Hi Ariadne it’s really great that the death rate for people under 50, especially children, looks very low.
The following information was taken from the 29 February analysis by Worldometer of the WHO-China joint mission which looked at all cases up until the point of analysis.
DEATH RATE all cases including lab confirmed, suspected and asymptomatic
80+ years old. 14.8%
70-79 years old. 8.0%
60-69 years old. 3.6%
50-59 years old 1.3%
40-49 years old. 0.4%
30-39 years old 0.2%
20-29 years old 0.2%
10-19 years old. 0.2%
0-9 years old no fatalities
My attempt to illustrate this data
So rounding and comparing Just to give a sense of the numbers no projection says everyone will get this, this is just a way to visualise percentages
0.2 is 2 in 1000 or 1 in 500 so, say a secondary school Y7-11 with an intake of 10 classes of 30 might have (1500 pupils) 3 deaths
1.3 is 13 in 1000 so Year 12 & 13 at a sixth form college of say 2,500 students might have an average of 2,500 parents in the over 50 age group. Among those 2,500 parents there might be 32 deaths, up to 32 students losing a parent.
Envisaging all of those young people having an average of 2 grandparents over 80. 2,500 Sixth form students with a total of 5,000 grandparents there might be 740 deaths of grandparents.
The very sad news of the recent death of a UK grandfather from Covid-19 included the heartbreaking information that the family cannot hold a funeral in the usual way.
For this reason I think people over 50 might want to think particularly carefully about what they can do to avoid infection.