wearsmink since you want to labour the point about unknown risks, let me say what I was going to say earlier, before I decided on a more charitable route: Like Ragusa, you have repeatedly misrepresented what I say. Now I don't know whether you do this deliberately to try to make me look stupid, whether you subconsciously fashion what I say to equate to your notion of what 'anti vax' people think, or whether you simply do not grasp my points. Either way, it creates an unhelpful fog - because rather than engaging with you on the issues, I am having to remind you what my original argument is. So, rather unhelpfully, the point becomes to demonstrate to you that my argument is not the made up one you're scoring easy points against. Here are some examples:
As for the everyday risks...sorry, but that's not good enough. Do you make your children take the stairs instead of the lift every time? And do they never eat anything new? Do you own a television? A games console? Do you ask for fire safety reports when you enter a building? Do you scout ahead and look for blocked fire exits?
Unless you avoid all these risks you plainly don't believe in minimising risks of the unknown
I have said: when you vaccinate, you take known and recognised unknown risks 'Recognised unknown' means there are many claims that these risks exist, and there is often officially logged correlation. But, the causation has not been proven or disproved because we don't have the capacity to research it (cf the gaps in our knowledge re the brain or cancer) or the research has not been funded (cf the evidence of bias against 'negative' research in peer reviewed journals). On the HRSA website which I have referenced before, it logs these claimed injuries relating to vaccines which have been proven and which have neither been proven nor disproven (and these are arguably not even representative of the injured population). This is a 'recognised unknown'. You are not addressing this issue by parodying what I say with irrelevant examples. Please, stick to the examples we are talking about.
If you must see this important issue in terms of a television set though, know this: If people had already been compensated because a model had demonstrably harmed their children, if others had made correlation based claims against the same set, which had been officially logged and not disproved, and if the manufacturer had been caught falsifying data to make it look better, then yes, I would not choose to buy that model. And if they then tried to mandate that all people 'must' use this set whether they liked it or not, I might conclude they were not confident it could sell on its own merits.
Could you also address biddlyoldbiddy's point that the evidence appears to be that there is no asthma benefit from having had measles?
What biddly actually said:
There is (as far as I am aware) no research consensus that measles infection confers protection against asthma
She did then give an example of research which suggests no benefit. I then provided more which suggests there might be. That is what 'no consensus' means, and why she used it. It's actually not far from 'grounds for reasonable doubt' which is my point about vaccines.
By the way,I may disagree profoundly with biddly, but I like her style, she is measured, does not stigmatise, and references her points. I might learn something from her through this discussion. If I do, that can only help my kids.
you think that anything short of disablement and death is a mild effect - why don't you prove the case for avoiding the vaccine. The vaccine is highly effective, as even you seem to accept.
I have said there are severe complications and there are unpleasant symptoms - two different things. Severe complications are severe complications - horrible. Unpleasant symptoms which you recover from, gaining lifetime immunity and other benefits as a result? A different story. I have said also that catching the disease at the right stage of childhood if you are healthy and well-nourished will mean you will avoid severe complications (WHO), you will have guaranteed immunity for life (and quite possibly other health benefits) and, if you're breastfeeding, you'll pass important antibodies to your baby. This, for me, is a good cae for avoiding the vaccine if this is your context.
I have also shown repeatedly why there are reasonable grounds to doubt the effectiveness of vaccines, as you well know. These relate to false claims of efficacy by the manufacturer, the non foolproof way of establishing the efficacy in the first place, the admission by the manufacturer that the effectiveness even as measured is not guaranteed in the short or long term, and the questionable claims that vaccines were responsible for disease eradication (see the graph I linked to above, which you still haven't commented on).
Now on to herd immunity. I asked for a detailed analysis, point by point, of how this supposedly works, how vaccines create it, and how natural kids pose a threat to injected ones. What you have provided is an unsubstantiated opinion:
bobby, herd immunity is the effect of those vaccinated forming an obstacle to transmission of infectious disease. There's nothing controversial in it. It protects those who genuinely can't be vaccinated and may especially need protection. But it can be taken advantage of by others, sadly, who should play their part.
