Sleepyspaniel - sorry, I had gone to bed! I hope you don't think I'm being rude, but I'm going to copy and paste your post since the thread has moved on a bit to make it clear what I'm responding to
"Secondtimelucky - I am making the point that no matter how good the care we receive be it one-to-one MW or consultant or whatever -
ultimately NO-ONE can predict if they will suddenly experience a severe problem during labour
Yes I know it's rare...
but I still don't want to be that 1 in 1,000 or even 1 in 10,000 who experiences a severe and unexpected problem during labour that even the best MW with the best training and experience in the world can do nothing about, because it requires immediate surgical intervention for myself and the baby to survive or to survive without major birth injuries.
I just don't want to be too far from an operating theatre, crash team, consultant paeds, resusitation unit. etc etc. About 20 metres and 20 seconds away is good. 20 miles and 20 mins drive is not good.
HB cannot and do not have the capacity to deal with the rare and unexpected problem. Unfortunately, nobody can predict accurately who or when the rare and unexpected problems will strike. It could be me. It might not be me, but it definitely IS the woman I read about in the paper last month, or even the MNetter I know of whose baby sadly suffered severe birth injuries in HB gone wrong. I'm sure they didn't expect to be the one with the problem either."
What you have said makes total logical sense. It should logically be the case that, all other things being equal, if a sudden and severe problem happens in labour, being near immediate surgical intervention gave the best outcome for mother and baby.
And there will, of course, be people whose personal experience is,very sadly, that their baby suffered problems resulting from home birth. I don't want to talk about particular people, because I think that could be upsetting, but remember that this is focusing on those who are low risk. On the reverse, I have seen another MNer tell a story of her child suffering problems because she was left alone during labour in a major hospital and she believed that being in hospital had caused her child's problems.
The point I was making is that the stats don't seem to bear out the (again, totally logical) expectation that, if you are the 1 in a 1,000 (or whatever) for whom something goes seriously wrong, you are better of in a CLU. The stats in this study are showing that, for multiparous women, home births and consultant led units are experiencing the same numbers of deaths/other similarly serious outcomes. To put it really bluntly, being near all those facilities for the whole labour does not appear to be saving baby's lives
So what's happening? I don't know. Maybe the 'sudden' events aren't so sudden if you have a midwife paying attention to you? Maybe the cautious nature of home birth midwives mean that transfer is recommended on minor issues (such as concerns about minor issues with heart rate) so that by the time the sudden major problem manifests itself, those women are at the hospital. Maybe if CLU's were properly staffed and women had the levels of attention they can expect in homebirth, we would see a spike in the safety of a birth in a CLU. Maybe it's all those things plus others, maybe it's none of them. We need more research.