medium.com/@tomaspueyo/coronavirus-act-today-or-people-will-die-f4d3d9cd99ca

Time to act?

Teapotter. Cause some countries are telling porky pies to protect their economy.

An actuary's modelling of covid-19 in the UK - read the full thread, there are limitations with the data, but these numbers suggest we'll move to social distancing soon.

mobile.twitter.com/ActuaryByDay/status/1238366144261652480

Thanks for continuing to post

Thank you @happymrsc

New study says coronavirus is most contagious before and during first week of symptoms

People infected with the SARS-CoV-2 virus, which causes the disease, may test positive for the virus both before and after they have symptoms. But a new study of nine people who contracted the virus in Germany suggests that people are mainly contagious before they have symptoms and in the first week of the disease.

Infectious viruses were isolated from about 17 percent of nose and throat swabs and more than 83 percent of phlegm samples during that first week, researchers report March 8 in a study posted at medRxiv.org.

www.sciencenews.org/article/coronavirus-most-contagious-before-during-first-week-symptoms

The UK is approx 14 days behind Italy.
We can all do our bit to help slow the spread. Protect your skin, use handcream overnight. Consider showering and washing hair when you come from from work if people have been coughing near you. Try to get a good sleep.

The exponentiality of it is terrifying.

Italy is not an outlier, its a frontrunner. And other nations are set to follow :

www.smh.com.au/world/europe/italy-is-no-outlier-it-s-a-frontrunner-these-nations-are-set-to-follow-20200312-p5497r.html

We're not trusted to comply with the social distancing rules that other countries are using.

The plan is to essentially wait until the crisis worsens before implementing social distancing. Officials believe the peak of the emergency is still up to 14 weeks away and say behavioural science modelling shows the public will get sick of draconian measures if they are implemented too early.

To be fair, many threads in here seem to suggest they’re not wrong about (lack of) compliance.

That's true!

Reduction and functional exhaustion of T cells in patients with covid-19

www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.18.20024364v1?fbclid=IwAR38lI2cJw86CFFNsCqgHgk-Tx1b2d7BhM_P071pqgpm6g_u50cmNFFGoyo