I went with childminder when my DD was 13 mths mainly because I read kids that age need more 1-1 contact/ care etc. That 'recommended' childminder would try to find any excuse not to look after our little one. That lasted 3 mths.
Then covid kicked in, little one was at home with us.
Then she went to gymboree at 18 mths , but only for morning sessions, then we'd pick her up, bf then she would nap until
3pm, that was a good experience.
Now she is at yet another nursery ( we moved abroad) with massive outdoor space which is nice for lil ones to have that space to be able to run around. She is 3 now so likes to hang out/ play with her peers.
If you go with nursery, there is always someone that will be there even if even of stuff being sick + it is more difficult for stuff to be mean to kids (sorry, mum's paranoia kicks in here lol) as there is always someone else in the room.
Your experience with childminder might be different of course.
I think the ideal scenario ( not sure if realistic) would be to have childminder that comes to your place and so you can work
from home, the baby does not get upset because its left in unknown/ new environment. I'll try to do just that with DC no2.
Also, read online reviews I found that very helpful.
Good luck, you got this mama 