I invite you to remember the following:
- When vaccines first came out it was claimed they would provide guaranteed immunity for life
- It was later claimed the guaranteed 'immunity' they provided was not guaranteed for life, so boosters would be necessary.
- It was later claimed the guaranteed 'immunity' was not in fact guaranteed, even before time had 'waned' it - so your 'protected' child is still in fact in danger from 'unprotected' children and your 'genuinely can't be vaccinated' child is still in danger from your vaccinated child or from a natural child.
- It was later claimed that 95% of the population has to have this unguaranteed immunity which can wane at different times for different people, in order to provide 'herd immunity' (are you seeing any problems with this argument so far?)
- When outbreaks (eg of measles) have happened in communities with 95% coverage (eg Finland) and where vaccinated kids have passed it to their vaccinated siblings (ie it is not 'outsiders' spreading it) various claims have been made. One is that their 'immunity' must have waned more quickly than usual. Another is that, in addition to an increasing number of boosters, one will need to have extra measles jabs for different strains of measles. Either way, it is recognised that 'the effect of those vaccinated forming an obstacle to the transmission of infectious disease' is demonstrably questionable.
By the way, Wearsmink, I think one thing seems likely in this scenario - more and more vaccines will be needed because the more they prove not to work as advertised, the more we will be told that this proves the case for purchasing greater quantities of them
But actually, wearsmink, I think there are reasonable grounds for believing the following:
- Even if 100% of the human population had been vaccinated with MMR, the measles virus (for example) would not just pack up and leave the planet. It is a virus, it lives on this planet and it is scary.
- Because of the unguaranteed immediate 'immunity', the unguaranteed duration of the 'immunity' and the fact that a vaccine apparently does not protect against different strains, outbreaks of measles will continue to happen even amongst 100% 'protected' human populations. And these 'immune' and 'protected' people will keep passing it to other immune and protected people, as they have done so in various countries recently. And because many of them will not have had measles in childhood, they will get it as adults and stand a high chance of suffering severe consequences - as has happened in Swtizerland. Is the answer then, more and more vaccines and boosters?
Now onto this comment you've made to fasicle:
If your answer includes anything about unknown risks, suppression of data or sinister cabals of powerful people, we'll know where we stand
This looks like a lazy attempt to stigmatise people who question vaccines. There are known risks. There are possible, as yet unproven risks which, as recognised by 'the authorities', we don't have the capacity and/or funding to research. As for sinister cabals, well, I don't see things such simplistic terms. I do, however, believe (and know from personal experience, in fact) that pharmaceutical executives are under enormous pressure to improve margins each quarter. They probably would prefer to have a 100% effective, 100% safe product to help them achieve this - that would make their lives much easier. Alas, they do not have that. And there is ample opportunity to exaggerate the benefits of their product and underplay the risks to increase sales. Moreover, there is ample opportunity to use statistics which apply in one part of the world as if they are relevant in another, as we have seen above.
Also:
Personally, I find the health authorities of countries like the UK, US and Australia sound and persuasive when they recommend vaccination against these and other terrible outcomes
I think there are probably lots of good people making up 'the authorities' who are trying to do their best, and I would not instinctively distrust what they say any more than I would trust it. But I urge you not to let them do your thinking for you. These are the same 'authorities' that said there was no danger of BSE in humans, said Vioxx and Thalidomide were safe, previously said it was safe to x-ray pregnant women, have caused children to be paralysed by the Polio vaccine, etc. At the very least, they may make mistakes. But also, it is possible to find many examples of conflict of interest where drug company money and people are intertwined with research and researchers, university departments, and executive committees, whether in government or organisations like the WHO. Now, I know the lazy response to this assertion would be to dismiss me as a 'conspiracy theorist', but I'm hopeful that you won't do that. Instead, you can look back through my posts for sound, reliable references which support these claims.